Wtkidz Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Sterlings says ……Nothing to see …. LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Shortwave-trough will drop southward on backside of deep cutoff low over the NW Atlantic Monday night. This will result in very little sensible weather other than to keep temps on the chilly side Tuesday. Afterwards, upper ridge over the Upper Midwest and western Great Lks is expected to drift eastward toward the Atlantic coast during the middle and second half of the week promoting a warming trend. Temperatures are expected to approach 60F by week`s end. The ridge axis is expected to shift offshore by next Fri allowing some moisture return into the area increasing the chances of a few showers ahead of a weak cold front. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Just to let you dream…. Here is a live look of snow…. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 2 Admin Share Posted February 2 I can see the humor here has been... above reproach... Anywho. On 1/27/2024 at 2:12 PM, MaineJay said: Does it happen over the Eastern CONUS or Western Atlantic is the question. On 1/27/2024 at 8:13 PM, MaineJay said: How the central NOAM ridge builds, and potentially breaks, closed low undercutting, then according to the particularly fun ECMWF, these features try to square off in a kind of "immovable object v. Irresistible force" collision. I count roughly 2/3rds of the GEFS members had that undercutting low. I think we need to consider a solution where it drifts a little far east and then some kind of looping. RE: Looping. It is one of those things that models do much more than reality. Yes, we do on occasion see loops, but often they are more of a pause, or even just an elongation. An interesting array of meteorological features to talk about. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 2 Admin Share Posted February 2 GEFS, I'll be honest, I can't tell if the optimism is sarcastic or not. Scituate ocean effect possibly? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/5dayfcst500diff_wbg.gif ATM our system in the Atlantic on Tue Feb 6th is steamrolled out to sea as per the WPC not sure I want to buy in on this ..... Waffles for breakfast anyone????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 4 hours ago, MaineJay said: I can see the humor here has been... above reproach... Anywho. It is really fascinating. The high retrogrades back west - a lot. How often do we see that? I keep wondering where does the cold come from. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 (edited) https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/exper/gefs/gefs.html use the link -scroll thru the forecast hrs. out of the box guidance gives us an alternate look at the big picture for this system so close yet so far---------we keep tracking (speculating) ✌️ dm Edited February 2 by Doorman 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lazman Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 1 minute ago, Doorman said: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/exper/gefs/gefs.html use the link -scroll thru the forecast hrs. out of the box guidance gives us an alternate look at the big picture for this system so close yet so far---------we keep tracking dm Frankie Valli storm..... https://youtu.be/vYtpKBNTCB8?si=NQmisLbfcbKVhOxI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 32 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: It is really fascinating. The high retrogrades back west - a lot. How often do we see that? I keep wondering where does the cold come from. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 For those of you that don’t remember, DM has an incredible array of toys available. He’s right you know! Loop that sucker. It just lingers forever. Ain’t that far away either. Seems to favor areas that stick out in the ocean more. Somehow, it almost gets near a benchmark track. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 7 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: For those of you that don’t remember, DM has an incredible array of toys available. He’s right you know! Loop that sucker. It just lingers forever. Ain’t that far away either. Seems to favor areas that stick out in the ocean more. Somehow, it almost gets near a benchmark track. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 2 Admin Share Posted February 2 GFS 3 Day trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 (edited) EPS trends at least DM is here bringing some different info besides our 4-day out model trends that have done… so well this year…. Edited February 2 by TLChip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Sing it Frankie!! My eyes adored you. Though I never laid a hand on you, my eyes adored you. Like a million miles away from me you didn't see how I adored you... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 2 Moderators Share Posted February 2 12 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: It's just taunting us at this point. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 (edited) 5 minutes ago, StretchCT said: It's just taunting us at this point. Voulez-vous? Gitchy gitchy ya ya da-da, Gitchy gitchy ya ya he-ah. Edited February 2 by Undertakerson2.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 (edited) 59 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Sing it Frankie!! My eyes adored you. Though I never laid a hand on you, my eyes adored you. Like a million miles away from me you didn't see how I adored you... Now I was thinking of another Frank and Strangers in the Night. Edited February 2 by Wtkidz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Sterling’s stale tidbits… warmth coming… LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Looking ahead to the upcoming work week, the period will consist of mainly dry weather, mostly sunny skies, and a warming trend late in the week. On the synoptic scale, a blocky pattern is in place as a series of closed upper features are prevalent. Most notably, this includes a slow moving upper low tracking along the Gulf Coast, an expansive ridge extending eastward from the Midwest, and a closed low near Newfoundland. The net result of these multitude of features will be the building of heights as the upstream ridge shifts focus toward the Eastern Seaboard. While the week will start off on the seasonably cool side, expect the return flow around the exiting surface anticyclone to lift temperatures back up into the 50s by Wednesday. Global ensembles are in fairly good in agreement in this dry setup and increasing warmth late in the week. Looking out to next Friday, some low 60s temperatures could push back into the area. This is all ahead of the next approaching weather maker. The latest forecast places the surface cold front out near the Mississippi River next Friday morning. Given its westward position, additional mild weather is certainly looking likely into portions of the following weekend. However, this increase in warmth, moisture, and frontal lift will re- introduce rain and clouds back into the forecast by late in the work week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 OMEGA BLOCK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lazman Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 6 minutes ago, Doorman said: OMEGA BLOCK It's all about LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION! 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 4 Moderators Share Posted February 4 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 15 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Never took it out of the closet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skier X Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Snobal gets around 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 5 Moderators Share Posted February 5 21 hours ago, Skier X said: Snobal gets around I'm so close to finding the story on this but every site I'm getting security notices. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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