JDClapper Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 🤷♂️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 48 minutes ago, Rickrd said: Picture please. I need to visualize. If i do that, we gotta roll with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 15 minutes ago, Doorman said: bet she melted a few snowballs back in the day.......😺 See , my old friend DM still has it! New i could count on you. Hopefully Stephanie has stopped stalking you 😀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lazman Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Reality check, gentlemen. We're out at Day 4. Now back to your regularly scheduled programming. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 8 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: See , my old friend DM still has it! New i could count on you. Hopefully Stephanie has stopped stalking you 😀 JD RENKEN told me to stay on topic Mr. Cooke LMFAO 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 (edited) 34 minutes ago, Doorman said: bet she melted a few snowballs back in the day.......😺 Nice calves…..!!!!! wonder if she knows what a norlun trough is and what it means. 😬 I’ll let myself out. Edited January 24 by Rickrd 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Track and the high gonna rule this one. No shit Capt Obvious but Winter Storm Kelly😍 won’t be putting bikiner’ on for this one by the ocean. Best temps in years there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 48 minutes ago, Doorman said: bet she melted a few snowballs back in the day.......😺 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 minute ago, 1816 said: Dude on the right reminds me of a younger RickRd. If it does slow down some, can’t help but wonder if it is a rain to snow scenario for many areas due to that miracle high. Rain to snow situations are days of yore recently- days of future pasts. Still need some convincing that the high can elbow its way in properly between 2 warms, but i’ll watch and drink either way👍 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 11 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: Dude on the right reminds me of a younger RickRd. If it does slow down some, can’t help but wonder if it is a rain to snow scenario for many areas due to that miracle high. Rain to snow situations are days of yore recently- days of future pasts. Still need some convincing that the high can elbow its way in properly between 2 warms, but i’ll watch and drink either way👍 If it's gonna happen, I'd pick a year like this one. Years like this are our miracle years. Nino qbo everything lines up. It's been mediocre up to now but it just might be time for some action. Feb could be big for everyone. Why not start it off with a hail Mary for our northern mid atl folks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 25 Author Share Posted January 25 6 minutes ago, Pghsnow said: Maybe Not any discernable change between that and its 12z run. Maybe just a tad more neutral trough - otherwise, hand in glove. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 (edited) Really interesting how this may work out. Lesson learned. Pattern does not need —NAO and/or -AO. I think the +PNA can be a bigger factor. Edited January 25 by Rickrd 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 25 Author Share Posted January 25 Just now, Rickrd said: Really interesting how this may out. Lesson learned. Pattern does not need -NAO and/or -AO. I think the +PNA can be a bigger factor. Poc and I often discuss - give us a PNA+ and we'll take chances with the rest falling in line. It provides the sliding board that short waves can dive along into the long wave troughs, a sort of collection mechanism. You get downstream pooling as a result and a neutral LW trough base and then things CAN happen. Track goes correctly if trough swings, temps take care of by deepening system drawing down upper cold. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 25 Author Share Posted January 25 Even under best scenario, it will have to deepen as least as much as Euro depicts (which is just under bomb level) - and that CAN happen with the multi vort max energies flying into the trough. The SLP High Over Top will help yet will still need upper levels being brought to crash through the mid level incursion of the warm and wet mid's. Tomorrow we start to get into Meso range and then the posts may be flying hot and heavy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Must sayUT, RickRd , you guys were trending down last night, but now you came back👍 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 7 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: Must sayUT, RickRd , you guys were trending down last night, but now you came back👍 Ah. Never towel tossed tho. Experience knows better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Just now, Rickrd said: Ah. Never towel tossed tho. Experience knows better It was the bird shit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 25 Moderators Share Posted January 25 Wonder if the 18z rule applies to the EPS too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted January 25 Meteorologist Share Posted January 25 Well the Euro was certainly interesting to see! Got a while to go though my thoughts were more NEPA into SENY/Central NY/SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 For Lehigh Valley, surface temos on the 18z euro and its ensemble are borderline above freezing. They do crash but after storm is well offshore. Same goes for the 850’s. NEPA looks good at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Whatever, dispatching coverage early for Winter Storm Kelly😍. UT , you cover Cap Region- just don’t overdo it with the galoshes and stuff. Bad look. RickRd, You got Bingy! Great spot for this one. May never get out though. RC going to ground zero, The Port. Clap said i can crash at his place. Tito’s , or the new bomb- Wood Reserve smoked. Need some volunteers up north- step up! Good luck all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Holly updated: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&issuedby=PHI&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off ya know, she musta got learned up, cuz she wasn’t that intelligent when we dated. Alas, you guys are thinking perhaps it was the company, had to dumb it down. Fair enough. Her last words were something to the effect of “ you just didn’t stimulate me mentally “. Whatever, born and raised in the Coal Region. Don’t recall anyone else from the ol’ hood that went away to become nuclear physicists. We weren’t exactly talking atoms and chugging beers. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 25 Moderators Share Posted January 25 Upton's latest AFD - GFS was "very disjointed" Both ridging aloft and at the surface will build across the area Friday night into Saturday. At the same time, a closed low over the Southern Plains tracks into the Mid Mississippi Valley. The associated storm system will impact the area late Saturday night into Monday. A broad area of surface low pressure moves into the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys on Sunday, with a secondary developing along the Mid Atlantic coast. The latter of which deepens and passes to the south and east of the forecast area Sunday night into Monday. The 12Z GFS is very disjointed with the system and farther south than the operational ECMWF and Canadian, also not as deep. The GEFS mean is a more northern solution and the EPS has quite a camp of lows from around 980 mb to just under a 1000 mb. The magnitude and placement of this low will be critical in determining whether there is a changeover of the rain, that begins late Saturday night, to snow and/or a wintry mix. The best chance at this time looks to be Sunday night into Monday morning. Some of the higher elevations north and west of NYC may see this happen even sooner. However, it`s much too early to be this specific, but something to watch in coming days. In addition, gusty NE winds will be a possibility during this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 32 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: Whatever, dispatching coverage early for Winter Storm Kelly😍. UT , you cover Cap Region- just don’t overdo it with the galoshes and stuff. Bad look. RickRd, You got Bingy! Great spot for this one. May never get out though. RC going to ground zero, The Port. Clap said i can crash at his place. Tito’s , or the new bomb- Wood Reserve smoked. Need some volunteers up north- step up! Good luck all! Getting the couch ready for ya! We can measure the slushy coating together. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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