LiveWire_13 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 hours ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Likely Still not a fan of "The Bern" - seems too much like a repackaged Henry for my taste. Maine Jay does more and better break down of the factors than any number of the pros, and Content WxGuy (formerly known as Cranky) adds great illustration to it all. Give me that level every day - and I'll pass on the "In Accu" bloggers. Curious why you're not feeling the Bern. Not idolizing anyone, nor do I know Henry, but it seems like he looks at underlying details, clearly states his thoughts w/o hedging and uses experience. My thought is I use a number of sources, including him and y'all, to consider what Mother Nature is throwing at us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 (edited) 1 minute ago, LiveWire_13 said: Curious why you're not feeling the Bern. Not idolizing anyone, nor do I know Henry, but it seems like he looks at underlying details, clearly states his thoughts w/o hedging and uses experience. My thought is I use a number of sources, including him and y'all, to consider what Mother Nature is throwing at us. I'm sorry I mentioned it... Moving on to storm talk - some waggle seen, kind of the same in the end? Edited February 11 by Undertakerson2.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Our N march seems to be ovah... 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Ooh - "pretty" maps (lmbo) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 canadian come north, corecting to all the others? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingTer Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 11 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Our N march seems to be ovah... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongIslanGurlllll Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 12 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Our N march seems to be ovah... I hope so! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Exhibit 15, why i put so little stock on many NWS forecasts. It just is about who is manning the desk, in this case the Sunday morning shift. Warmer?? https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&issuedby=PHI&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingTer Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Yes sir ! Currently forecasted for 9-14” No Jinx here. I'm not filling the gas tank in the snowblower unit Tuesday.👍 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 5 minutes ago, NEPAsnow said: canadian come north, corecting to all the others? Again, as RTC said yesterday (as did a few others) The models do stray at Hr72 and then stumble back towards the original idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 (edited) 1.5 precip amounts at 10:1 would be like 17" at 30 degrees or am I off ? Temp monday night mid 20 to high of 30 on Tuesday, should have some changing rates overnight and thru day maybe. Edited February 11 by NEPAsnow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 When i was a lad, i used to fret about the warmth before, and think no way we get a snowstorm. Many moons later , memory says they turned out to be some of the great ones. Whoever stays just north of the “smell the rain” line going to see some serious rates. This is warm vs. cold clash . Fav type of storms are rain to snow ones. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiveWire_13 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: When i was a lad, i used to fret about the warmth before, and think no way we get a snowstorm. Many moons later , memory says they turned out to be some of the great ones. Whoever stays just north of the “smell the rain” line going to see some serious rates. This is warm vs. cold clash . Fav type of storms are rain to snow ones. I'd be OK with a few less inches if I could avoid smelling the rain every time here on LI. Kids can't make rain angels or rainmen, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 11 Moderators Share Posted February 11 Interesting gap. Saw it in the snow map, thought it was temp related since it was in the CT Valley, but it's more of a dry slot or transfer gap I guess. Might be hard to nail down where that is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, LiveWire_13 said: I'd be OK with a few less inches if I could avoid smelling the rain every time here on LI. Kids can't make rain angels or rainmen, lol. You are in a tough spot this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 19 minutes ago, LiveWire_13 said: I'd be OK with a few less inches if I could avoid smelling the rain every time here on LI. Kids can't make rain angels or rainmen, lol. your big problem there is that the main source of precip usually involves that bathtub you (the Island) sit in called the W Atlantic. The marine boundary layer has always been a bug-a-boo for forecasts and in today's world - even more so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wally Ho Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 42 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Ooh - "pretty" maps (lmbo) My goodness, those numbers are downright sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 hours ago, Anthonyweather said: Clapper getting NAM’D 20+ for clapp on the NAM 😂😂 2 hours ago, Anthonyweather said: Tropical seems to show it better I had to peek briefly during church, saw this frame of NAM and was like sipping a cold one.. "ahhhhhhhh" lol 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tool483 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Damn, looking like a good thump for some. Of course i'm out of town for this one but ok with watching from afar. Weather in Flordia right now is blowing in from the gulf, its toasty out here. Back to reality on Wed flying back, guessing there will be some cleanup to do. Sebastian, FL is very nice.. temps in the low 80's right now, my body doesn't know how to handle warmth in Feb like this lol Fun tracking this one from down here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 minute ago, tool483 said: Damn, looking like a good thump for some. Of course i'm out of town for this one but ok with watching from afar. Weather in Flordia right now is blowing in from the gulf, its toasty out here. Back to reality on Wed flying back, guessing there will be some cleanup to do. Sebastian, FL is very nice.. temps in the low 80's right now, my body doesn't know how to handle warmth in Feb like this lol Fun tracking this one from down here. My friends get back tomorrow from The Villages. I told them to enjoy it while they can - we got an "issue" waiting for them when they land tomorrow morning. (I am their ride home from airport) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Check Texas out! Vigor i say: https://www.newsbreakapp.com/n/0rGixP6W?pd=0BcsY6GH&lang=en_US&s=i16&send_time=1707669884 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 hour ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: IKEY is very much SOUTH after having lead the Northern march yesterday Finally. The last one to catch on. Good Ole iconic model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 12z round up ,(pre EURO) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 It's almost embarrassingly sad for the Old Professor He wonders why no one listens when he shouts at the clouds... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 NEPA, HV, CATSKILLS have been well modeld for a cpl days now as the heaviest axis. Obviously banding/ the CCB will help contribute to the exact spot. Also NCPA could very well be the top spot into Binghamton (Binghamton actually never fails to get in on the banding). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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