HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 minute ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: It's almost embarrassingly sad for the Old Professor He wonders why no one listens when he shouts at the clouds... Used to be so good back in the day when either you or MJ started the professor name. He's lost it. Hopefully he returns to old form. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 GEFS trend (24 hrs) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 hour ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Ooh - "pretty" maps (lmbo) Snow depth is so bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tool483 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 10 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: My friends get back tomorrow from The Villages. I told them to enjoy it while they can - we got an "issue" waiting for them when they land tomorrow morning. (I am their ride home from airport) That pick up sounds like it could be a little dicey, maybe they land before the snow starts up? Hopefully pickup goes smooth..I'm trying enjoy every last bit of this warmth Heard it's been a nice weekend up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, HVSNOWSTORM said: Used to be so good back in the day when either you or MJ started the professor name. He's lost it. Hopefully he returns to old form. MJ was the one who would mention that it was 2d highest ver score model at one point. Not sure exactly where the Prof name came from. It was an old HS friend who used to call me "professor" but I can't remember my pinning that to the UKM. Sounds like something any number of us might have coined? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 50 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Again, as RTC said yesterday (as did a few others) The models do stray at Hr72 and then stumble back towards the original idea. I would say it definitely goes north almost every storm. But it over corrects North then goes back south a bit. Also we have seen a few times this year where once we are approaching the storm starting. It just north north north on the models, has happened a few times this year where nyc was getting hopes up 24 hours out then the models kept going north and nyc ended as all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, tool483 said: That pick up sounds like it could be a little dicey, maybe they land before the snow starts up? Hopefully pickup goes smooth..I'm trying enjoy every last bit of this warmth Heard it's been a nice weekend up there I thought I had to pick them up Tues and that is when the storm - tomorrow will be prestorm still. Yes it's been a fine weekend here - 60 both days so no complaints. I used to get to Fl every Feb for a few years but got tired of the days where it would be 65 and WiNDY and feel like 48, so I started going in March instead. A GIF of the past 4 GEFS - SLP focused (a gif of the gefs as it were) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 10 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: It's almost embarrassingly sad for the Old Professor He wonders why no one listens when he shouts at the clouds... Almost feels like there was an upgrade gone wrong .. b/c even if they left it alone from 3-5 years ago, you'd think it would be looking closer to consensus than it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, JDClapper said: Almost feels like there was an upgrade gone wrong .. b/c even if they left it alone from 3-5 years ago, you'd think it would be looking closer to consensus than it does. I still blame the whole Brexit fiasco LOL 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 @JDClapper what's your thoughts for your back yard. Seems your in an area where models have big hit generally. Then east over the NPA/ NY Border into the Catskills, HV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, Undertakerson2.0 said: I still blame the whole Brexit fiasco LOL The dems can only dream of US like the Europeans haha. Ok I'm done. Storm... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Also, the CMC kicking and screaming back in CPA and not showing "crazy" amounts, gives some slight pause. Then I look at GEFS/EPS/NAM and feel better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 11 Author Admin Share Posted February 11 10 minutes ago, HVSNOWSTORM said: Used to be so good back in the day when either you or MJ started the professor name. He's lost it. Hopefully he returns to old form. I think @MDBlueridge is your man 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, MaineJay said: I think @MDBlueridge is your man Ah yeah he's in the mix of possible canadites. I had you 1st then UdT but he definitely could be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 minute ago, HVSNOWSTORM said: @JDClapper what's your thoughts for your back yard. Seems your in an area where models have big hit generally. Then east over the NPA/ NY Border into the Catskills, HV. I'm always cautious on the "big" amounts, so much can go wrong.. feeling good for 5-7" even if the band doesn't directly hit .. of course, possible double up if that band enjoy a stay in West Susquehanna Valley overnight. Thinking I should try to get to bed at a normal time (10, 10:30) b/c Lord knows I'll be waking up every hour looking at the window, and once I see it dumping, that's all the sleep I'm getting Monday lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 minutes ago, JDClapper said: Also, the CMC kicking and screaming back in CPA and not showing "crazy" amounts, gives some slight pause. Then I look at GEFS/EPS/NAM and feel better. Lol toss the cmc/rgem. Been lost for days and only now are they even getting a clue. And moving towards other guidance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, JDClapper said: I'm always cautious on the "big" amounts, so much can go wrong.. feeling good for 5-7" even if the band doesn't directly hit .. of course, possible double up if that band enjoy a stay in West Susquehanna Valley overnight. Thinking I should try to get to bed at a normal time (10, 10:30) b/c Lord knows I'll be waking up every hour looking at the window, and once I see it dumping, that's all the sleep I'm getting Monday lol I agree. More than 4" for you. Likely 5-10". Possibly more with the band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 minute ago, JDClapper said: I'm always cautious on the "big" amounts, so much can go wrong.. feeling good for 5-7" even if the band doesn't directly hit .. of course, possible double up if that band enjoy a stay in West Susquehanna Valley overnight. Thinking I should try to get to bed at a normal time (10, 10:30) b/c Lord knows I'll be waking up every hour looking at the window, and once I see it dumping, that's all the sleep I'm getting Monday lol The only advantage to an aged prostrate is that it gives a built in excuse to get out of bed at regular intervals, so you can check if it started yet. (double entendre is intentional btw) 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Well in keeping with the day….. here is what happening pregame for my area && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Latest radar trends show light rain is on its way out, much quicker than indicated by guidance, and it should exit the area by 18Z. However, a thick overcast will persist as light onshore flow. Patchy light drizzle will likely develop along the east slopes of the Appalachians and Blue Ridge Mountains particularly tonight and Monday morning before steadier rain arrives again Monday afternoon. Little diurnal temperature range is expected today or tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 4 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: The only advantage to an aged prostrate is that it gives a built in excuse to get out of bed at regular intervals, so you can check if it started yet. (double entendre is intentional btw) Hahaha this is hilarious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Ukie must have no snow from the main low and only coastal. Cuz CPA it gives zero snow to. Looks like it's stating to figure it out but not there yet still late to the game like rgem cmc. 0z vs 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Prior to 12z data rolling in. Imagine their late PM updates will dip 10-20 miles south a bit, unless Euro throws a huge twist into the mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anthonyweather Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 26 minutes ago, HVSNOWSTORM said: Snow depth is so bad. It is, however I think we start losing the accumulations once the rates taper to flurries. That’s when the sublimation will occur. If it’s ripping 1-2” an hour all surfaces will cover and accumulate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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