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February 12-13, 2024 | Winter Storm


MaineJay

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Just now, Undertakerson2.0 said:

It will - but you won't. You got this - quitting ain't for sissies despite what the sayings say. 

Ya. But at least he asked. Other trigger was playing golf for 18 holes Thursday with @RTC3-LAST CHANCE   That’s definitely a light up if there ever was one. Name at club is Ricky Marlboro. 😜

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2 minutes ago, StretchCT said:

GEFS trend.  Noticing a shift in the angle of the snowlines

trend-gefsens-2024021118-f066.sn10_acc-mean-imp.us_ne.thumb.gif.e83b101cc82cecf2a0e1f3e022804d05.gif

If you recall Content Wx Guy comment relative to 850mb track yesterday, that's the axis angle you'd have come up with (the current one). 

Edited by Undertakerson2.0
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Just now, Undertakerson2.0 said:

If you recall Content Wx Guy comment relative to 850mb track yesterday, that's the axis angle you'd have come up with. 

Yes. Read that one. 

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Just now, Rickrd said:

Yes. Read that one. 

It is what I envisioned. AND it makes RTC seem like some kind of genius when yesterday he predicted that today we'd adjust "back". 

Damn how the H he got so smart all of a sudden is beyond me, but I kinda dig it. 

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1 minute ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

If you recall Content Wx Guy comment relative to 850mb track yesterday, that's the axis angle you'd have come up with. 

Axis angle - that's what I was looking for.

Winter Storm warning up.  I think its the first one of the season for me. Might be the first in two seasons actually.  There used to be a database of warnings etc that were issued for your area but I can't find it anymore.

Spoiler
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
327 PM EST Sun Feb 11 2024

CTZ005>008-NJZ002-103-NYZ069-070-121000-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0002.240213T0600Z-240213T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0002.240213T0600Z-240213T2300Z/
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Western Passaic-Western Bergen-Rockland-
Northern Westchester-
327 PM EST Sun Feb 11 2024

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 10
  inches.

* WHERE...Parts of northeast New Jersey and southeast New York,
  and all of interior southern Connecticut.

* WHEN...From 1 AM to 6 PM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

Check local Department of Transportation information services for
the latest road conditions.

 

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RAP - again not known for its long range accuracy but fits in with the other solutions.  I remember when you'd look at the RAP and it never put out over 6" of snow.  You knew to multiply it 2 or 3 times.  Now it's doing stuff like this.  LI could be in for a surprise. 

image.thumb.png.b8ae16e84d360afee7fa593193248b1f.png

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Just now, longislander said:

This was a 1" snow for LI an hour ago, now its 6-8"?  The official forecasts have not caught up with this, and my snowblower isn't ready.

The forecasts change model run to model run....depends on what source hugs which model. 

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25 minutes ago, StretchCT said:

RAP - again not known for its long range accuracy but fits in with the other solutions.  I remember when you'd look at the RAP and it never put out over 6" of snow.  You knew to multiply it 2 or 3 times.  Now it's doing stuff like this.  LI could be in for a surprise. 

image.thumb.png.b8ae16e84d360afee7fa593193248b1f.png

 

trend-rap-2024021115-f051.snku_acc-imp.us_ma.gif

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11 minutes ago, longislander said:

This was a 1" snow for LI an hour ago, now its 6-8"?  The official forecasts have not caught up with this, and my snowblower isn't ready.

That is exactly why the totals shot up.  If you get your snowblower ready, it will go back down to 1" or less

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3 minutes ago, clm said:

That is exactly why the totals shot up.  If you get your snowblower ready, it will go back down to 1" or less

At this rate, I'm waiting until tomorrow after work to turn on mine for the first time in years. Toddler can hold the oil pan while I unscrew.

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1 hour ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

It is what I envisioned. AND it makes RTC seem like some kind of genius when yesterday he predicted that today we'd adjust "back". 

Damn how the H he got so smart all of a sudden is beyond me, but I kinda dig it. 

New drugs are really working.

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52 minutes ago, longislander said:

This was a 1" snow for LI an hour ago, now its 6-8"?  The official forecasts have not caught up with this, and my snowblower isn't ready.

Spray some ether in the carb and let her rip! Good luck!

Edited by Rickrd
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