Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Nearly a Bat Signal 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 How south will she go? 3K NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gettysburger Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, MDWxWatcher said: Sterling backed down on their initial watch issuance in my area. Now a WWA for 2-4" with amounts up to 5" near the PA line. I am guessing this will keep up until we are underway with this one. If it pans out the way the short range models show, we’ll be upgraded at some point probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 My Holly as of an hour ago is not buying the colder model runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miller A Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 holly upped NNJ WSW nothing different along the coast, Sigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Ok let me see if I have this correct. ALL of LI on a flood advisory/warning? The only way that could ever happen is if a tsunami were to hit and engulf the entire Island under water. 🤦♂️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, tcari394 said: They already bumped us to a WWA, 2-4.. but I think we both know it's looking like 0 - 0. Yep, its toast. Acceptance phase is going well mourning with NCPa/CPA friends. Thanks buds lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Current surface 3:00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowadelphia Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, Burr said: My Holly as of an hour ago is not buying the colder model runs Is there a model still showing this solution? I get that meteorology is more than model reading but I feel like all models have the heavy snow axis way south of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, JDClapper said: Yep, its toast. Acceptance phase is going well mourning with NCPa/CPA friends. Thanks buds lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, Rickrd said: How south will she go? 3K NAM She better not go any further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 What if new Cranky is right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowadelphia Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Ukie sniffed this out before anyone else. Kudos to the old boy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anthonyweather Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 So, I know the NWS relies heavily on the HREF's.... So here is the 12z SREF, maybe why they havent changed their thinking? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 45 minutes ago, LiveWire_13 said: As a layperson, I'm not sure I follow. Everything I read/heard last week was pointing out how warm the boundary layers were by the coast. Didn't matter if upper levels were cold if warm ocean air was keeping us toasty. Central Suffolk projected to 48 degrees high but sitting at 44 degrees now. Would that cause transition away from rain earlier tonight? Sorry for the confusion. Was mote referring yo inland areas. Further south and east you are the later the transition because of what you mentioned. It was more to the fact that in WAA situations , doesn’t really matter much your temps pre storm were lower than expected. Once the wind direction changes , WAA just overwhelms, and fast. So this is the opposite, where cold in invading, not departing. Therefore lower highs may help a tad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3k NAM Comps. Yikes! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, kdskidoo said: in all the years you've been tracking storms did you ever go from being fringed to the south to worrying about the rain snow line and then to possibly being shutout all in 2 days time? Yes... plenty of times.. It sucks... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdskidoo Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 18 minutes ago, JDClapper said: Just working on the acceptance phase of completely whiffing on this one. in the years you've been tracking storms have you ever had one that you were worried about being fringed to the south to worrying about the rain snow line to possibly being completely shutout to the south all in a 2 day span? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 7 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: Sorry for the confusion. Was mote referring yo inland areas. Further south and east you are the later the transition because of what you mentioned. It was more to the fact that in WAA situations , doesn’t really matter much your temps pre storm were lower than expected. Once the wind direction changes , WAA just overwhelms, and fast. So this is the opposite, where cold in invading, not departing. Therefore lower highs may help a tad. So in a nutshell, you have boiling water, throw in something frozen and immediately the boiling stops? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PA road DAWG Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 21 minutes ago, Snowadelphia said: Near. Our family has a place in Scott Township. Ahh ok. That’s only 10 mins from me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, Rickrd said: Yes... plenty of times.. It sucks... Been there done that got the tshirt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, Rickrd said: Yes... plenty of times.. It sucks... Mentioned to you earlier my fear wasn’t the temps but the track. Needs to halt the south movement. Some short rangers have stopped it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
longislander Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 24 minutes ago, clm said: I haven't seen that deep a blue over LI in a long time Indeed, its going to be whiteout conditions. Let's see if they close the LIE tonight. If they don't, look for those pictures tomorrow morning of cars abandoned on the road and everyone walking to that Walmart. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miller A Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 14 minutes ago, clm said: She better not go any further south. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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