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February 5-8, 2024 | NE / Mid-Atlantic Winter Storm Speculation


Penn State

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1 hour ago, Snowadelphia said:

Things can change on a dime but it sure looks like we are going all in on the mid-Feb timeframe. 

Oddly enough 1 hour before I posted that the GFS lost the storm for the Northeast, I found a dime.

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37 minutes ago, Doorman said:

If you peeps can post the Korean model....

then can I say Blizzard of 78 Vibes????? 👹

78.thumb.png.ccef5aef3d12323b7e702fca83a4dbba.png

850temp.png.9f1e2aa8f22c5392043f9ec8f70366fc.png

check yourself before you wreck yourself

dm

 

 

Digging thru the analogs, takin' names and pointin' blames. Nice. 

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33 minutes ago, telejunkie said:

Ummm...uhhh...wth?! 

Screenshot2024-01-29at12_51_12PM.thumb.png.ee8ed4d2e4558409fc355f4ce5abafbd.png

That has to be one of the most...if not the most...convoluted h5 maps I've ever seen...

yup, and with that look we can't take any model run seriously for at least another 2 or 3 days IMO. I would say by Thursday we may have a general idea of whether this can climb the coast or not.

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I have to say.. model guidance hasn't given me much confidence in the last 24 hours.. I don't know exactly what's going to happen with this (obviously), but southern slider sure looks likely, and if not.. doesn't look like there's any real staunch cold. 

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31 minutes ago, Penn State said:

I have to say.. model guidance hasn't given me much confidence in the last 24 hours.. I don't know exactly what's going to happen with this (obviously), but southern slider sure looks likely, and if not.. doesn't look like there's any real staunch cold. 

Probably better off a southern slider. I cant watch another great track be a rain event this year.

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29 minutes ago, Penn State said:

Member 28 keeps me in the game.. pretty decent number of hits for the Carolinas, SW Virginia region. GEFS31MembersSnowfall31ensembleSnowfall31ensemble240.thumb.png.479bcbee3fd9819962bbc064b2b97b97.png

don't want to be in the bullseye a week out.  this will most likely change, for the better or the worse, depending on your perspective and where you live.

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2 hours ago, telejunkie said:

Ummm...uhhh...wth?! 

Screenshot2024-01-29at12_51_12PM.thumb.png.ee8ed4d2e4558409fc355f4ce5abafbd.png

That has to be one of the most...if not the most...convoluted h5 maps I've ever seen...

Canadian has this look too.  It goes even a little more wacky with this shortwave. 

image.png.6554f754fadebd2525d13e63b781668c.png

Sends it over Milwaukee or so. Before sweeping it back east.  Not to ignore the 540 low over Florida that goes to the Bahamas. That whole rule about exiting the country at the latitude it came in is being ignored. 

image.thumb.png.0385e30e8edd68ff888c90094534b5af.png

Edited by StretchCT
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Not many members up the coast, Southern slider? Suppression depression w/o brutal cold?

Either way I need a dry week.
IMG_4810.gif.d18ae98c1c400130b618d3397f232806.gif
 

RTCs -NAO would be nice 🤣

Edited by TLChip
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46 minutes ago, LUCC said:

Plenty of room/time for this to come north, but if it does, so does the warmth. Be careful what you wish(cast) for....

Not if we've got this flow driving south...

Screenshot 2024-01-29 at 12.51.12 PM.png

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1 hour ago, Penn State said:

This threat is a steaming pile of poo.. lol 

 

21 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

PP 💩

Yup. Dead threat. Not happening. Towel thrown. 

IMG_8829.gif

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