Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 Ohhh soo many Wheeeeeeeee 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 hour ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Ohhh soo many Wheeeeeeeee To all the younger posters out there, take a pic of this entire post, frame it, and put it next to your bed. Then next time you reach for the pipe or bottle , just look at it 👀👀 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 (edited) AI model for time frame. Nice high to the west pseudo banana. Right in the slot Edited January 21 by Rickrd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Next frames 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 0z gefs members and mean spread 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 (edited) 2 hours ago, Poco said: 0z gefs members and mean spread 0z geps mnspd Edited January 21 by Poco 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 21 Admin Share Posted January 21 4 hours ago, Rickrd said: AI model for time frame. Nice high to the west pseudo banana. Right in the slot Not sure which AI this is. The ECMWF site doesn't make it simple for us to just click and hold to download the image. If you use this and "save image" it will have the legend and model info. Also, I'm not sure if everyone knows there are 5 AI models, again, this might be the result of the quirks of the site with regard to bookmarking it https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A["Experimental%3A Machine learning models"]} Here's all 5 from our robot overlords, valid for 1/29 @ 12z 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 Quote Here's all 5 from our robot overlords, valid for 1/29 @ 12z Man 2112 is coming on more quickly than imagined. Come and hold the red star high in hand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 8 hours ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: To all the younger posters out there, take a pic of this entire post, frame it, and put it next to your bed. Then next time you reach for the pipe or bottle , just look at it 👀👀 Our old buddy Tom Di - must be rubbin off on me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 I've probably been looking at this all wrong and may need to recalculate Gimme a min... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 06 Z GFS Well it forms down south , tries to come up the cost , then goes out to sea. Of course the will change many many times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Upcoming weather pattern looks very Spring-like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 21 Admin Share Posted January 21 1 hour ago, Wtkidz said: 06 Z GFS Well it forms down south , tries to come up the cost , then goes out to sea. Of course the will change many many times Troffing in the NE Pacific needs to ease up a little I'd say. It begins to pump a western ridge, but the Pacific gets too pushy, and the ridge gets nudged east before collapsing, and we get late storm development. They are going to be doing flights in the Pacific, I don't see it helping out a ton, but it might narrow the spread somewhat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 24 minutes ago, MaineJay said: Troffing in the NE Pacific needs to ease up a little I'd say. It begins to pump a western ridge, but the Pacific gets too pushy, and the ridge gets nudged east before collapsing, and we get late storm development. They are going to be doing flights in the Pacific, I don't see it helping out a ton, but it might narrow the spread somewhat. Very good analysis of the "push" MJ, indeed when we look the Western Ridge for help, it's best if it can maintain its proximal structure and not "fold over" at the crest. (we being the entire region not only N NE) It may be a very close thing, as the east asia jet extension is only beginning, at that time period, to split after having "flooded" our warm period leading into this. (that split, in turn, seems to last and enhance the prospect of much more winter as we head into February) Another fly in the ointment is near zero antecedent cold - any wide spread snow storm will have to rely on time of day and/or strengthening to have enough cold. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 So verrry close - 3 available, just need some timing.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 (edited) Disregarding the energies at play and just looking for how the western ridge is trending GEFS last 8 runs Edited January 21 by Poco 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 21 Moderators Share Posted January 21 This mornings GFS and EPS control strangely in sync in the big picture. Details are still off. 12z gfs a little south. But based on the dates, this isn't the right storm? There isn't really much going on in the 29-31 period on this mornings runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, StretchCT said: This mornings GFS and EPS control strangely in sync in the big picture. Details are still off. 12z gfs a little south. But based on the dates, this isn't the right storm? There isn't really much going on in the 29-31 period on this mornings runs. My original post ignored the one you are showing and focused more on the fully phased monster shown on the runs of the creation date. This one is not a phased storm- hence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 Though my initial post also showed the predecessor storms on the GGEM and Euro, it was to mention how they saw this all differently than the GFS. It is a bit "messy" at this juncture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 21 Moderators Share Posted January 21 Just now, Undertakerson2.0 said: Though my initial post also showed the predecessor storms on the GGEM and Euro, it was to mention how they saw this all differently than the GFS. It is a bit "messy" at this juncture So the storm that hits on the 28th 29th isn't the unphased piece of the southern energy? There's a northern stream piece out in front by Maine and another northern sw over Saskatchewan/Montana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 21 Moderators Share Posted January 21 (edited) 4 minutes ago, StretchCT said: So the storm that hits on the 28th 29th isn't the unphased piece of the southern energy? There's a northern stream piece out in front by Maine and another northern sw over Saskatchewan/Montana. Nevermind. I see what you were talking about now that I went back and looked at yesterday's 0z gfs. Its another southern piece that phases really hits later on the 30th/31st. Edited January 21 by StretchCT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 Yes - why last night I showed the N PAC view and the 4 vort max's out there that swing by on these dates. Dr. Strange gonna need the Time Stone to figure it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 Euro does nothing to clear this up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now