RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Wtf did you guys do while i was gone 😀 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paletitsnow63 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 (edited) Interesting how the long range 12Z GFS has a couple more storms with similarities to the one in this thread. Basically starting out too warm with rain then storm is forced to the coast and precipitation turns to snow. H192 to H222 and then again H342 to H384. In all 3 instances (the 2 I mentioned plus the one this weekend) the source of the cold is backdoored into the MA & NE from a big cold pool that is locked in over SE Canada and far NE USA. Edited January 24 by Paletitsnow63 Reclarify 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gettysburger Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 9 hours ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: I guess winter's over 😞 I'm getting old, I remember back when we'd already have a follow up thread for BOTM threat. Pretty lonely in here - Reminds me of when I tried to start my own weather page - except I'd have at least a half dozen faithful awake at Rooster Shift hours. UTS, I always look forward to reading your posts and the information you provide. I’ve learned so much from just reading what everyone shares on here. Winter is far from over! Keep up the great work. We appreciate you! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gettysburger Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 hour ago, Rickrd said: Oh. And then there’s this. 12z. euro. Yikes Nice! Bring some of that heavier snow back my way. 😃 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 (edited) 14 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: Wtf did you guys do while i was gone 😀 Threw a snow party and appeased the snow gods Edited January 24 by clm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 (edited) so RTC, it’s slowly slowing slower… I think it’s still a reach for SEPA/LV. Maybe HV bullseye currently. Let’s see how the models continue to trend… except the GFS we agreed to throw it out earlier right? yeah, I did it on purpose! Edited January 24 by TLChip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Just now, TLChip said: so RTC, it’s slowly slowing slower… I think it’s still a reach for SEPA/LV. Maybe HV bullseye currently. Let’s see how the models continue to trend… except the GFS we agreed to throw it out earlier right? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcari394 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 It's funny how you really even have to open the thread to see how the models are trending. HOT - 1000 NEW = It's trending colder and snowier. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 (edited) Wonder what the spike was after the 12z euro went out. Lots of people lurking now. I guess it is always the clownmaps! Edited January 24 by TLChip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jacksonjeff Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 6 minutes ago, TLChip said: Wonder what the spike was after the 12z euro went out. Lots of people lurking now. I guess it is always the clownmaps! A clown map is like a picture of a hot girl or guy ( trying to be PC ). Both you look at and enjoy, even though there’s no chance. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 (edited) Sucking down some cold air… that’s a needle to thread. also, you can really see that warmth from the pacific here. Watch the yellows just get pushed over the Rockies into Canada and conus. Edited January 24 by TLChip 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LUCC Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 (edited) 32 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: Wtf did you guys do while i was gone 😀 Right, just logged back on since 10a and WTF is going on up in HUR!! Whatever it is, keep it going. Edited January 24 by LUCC 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFlash Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 I knew when I saw 4 pages develope after the majority 12z suites were done that the europeans must of gotten the party started. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 24 Moderators Share Posted January 24 4 minutes ago, Pghsnow said: NAm at h84 with GFS and EUro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 30 minutes ago, TLChip said: so RTC, it’s slowly slowing slower… I think it’s still a reach for SEPA/LV. Maybe HV bullseye currently. Let’s see how the models continue to trend… except the GFS we agreed to throw it out earlier right? yeah, I did it on purpose! Yes, and yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 8 minutes ago, StretchCT said: NAm at h84 with GFS and EUro Dang that looks to be lining up similar early in also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 At least we have one to track, and by end Feb we all may be track weary. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 For interior PA, I'd say 12z EPS gives this a 51%+ chance to measure white Sunday evening. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Snow depth 👍 not snowfall. Are we clappertracking 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Bgm has spoken! DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Watching a potential coastal system that could impact the area Sunday into Monday. This storm system could bring a mix of snow and rain to the region, with probabilities for accumulating snow starting to increase. There remains quite a bit of uncertainty with this storm system. Be sure to check back for updates as we get closer in time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Mt Holly: 12Z Models caught their attention. .....One notable feature with the 12Z suite of models is an increasing possibility for an accumulating snow as the system departs. The most likely areas for this would be for the Lehigh Valley and NW, but other areas are not out of the question. It will be a matter of how quickly things change to snow and how cold the ground is when this occurs. The EC/CMC models are trending towards this scenario while the GFS remain cool to the idea. Certainly the `time of day` factor is working `pro-snow`. We`ll keep an eye on this since it could affect the Monday commute for our metro areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 8 minutes ago, NEPAsnow said: Bgm has spoken! DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Watching a potential coastal system that could impact the area Sunday into Monday. This storm system could bring a mix of snow and rain to the region, with probabilities for accumulating snow starting to increase. There remains quite a bit of uncertainty with this storm system. Be sure to check back for updates as we get closer in time. CTP hasn't updated their thoughts on this since 10pm last night 😞 (mainly rain, maybe a small chance of snow on mtns) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 20 minutes ago, TLChip said: Snow depth 👍 not snowfall. Are we clappertracking Yes, snow depth keeps one humble. 2" snow depth COULD mean like 3-6" snowFALL .. but I look it as my chances of 1-3" of snow are looking OK. I'm less sad Monday morning when it ends up a coating of slush garbage that melts by 2pm. 😄 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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