Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 24 Author Share Posted January 24 2 minutes ago, Miller A said: It would make a noise, which by definition is unwanted sound. So long as it stays below the din of my Rice Krispies, I know I will not lose sleep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted January 24 Moderators Share Posted January 24 For s&g....12z ICON. Eastern New England gets rocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 24 Author Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, telejunkie said: For s&g....12z ICON. Eastern New England gets rocked they need it. Despite our jabs, they are also well behind in seasonal snowfall. (as per Weather World Snow Risk segment last night) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 24 Author Share Posted January 24 GFS - pregame hours of 72-75. A weaker inland low with better height falls near SC coast. A bit more pressing from our surface High in Canada Baby steps towards a "better" solution? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 7 minutes ago, telejunkie said: It's a make it or break for many...yes. It'll provide a feed of cold air, but it could also suppress the storm south if the s/w isn't robust enough. Hard to see too much suppression with this one. Think that is the lesser risk. Although i must remember that the world is more than just the n mid atl , and you are probably referencing NE 😃 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miller A Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 9 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: So long as it stays below the din of my Rice Krispies, I know I will not lose sleep. Is that you I see crawling to the surface of a dark Scottish loch? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 24 Author Share Posted January 24 Just now, Miller A said: Is that you I see crawling to the surface of a dark Scottish loch? No just me trying to get used to the dental implants - This is a much earlier move towards the Coast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 24 Author Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: No just me trying to get used to the dental implants - This is a much earlier move towards the Coast. Moves it about 50 linear miles S - 1036 over top High is 1mb stronger than last go around 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 24 Author Share Posted January 24 Bing NY gets hammered early 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 24 Author Share Posted January 24 The over top high gets stronger as the storm approaches, then holds strength as the inland low transfers to off NJ coast. THERE it is. What the EAR showed for this evolution - a second low trying to pull the front runner back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Bing NY gets hammered early Long lost city of Bingy. Old snow capital of east coast. N and W enough the get lake effect, east enough to get coastals, and north enough the miss a lot of mixers. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 24 Author Share Posted January 24 Hello Balt and DC corridor (again) Not as much as 6z though Kind of an odd translation - which is to be expected given the nature of inland transfer situations. This go around featured an early move of the surface low to the coast - which then backed off in favor of the inland low - which then was not able to climb as far N and had to give it up to the coastal eventually. All at the same time, the High over top got about 3mb stronger peak of storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 If i were Clap, i’d be pretty happy where i live for this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 24 Author Share Posted January 24 And, while that lingers just east of the benchmark - this mess has to resolve behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 24 Author Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: If i were Clap, i’d be pretty happy where i live for this one. Yes. The whole 80 and up crowd in a very good place. We are in that cruddy "tween" zone - not really enthused outside of prospect of large surprise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 12 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: The over top high gets stronger as the storm approaches, then holds strength as the inland low transfers to off NJ coast. THERE it is. What the EAR showed for this evolution - a second low trying to pull the front runner back Just sooo hard to trust GFS 4+ days out. Ok , even 2 days out, even …. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GregRups Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 CMC looks solid. Can post when it finishes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GregRups Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GregRups Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 24 Author Share Posted January 24 Just now, GregRups said: Yes it was better than previous and in line with what the other two were signalling - a stronger High over top (not unusual for models to under model HP in cold seasons) and a more southern oriented axis of best accumulations. Obviously, we aren't changing initial conditions though - and those are TOASTY warm, to temper expectation to more along Kuchera ratio or Snow Depth amounts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 15 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: Just sooo hard to trust GFS Fixed. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 24 Author Share Posted January 24 Looks like Phils Party may be while snow is falling this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDBlueridge Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 6 hours ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: I guess winter's over 😞 I'm getting old, I remember back when we'd already have a follow up thread for BOTM threat. Pretty lonely in here - Reminds me of when I tried to start my own weather page - except I'd have at least a half dozen faithful awake at Rooster Shift hours. You just keep on posting! I enjoy the reads each morning. I offer little to nothing in long range and you guys are doing a nice job keeping us up to date. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paletitsnow63 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 12Z Ukie has a nice track but not much cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 24 Author Share Posted January 24 Just now, MDBlueridge said: You just keep on posting! I enjoy the reads each morning. I offer little to nothing in long range and you guys are doing a nice job keeping us up to date. You know me, you can knock me down but you can't shut me up (trust me, I've tried) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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