Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, so_whats_happening said: That is rough for areas already in warnings to the north. I mean SNE is virtually nothing. Yeah - this has been on wild azzed ride. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
longislander Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I can tell you that LI is not prepared for any significant snow. Just came home from Ace Hardware and the supermarket - empty. No one out getting supplies and food. Saw no landscapers gassing up at the gas station either. My snowblower did start after almost 20 pulls and fuel priming. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, longislander said: I can tell you that LI is not prepared for any significant snow. Just came home from Ace Hardware and the supermarket - empty. No one out getting supplies and food. Saw no landscapers gassing up at the gas station either. My snowblower did start after almost 20 pulls and fuel priming. Kickoff the change to all rain in 3, 2, 1.... 🤪 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anthonyweather Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 (edited) There’s gonna be some really bad/blown forecasts. tough stuff All models vs euro/UK. Edited February 12 by Anthonyweather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I'm sorry but BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAHA (gasp, chortle, wheeze) ahahahahahahahahahahaa 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, Undertakerson2.0 said: I'm sorry but BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAHA (gasp, chortle, wheeze) ahahahahahahahahahahaa Craziness. We were going through similar issues back in the OV thread....... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anthonyweather Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 (edited) At this range. Like how. I’m throughly confused Edited February 12 by Anthonyweather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, Anthonyweather said: There’s gonna be some really bad forecasts. tough stuff All models vs euro/UK. Also be sure to stick to walking on concrete and not the grass as wet grass is very hard to maintain footing as proved in this weather channel training video. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, Anthonyweather said: Like how. I’m throughly confused They look the same to me... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phillyfan Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, Anthonyweather said: Like how. I’m throughly confused Good Lord.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LUCC Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 12 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: I laugh if one more move and this is all off the coast. In fact, after seeing new Euro, i'm already laughing That too, won't be the first time we have had the rug pulled out from under us with these models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Spire latest (0z) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted February 12 Meteorologist Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, Anthonyweather said: At this range. Like how. I’m throughly confused I do know these transition storm are some of the hardest to forecast for. But that is just something else. Very spring like system. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AceGikmo Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, Anthonyweather said: Like how. I’m throughly confused I'd assume that, since there is only one frame of the Euro that captures the snow for almost the entire area, the snow map is highly interpolated and neglects the rapidly arriving and departing snowfall. TLDR - it's not high enough resolution 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFlash Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: I'm sorry but BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAHA (gasp, chortle, wheeze) ahahahahahahahahahahaa One of the biggest busts this close to onset i can think of. Wowzers. No sign of stopping the trend either.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, so_whats_happening said: I do know these transition storm are some of the hardest to forecast for. But that is just something else. Very spring like system. I mentioned earlier (while you were resting after work) that's it's as if forecasting for April. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Well the snow stays north of me .. for fun Euro 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 No matter what happens the euro did horrible here. Either with everyone else where it totally changed in the final 48 or because it's totally wrong now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Or, we go back to the old rules and stop looking at euro’s and such, and rely more on nam and short rangers. 2 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, AceGikmo said: I'd assume that, since there is only one frame of the Euro that captures the snow for almost the entire area, the snow map is highly interpolated and neglects the rapidly arriving and departing snowfall. TLDR - it's not high enough resolution This goes along with following mesos this close in - they tend to focus hour per hour instead of jumping at 3-6hr (and up to 12 in extended) I had not considered that - will have to ponder it 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
c8pjp Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 PARD bat signal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: Or, we go back to the old rules and stop looking at euro’s and such, and rely more on nam and short rangers. I can remember having a personal creedo of ignoring all models inside of 30 hours - at that point, real time RAP and radar did well enough. NYCSuburbs used to give me grief when I'd say so. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AceGikmo Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, HVSNOWSTORM said: No matter what happens the euro did horrible here. Either with everyone else where it totally changed in the final 48 or because it's totally wrong now. Yeah my impression for this entire season has been that the gap between the Euro and GFS has drastically shrunk and, at this point, I consider them equally when looking at the modeling landscape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Another short ranger…. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted February 12 Admin Share Posted February 12 20 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: It's not simply a snow axis move, it's an overall drying and speed increase trend (on that model) Euro looks to not phase cleanly and thus not allow for the intensification which would be needed for those amounts being pumped out earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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