Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 (edited) these are DIRECT overlays of early December. Edited January 24 by Ohiobuckeye45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 24 Author Admin Share Posted January 24 21 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: these are DIRECT overlays of early December. Yep. Great track, terrible temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 24 Author Admin Share Posted January 24 The Euro turned into a slow-moving bomb on the East coast. God bless if we only had more cold. And I have said that way too many times in the past few years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wnwniner Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Seems like we can have track or cold, but not both. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Icewoz Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 DTX only mentions the possibilty of maybe a very small portion of Monroe county may get brushed with a little something, but they aren't onboard for anything big. Winter was last week. Now, the weather will just be annoying. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBlizzardOf1978 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Now in LR NAM territory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 0z GFS drops a foot of wet snow in eastern Indiana 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 25 Moderators Share Posted January 25 A check of the 4 NWS offices AFDs that might be affected in the OV, only the Northern IN office mentions the possibilities of light accums on grassy surfaces. 🤮 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 25 Moderators Share Posted January 25 The 6z GFS is ridiculously "snow-happy", even more so than the GPDS. Here's the Blend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 25 Author Admin Share Posted January 25 This storm would've been a classic for our area with normal winter temps. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wnwniner Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 hour ago, BuckeyeGal said: This storm would've been a classic for our area with normal winter temps. How long is the recurring cycle? I remember reading something about that on forums past-is that a thing, where storms come back around? Every 6 weeks/45 days? Maybe we'll have cold air the first/second week of March? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 25 Author Admin Share Posted January 25 42 minutes ago, Wnwniner said: How long is the recurring cycle? I remember reading something about that on forums past-is that a thing, where storms come back around? Every 6 weeks/45 days? Maybe we'll have cold air the first/second week of March? I’m not sure, but we can certainly hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 25 Author Admin Share Posted January 25 The GFS continues to insist on a colder, stronger scenario, bringing a heavy swath of wet snow to central/Eastern Indiana and NW/W Ohio. The other models agree that there will be snow on the NW side of the system.. but not nearly in the amount the GFS is showing. Will wait to show a comparison until the Euro runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 15 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: The GFS continues to insist on a colder, stronger scenario, bringing a heavy swath of wet snow to central/Eastern Indiana and NW/W Ohio. The other models agree that there will be snow on the NW side of the system.. but not nearly in the amount the GFS is showing. Will wait to show a comparison until the Euro runs. The main difference is that the GFS is 2-3 degrees colder in that 'cold sector' band of precip. If GFS temps can verify along with most of the heavier precip falling during the night, I can see a narrow zone of 2-3"+ of wet snow. The 6"+ totals on some of the GFS runs are most likely pure fantasy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 seeing the ECM/GFS with the higher totals vs. anything else with a higher resolution leads me to lean towards the short rangers. Definitely watching the models being in NW central OH, but its more of a I check them when I remember every few hours vs. a normal storm of refreshing the next frame every 30 seconds 😄 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 25 Author Admin Share Posted January 25 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 18z NAM looks GFS-ish with snow amounts & slightly cooler temps than other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 25 Author Admin Share Posted January 25 34 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: 18z NAM looks GFS-ish with snow amounts & slightly cooler temps than other models. Just came to say this. ICON is also matching it. Whoever gets that band will get a smack of white paste. Sloppy but fun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indygirl Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 3 hours ago, BuckeyeGal said: I’ll take it!! And I’m off Sunday/Monday which is just too perfect to come true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Hmm smells like white rain to me. Lucky ones would paste but need good returns for some local dynamic cooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Just now, junior said: Hmm smells like white rain to me. Lucky ones would paste but need good returns for some local dynamic cooling. 100% agree on white rain for what falls during the day - I've seen some of these marginal night-time events overproduce in my lifetime though. This one has a chance, albeit for a very narrow area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 (edited) 18z GFS coming in weaker/warmer than previous runs Still puts down a narrow 2-5" band in NW & N Ohio Edited January 25 by MesoscaleBanding 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 25 Author Admin Share Posted January 25 3 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: 18z GFS coming in weaker/warmer than previous runs Actually ended up with similar spot for the pasting, just less and warmer like you said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Last 6 runs of the GFS... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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