RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Man it’s been a day. My club in chaos, fighting with the evil empire Google- who preaches it’s all about the customer experience, except i’m a paying customer and it’s not, so trying to scroll back. Wha happened to the unicorn Omega Block? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 1 Moderators Share Posted February 1 8 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: Man it’s been a day. My club in chaos, fighting with the evil empire Google- who preaches it’s all about the customer experience, except i’m a paying customer and it’s not, so trying to scroll back. Wha happened to the unicorn Omega Block? It collapses, the two anchor lows combine over the DelMarva and we get socked in for 4 days of snow. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 (edited) 13 minutes ago, StretchCT said: It collapses, the two anchor lows combine over the DelMarva and we get socked in for 4 days of snow. CT... if people only knew how close that statement is----- depicted by todays runs 🎩 BEST dang post since I have been on here loving the relaxed vibe with some sarcastic Wish-casting from the Mod squad!!!! Edited February 1 by Doorman 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Ya know, there is a serious big butt high in a good place at this early juncture for that Feb 7 or so thang DM is referring to. Dare i go all neg trough and stuff? And decided i would have sex with a Neg NAO after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 (edited) snow temps spot check check 1-2-3 check check CT we may need a small thread date extension {update} I know your on it Edited February 1 by Doorman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lazman Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 (edited) FWIW - don't we use the NAV as an indicator? Out the distance. Northeastward ho, young L! Edited February 1 by Lazman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Are we moving the goal post again? I like it... playing fast and loose. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Since it is a touch slow in here , thought i would post my first long range forecast(psst; it’s a little too grumpy in the long range thread to do it there): “ Due to the continued mid to strong El Ninja, PNA, DNA, NAO, AOAO, MOJO, ENSO states, historically this should lead to the continuation of suicidal cloudiness through at least March Madness. There may be a brief period of mostly cloudy around Feb 11-12 as we have a ‘tweener” window, and then a less certain chance of variably cloudy as we climb out of the deepest abyss around Feb 26 . Despite the dented, can crushed MOJO possibly morphing around that time, we should still have a pretty good window of soul sucking clouds to dominate into early to 2nd week of March.” First try, so comments welcome , but go easy. 1 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 1 Moderators Share Posted February 1 2 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: Since it is a touch slow in here , thought i would post my first long range forecast(psst; it’s a little too grumpy in the long range thread to do it there): “ Due to the continued mid to strong El Ninja, PNA, DNA, NAO, AOAO, MOJO, ENSO states, historically this should lead to the continuation of suicidal cloudiness through at least March Madness. There may be a brief period of mostly cloudy around Feb 11-12 as we have a ‘tweener” window, and then a less certain chance of variably cloudy as we climb out of the deepest abyss around Feb 26 . Despite the dented, can crushed MOJO possibly morphing around that time, we should still have a pretty good window of soul sucking clouds to dominate into early to 2nd week of March.” First try, so comments welcome , but go easy. El Ninja! Love it!🤣 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lazman Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 21 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: Since it is a touch slow in here , thought i would post my first long range forecast(psst; it’s a little too grumpy in the long range thread to do it there): “ Due to the continued mid to strong El Ninja, PNA, DNA, NAO, AOAO, MOJO, ENSO states, historically this should lead to the continuation of suicidal cloudiness through at least March Madness. There may be a brief period of mostly cloudy around Feb 11-12 as we have a ‘tweener” window, and then a less certain chance of variably cloudy as we climb out of the deepest abyss around Feb 26 . Despite the dented, can crushed MOJO possibly morphing around that time, we should still have a pretty good window of soul sucking clouds to dominate into early to 2nd week of March.” First try, so comments welcome , but go easy. MoJo JoJo. If you know, you know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 42 minutes ago, StretchCT said: El Ninja! Love it!🤣 Funny thing Stretch, i have talked much with 3 snow bird golf friends that do winters in Fla, one in far SE , two SE of Tampa, and they all said coldest Dec to present in years. Almost non- stop. Weird, cuz we have had a few cold snaps in January, but overall Dec-Jan been kind of above normal . They haven’t even golfed or beached it much. So you would think we would be froze out . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 1 Moderators Share Posted February 1 23 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: Funny thing Stretch, i have talked much with 3 snow bird golf friends that do winters in Fla, one in far SE , two SE of Tampa, and they all said coldest Dec to present in years. Almost non- stop. Weird, cuz we have had a few cold snaps in January, but overall Dec-Jan been kind of above normal . They haven’t even golfed or beached it much. So you would think we would be froze out . Weather center is closed so I can’t check but my guess is anything close to normal compared to the last few years would feel cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 1 Moderators Share Posted February 1 Oh. Upper low by Delmarva. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Baby steps I guess. That would be a named storm for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 1 Moderators Share Posted February 1 This is fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 9 minutes ago, StretchCT said: This is fun Totally, totally agree. Just not your normal look. Sooo, that means models will really struggle with. Hard to ingest a lot of historical data into the models with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 1 Admin Share Posted February 1 Need to teach the polar bears in Nunavut how to launch weather balloons. The key is in Ellesmere Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 7 hours ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: Since it is a touch slow in here , thought i would post my first long range forecast(psst; it’s a little too grumpy in the long range thread to do it there): “ Due to the continued mid to strong El Ninja, PNA, DNA, NAO, AOAO, MOJO, ENSO states, historically this should lead to the continuation of suicidal cloudiness through at least March Madness. There may be a brief period of mostly cloudy around Feb 11-12 as we have a ‘tweener” window, and then a less certain chance of variably cloudy as we climb out of the deepest abyss around Feb 26 . Despite the dented, can crushed MOJO possibly morphing around that time, we should still have a pretty good window of soul sucking clouds to dominate into early to 2nd week of March.” First try, so comments welcome , but go easy. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 1 Admin Share Posted February 1 Ensembles with spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 (edited) WPC disco https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdepd Quote The guidance average looks good for the system tracking across the Southeast, with the UKMET consistently on the southern side of the spread. Over the past day a new complication has developed regarding the ultimate evolution/track of this system over the western Atlantic, as the GFS/CMC now are much more aggressive to dig trough energy south through New England and beyond by Tuesday onward. Those solutions result in a farther north track and greater wind impacts (if not even some precipitation) along the northern East Coast. Teleconnections relative to positive height anomalies forecast over southern Canada, as well as the 12Z ECMWF-initialized ML models, do not favor upper troughing as close to the East Coast as what the GFS/GEFS suggest--but also upper ridging perhaps not reaching quite as close to New England as in the ECMWF/ECMWF mean. Thus a compromise looks reasonable at this time enjoy your tracking today Edited February 1 by Doorman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 (edited) You can blame this on Alaska. Usually our best snow years Alaska has much less snow. https://apnews.com/article/anchorage-winter-record-100-inches-snow-8f7a8df055053eeaa67c1d342f614a8a Edited February 1 by Wtkidz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 LWX says nothing to see. Of course this may change. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... The mid-Atlantic region is expected to be in an upper level convergent pattern in between a cutoff low over the NW Atlantic and an upper ridge over the Upper Midwest and Great Lks through much of next week. A deep cutoff low in the southern stream is expected to remain well south and move across the Southeast and FL with no impacts to our area. Given the upper level convergent pattern expected, dry conditions are expected over the next 7 days. Seasonably cool conditions are expected through the first half of next week with a warming trend expected during the second half as heights rise and upper ridge axis builds toward the Atlantic coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 1 Admin Share Posted February 1 6z GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 23 minutes ago, Wtkidz said: You can blame this on Alaska. I blame the pac, Alaska is just the benefactor. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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