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February 5-8, 2024 | NE / Mid-Atlantic Winter Storm Speculation


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1 hour ago, Wtkidz said:

You can blame this on Alaska.  Usually our best snow years Alaska has much less snow.  
 

https://apnews.com/article/anchorage-winter-record-100-inches-snow-8f7a8df055053eeaa67c1d342f614a8a

 

 

I can't believe their all time record is only 135".  I've beaten that at my locations a few times in the past couple decades I've lived here.

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6 minutes ago, MaineJay said:

I can't believe their all time record is only 135".  I've beaten that at my locations a few times in the past couple decades I've lived here.

Cue the Snobal "Have you ever heard too cold to snow"? meme

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24 minutes ago, MaineJay said:

I can't believe their all time record is only 135".  I've beaten that at my locations a few times in the past couple decades I've lived here.

Of course just like the  mainland there are areas that get more. 
 

Valdez, Alaska - It’s the snowiest place in the U.S.


The city of Valdez receives an average of 300 inches of snow annually. But
that’s in town, at sea level. Nearby Thompson Pass sees 600 to 900 inches each
year on average, and during some winters 100+ inches can fall each month for
up to five consecutive months. Compare that to Jackson Hole at 459 annual
inches, Alta at 563, Crystal Mountain at 486…


Despite the heavy snowfall, Valdez schools have only
had one snow day in recent memory.
The winter of 2011-2012 brought an unusually heavy snowfall in town. By
January 24 of 2012, 327 inches had fallen in Valdez — already well over the
yearly average of 300. December alone saw 152 inches, with another 103 falling
in January. City-owned buildings, including schools, reported snow loads that
exceeded their design capacity. For the first time in decades, Valdez kids got a
snow day.


It’s one of the most spectacular places to watch the
Northern Lights.
It’s hard to beat that backdrop for seeing the dancing lights of the aurora
borealis.

https://resources.finalsite.net/images/v1643664378/troyk12mius/oxcxh3kl6omzqmhghxmw/northernlights.pdf

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2 hours ago, MaineJay said:

I can't believe their all time record is only 135".  I've beaten that at my locations a few times in the past couple decades I've lived here.

Anchorage did well last season. There must be some correlation here, since our winter was so abysmal in the east. Makes sense, when there is troughing in AK we usually have a warm SE ridge.

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Norton

For next week, more of the same with high pressure remaining
centered to our northwest and the low well offshore. The uncertainty
increases beyond Sunday, though, regarding the eventual track of an
ocean storm that moves out of the southeastern U.S. and either out
to sea or northwest toward our eastern waters. Ensembles show a wide
range of low center tracks, but the vast majority are well to our
south, so odds of any impact from this storm are minimal at this
point in time.
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3 minutes ago, LUCC said:

Why is someone also typing but a post never published?

It’s either really long and detail or…they walked away or alt tabbed to something else?

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15 minutes ago, Doorman said:

the hell does my   L  go  ?????

I was hoping you’d tell us, I think it’s still pushed ots. Surprised d5 has L in Maine, I figured it should be an H

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LWX. Says . Storm ?  Go south , my  friends…/

 

High pressure will continue to keep the area dry Monday and Tuesday
as an area of low pressure passes well south of the region. This is
in accordance to what looks to be a fairly convergent weather
pattern across the region. 12z modeling continues to hold the area
in between a cutoff low over the northwest Atlantic and upper level
ridge over the Midwest/Great Lakes region. This keeps a fairly
active southern stream suppressed south of the region with any
moisture shunted into the southeastern U.S.

Outside of a few passing clouds Monday and Tuesday from the southern
stream low pressure system, dry conditions should prevail. This will
be the case throughout much of the extended period as the upper
level ridge axis builds eastward mid to late next week. High
temperatures will remain at to slightly above average throughout the
period.

 

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33 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said:

Place is too quiet without UT posting

I figured I'd let some others catch up to my participation count.

That, and despite no sun today it was rather warm enough for me to dance in the back lot.

Bring the models around - we can all shuffle off to Buffalo. Now that would be a kick. 

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5 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

I figured I'd let some others catch up to my participation count.

That, and despite no sun today it was rather warm enough for me to dance in the back lot.

Bring the models around - we can all shuffle off to Buffalo. Now that would be a kick. 

No sun, no weather makes RT a dull boy. It is stunning, how despite lack of weather it is constantly overcast. We are on another streak almost 2 weeks of no sun, continuing the 2024 theme. Read an El Ninja side effect. Give me sun and 40’s till the pattern changes. At least the toolboxes lifted the , ahem, drought watch, as I watch my pool float away to the nearby raging river. Morons. 

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000
NOUS42 KNHC 011740
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1240 PM EST THU 01 FEBRUARY 2024
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
         VALID 02/1100Z TO 03/1100Z FEBRUARY 2024
         WSPOD NUMBER.....23-063

I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77
       A. 03/0000Z
       B. AFXXX 20WSE IOP30
       C. 02/1730Z
       D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
          25.0N 150.0W, 25.0N 120.0W, 40.0N 120.0W, AND 40.0N 150.0W
       E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 02/2030Z TO 03/0230Z

    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:  A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY
       AN ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
       04/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY
       ANOTHER ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR
       THE 05/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

$$
WJM

NNNN

Pac dropsondes should help some with the bi-polar model runs once ingested

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD.shtml

 

 

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