Jump to content

January 28-29, 2024 Mid-Atl/NE Winter Storm Potential


Recommended Posts

  • Moderators

Upton still meh on this

Sunday

Rain, mainly after 8am. High near 38. Light northeast wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Sunday Night

Rain before 11pm, then rain and snow likely. Low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

From the AFD

The limiting factor for a big snowfall event is
marginally cold airmass and lack of a strong high to the north.
The latter of which is coming in behind the system. So dynamical
cooling will be the main mechanism to cool the column enough for
potential snow. Gusty NE winds will also accompany the system with
gust 25 to 35 mph, highest along the immediate coast.
Edited by StretchCT
Link to comment
Share on other sites

35 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said:

Fear not, every 6 hours there is a new train ride.

Last time GFS was doing that to my area (Jan 6-7), I got very little.  Too bad back then I didn't have this meme.

 

May be an image of measuring stick and text that says 'I SURVIVED THE BLIZZARD'

  • LAUGH 3
  • WIND 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Most of us know the following already but I think it’s worth saying.

For those who didn’t pick up on those two posts from the last page. Snowfall was 5” but depth change was only .5”, JD was also joking about this yesterday. Don’t rely on snowfall maps, check snow depth or depth change. 

  • LIKE 1
  • LOVE 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

51 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said:

Fear not, every 6 hours there is a new train ride.

Always ride the one with the most snow in your backyard right? 
image.gif.62c2670e0ee33f61f53a0a541eddbb53.gif

  • LAUGH 1
  • THUMBS UP 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Even Sterling mentions the white gold. Of. Purse it will not amount to anything.

 

As precipitation lingers Sunday afternoon into the evening,
temperatures cool to the low 30s in the higher elevations. In
these areas, snow is possible with up to an inch accumulation in
the Alleghenies. Further east, little accumulation is expected
but could possibly see a snowflake or rain/snow mix.
Precipitation chances decrease in the southern portions of the
area Sunday night with precipitation lingering elsewhere.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Truly hope you guys up north of us get a decent snow. Been a rough ride i heard. It’s still about that high. Always was. Gets in the right position , not late , not too far west, and should deliver. Sure is all swolled up. 
Also truly hope another model or 2 comes around to the amounts the Magical Mystery Tour had. You just don’t to be stuck at the station  with THAT being the only ride.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Moderators

I'll use the ole "just cause" clause and post 12z Euro (note this is combo of today/tonights event and Sunday-Monday at 10:1)

Screenshot 2024-01-26 at 1.20.20 PM.png

Edited by telejunkie
  • SNOWMAN 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Moderators
7 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

watching but already mentally moved on to B/O February 😁

 

Unfortunately a lot less optimisitic about Feb now that we seem to have lost MJO support as it regresses back towards 6 then probably into COD and both AO and NAO look to remain fairly unfavorable. But we'll see...we know fickle these outlooks can be.

  • THUMBS DOWN 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, telejunkie said:

Unfortunately a lot less optimisitic about Feb now that we seem to have lost MJO support as it regresses back towards 6 then probably into COD and both AO and NAO look to remain fairly unfavorable. But we'll see...we know fickle these outlooks can be.

EMON not so sure

image.thumb.png.532df2823a3129b8c88e41076e6f52fa.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Moderators

 

1 hour ago, StretchCT said:

Euro trend

trend-ecmwf_full-2024012612-f072.snku_acc-imp.us_ne.thumb.gif.cb78c80fdaac96390e34dd3eafb90127.gif

Seemingly a decent trend for many...

1 hour ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

EMON not so sure

image.thumb.png.532df2823a3129b8c88e41076e6f52fa.png

Looks like it's locked in....

FvpVLw.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...