kdskidoo Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 4 minutes ago, JDClapper said: 3.5 days away from onset and the range imby is 0-12" my rule is, and it usually works out well, to take the least snowiest model and cut it in half. so I would say you can expect 1/2 of zero. 😁 1 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFlash Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 (edited) 2 hours ago, JDClapper said: Oh boy, hit the one in the middle and that would be like an I78 to I80 bullseye back here in PA. Where my boy @WeatherFlash at? Haha I'm lurking lol. Never like being anywhere near a modeled 🎯 Edited February 9 by WeatherFlash 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 17 minutes ago, StretchCT said: For those concerned about cold. This is the 925mb layer (2500feet), which I'll use to demonstrate how it's getting cold, since it isn't affected too much by diurnal temp swings. It's warm through Saturday, even reaching 10c imby. Then you see the blues pushing into the area on Sunday. This is well ahead of the storm. By the end of the run, the storm is entering our area. The blue you see coming down from the north is cold air advection from a cold front. The blue you see starting around the storm dosn in Texas is the cold air that the storm itself generates. That’s a great example of why we like to see weak low pressure (stops from sucking too much warm air in) before the costal transfer, which should then kick in NE winds which typically bring cold air in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 9 Moderators Share Posted February 9 15 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Wow - CMC = waaaay slower and colder Crazy Drunkle was having a good year but fell off the wagon perhaps? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Interested to see what baby g starts to spit out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 1 hour ago, JDClapper said: Ike heaviest axis still NY/PA border and poi ts ENE... not like EPS and GEFS who are more south at this time. ICON seems to be the northern end of the modeling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AceGikmo Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Slight wiggle north for the GEFS but overall holding steady with general axis of heaviest precip. I'm riding on that pretty pink highway, but I have a feeling the best stuff will end up just to my north. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 9 Moderators Share Posted February 9 Ukie trend 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 1 hour ago, JDClapper said: 3.5 days away from onset and the range imby is 0-12" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Kuchera vs caffeine free. I usually don't use Kuchera much but when I do, it always shows a higher total than the caffeine free version. This time, it is Kuchera showing less than the caffeine free version. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 CFS needs a kick in the server. It either lost the storm or thinks that it will disappear entirely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 CFS. Can’t forecast Snow? and you thought I was going to to say stuff. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 9 Moderators Share Posted February 9 Slower and lower so far on ECMWF 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 (edited) Yep - another PA - New England special Cupid shot through the Heart Edited February 9 by Undertakerson2.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Euro. Static and last 2 run clown map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 9 Moderators Share Posted February 9 Could be windy with this one per the euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Tracking snow events - while on my back patio in February, with no coat on, and getting buzzed by a Honey Bee of all things. 4 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Just now, Undertakerson2.0 said: Tracking snow events - while on my back patio in February, with no coat on, and getting buzzed by a Honey Bee of all things. Beautiful 63 degrees at the house! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 9 Moderators Share Posted February 9 3 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Could be windy with this one per the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, RobB said: Beautiful 63 degrees at the house! Welp I now know my tomorrow 😉 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Just now, Undertakerson2.0 said: Welp I now know my tomorrow 😉 🙂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PA road DAWG Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Northern trend needs to stop now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted February 9 Social Media Crew Share Posted February 9 Just now, PA road DAWG said: Northern trend needs to stop now I would be good w/ a tick south.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, PA road DAWG said: Northern trend needs to stop now its not really a northern trend, it appears that the confluence has rotated sw to NE in orientation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 I will remind all Jan 3 2021 the day before my 13” snowstorm it was 63 and rainy. Setup different but it can happen. So enjoy the warmth and snow if you get it…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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