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January 27-28, 2024 Ohio Valley/GL/MW Somewhat of a Winter Storm


BuckeyeGal

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Interesting “man vs machine” differential, but the gap appears to be closing.  Will they meet in the middle?…Who will win?…Or will we all be NAM’ed?

The latest from “man” for OH.  

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ILN latest

Quote
.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Low pressure over the lower Mississippi Valley Saturday morning will
lift northeast into Tennessee by evening. Isentropic lift ahead
of the system will spread rain through the TriState during the
evening, then across the rest of the forecast area overnight.
Depending on the exact path of the low, guidance indicates a
narrow ribbon of snow possible to the northwest of the low late.
There is a signal for 1-2" somewhere to the north and west of
Interstate 71. Since there is still considerable uncertainty in
the exact location of this band, have stayed rather conservative
on the official forecast amounts for now. With relatively warm
surface conditions, accumulations may be limited to
grassy/elevated surfaces. Will include a mention of this in the
Hazardous Weather Outlook and continue to monitor.

Temperatures lifting into the 40s on Saturday will drop into
the 30s Saturday night during the precipitation.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Upper level low is positioned directly over the Ohio Valley Sunday
morning with a surface low moving through the local area during the
first part of the day. Ongoing precipitation will continue through
the day, but a noticeable decreasing trend from west to east is
expected into Sunday evening. For this forecast period, have
maintained mention of snow & rain/snow mix (from short term
discussion) across northern portions of the local area. Some light
snow accumulations may linger into mid-morning Sunday before solar
insolation and temperatures become less suitable. Precipitation
intensity related to the vertical ascent also decreases, suggesting
maintaining cooler temperatures will become more difficult in the
lower troposphere.

 

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All the short rangers (to an extent) are still showing the heavier swath in NW Ohio/Eastern Indiana. It will be white rain, but at least it will be pretty for those that get it!

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