Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted February 13 Meteorologist Share Posted February 13 2 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: I miss Elliot Abrams Roads already covered - best of luck I figured as much. If need be I have places I can stay in York just don't wanna be stuck down here paying for a hotel at 150$ a night. Luckily I think rush will be virtually nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 13 Author Admin Share Posted February 13 6 minutes ago, Snowadelphia said: It felt like many mets held on to the northern/warmer track longer even after model consensus over multiple runs shifted elsewhere. My concern from the beginning was that no one down here was taking this threat seriously. This is going to hit right before rush hour and dump snow for 6 hours or so. If the city isn’t prepared it’s going to get bad out there. Guess the storms move NW thing didn't work out this time. Perhaps the models thought the "kissing jets" were up to more hanky panky than that, Valentines day coming up and all, turns out the Southern stream was put in the "friend zone" and it wasn't even a peck on the cheek, just a sheepish wave. 2 2 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Let’s see if the weather can surprise our friend JD this morning and give him some love. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Just now, TLChip said: Let’s see if the weather can surprise our friend JD this morning and give him some love. I've been wondering about Clapper. He should at least book this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowadelphia Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Pinging beginning here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anthonyweather Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 (edited) 14 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: ??? . Here we are approaching 4. Plows went thru half hour ago in New Trip. We will see a foot plus easy up here at this rate Edited February 13 by Anthonyweather 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 (edited) EZ well over 1"/Hr - and seemingly increasing in rates Vis is silly low on the TV crew live shots. I-81 speed reduced in PA to 45mph. (new info) Edited February 13 by Undertakerson2.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 13 Author Admin Share Posted February 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Saucy little pork chop snowing for 2 hrs. New snow at 5 = 2.5" HVY SN at present. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
j33per Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 12 minutes ago, Snowadelphia said: Pinging beginning here. Where in Philly are you, @Snowadelphia? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowadelphia Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Just now, j33per said: Where in Philly are you, @Snowadelphia? NW. East Falls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 13 Author Admin Share Posted February 13 As @JDClapper often reminds us, the mPing app is quite useful. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowadelphia Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 1 minute ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Saucy little pork chop snowing for 2 hrs. New snow at 5 = 2.5" HVY SN at present. UT, how long did that take to start sticking out your way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
c8pjp Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Was having trouble sleeping anyhow, got up at about 3:00am, was lurking here(as usual), fell back asleep for about an hour or so. It was already pinging some at 3:00 but now here it's pretty white. No measurements or anything but definitely covered heavily. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 (edited) Old tried and true...traffic map, where is the snow laying? Edited February 13 by TLChip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 (edited) Areas affected...northern New Jersey...southeastern New York...Long Island and southern Connecticut Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 131008Z - 131445Z SUMMARY...Sustained heavy snow rates of 1-2+ inches per hour may become focused across much of the Greater New York City Metropolitan area by 8-11 AM EST. DISCUSSION...Precipitation continues to develop east-northeastward into and through much of the northern Mid Atlantic into southern New England. This includes moderate to occasionally heavy snow developing on the northern periphery of the shield, but the changeover to snow and snow rates have been hampered at least some by boundary-layer temperatures initially above freezing, and a layer between 850-700 mb with above freezing temperatures, as far north as the northern Mid Atlantic vicinity. Significant surface cyclogenesis does now appear underway near/offshore of the Hampton Roads vicinity, with the rapid further deepening of the cyclone forecast as it progresses east-northeastward into the Atlantic through the day. This will be accompanied by southward advection of colder lower/mid-tropospheric air into the the northern Mid Atlantic, and the latest Rapid Refresh continues to indicate intensifying deep-layer frontogenesis in a zone across the northern New Jersey/Long Island vicinity through mid to late morning. Beneath strengthening divergence between coupled jet streaks aloft, models indicate that upward vertical motion will become maximized within mid/upper levels, including a layer near and just below 500 mb where temperatures are favorably cold to support large dendritic ice crystal growth. Forecast soundings suggest that saturating and sufficiently cold profiles with precipitable water around .70 inches may focus intensifying and heaviest snow across much of the Greater New York City area through 13-16Z. It appears that this probably will include rates on the order of 1-2 inches per hour and occasionally heavier. ..Kerr.. 02/13/2024 Edited February 13 by Undertakerson2.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 3 minutes ago, Snowadelphia said: UT, how long did that take to start sticking out your way? Immediately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandO100 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 My first look outside here in Williamsport, MD at 5:15 AM 2 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Impressive considering the transport is not really "classic" Seems to be a case of dynamics taking it to the level it is. Usually you'll see the fetch arrows pointing ON shore (backing flow) - here we only have a couple doing so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Unbelievable but I believe we have near 7" of snow here near Hazleton... still coming down. I did not expect this after the trends last night 3 1 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Just now, Blizz said: Unbelievable but I believe we have near 7" of snow here near Hazleton... still coming down. I did not expect this after the trends last night This is one of the reasons I try to (don"t always succeed) eschew models within 30 hours and try to focus more on radar and RAP analysis. When I do look at modeling in tight like that, I don't let it skew my previous thoughts. Good thing I don't do this for a living - that's for sure. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nfranken Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Just about 5" here in Pottsville, Schuylkill County. Woke up at 4am to the heaviest snow I've seen for a while. Still coming down pretty hard. Temp at 32.4. Everything covered. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 (edited) Band on the Run.... Edited February 13 by Doorman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted February 13 Social Media Crew Share Posted February 13 So.. this is quite a rough estimate using our Google Nest.. but thinking 3-4” down this way. Power just flickered too.. that should make our upcoming FID (Flexible Instruction Day) fun. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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