Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 16 Admin Share Posted January 16 1 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaf316 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Does anyone have the kuchera for the 12z gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 16 Admin Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, Jaf316 said: Does anyone have the kuchera for the 12z gfs? 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaf316 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 4 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: Thanks! Gfs seems to be holding pretty steady, at least for central OH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 GEFS mean snowfall at 10:1 - probably a safe bet to tack on 1-2" to these totals to account for the higher ratios that will almost certainly occur. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 If the southern stream SLP were further west this would most certainly be a better system. Need a little more ridging in SE to slow that puppy up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 16 Admin Share Posted January 16 UKMet. Remember this is 10:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 ILN mentions 15-20:1 ratios in their morning AFD. Also said they're leaning toward a widespread 1-3" event with the possibility of 2-4" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 16 Author Share Posted January 16 Just now, MesoscaleBanding said: ILN mentions 15-20:1 ratios in their morning AFD. Also said they're leaning toward a widespread 1-3" event with the possibility of 2-4" That seems a safe call this far in advanced. I've been keeping track of the liquid equivalent (QPF) output. I like using this as a base and then go from there on ratios. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 January thaw after this system so it better be good. It’ll only last a bit tho. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 16 Author Share Posted January 16 3 minutes ago, junior said: January thaw after this system so it better be good. It’ll only last a bit tho. I don't mind thaws after cold spells. I just don't want either of them hanging on endlessly. After warm spell, I am ready for more cold. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Euro a bit on the lighter side of snowfall. Still looks like a 2-4” statewide in Ohio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Euro is weak sauce once again. Generally .1 -.2 qpf 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 16 Author Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Euro is weak sauce once again. Generally .1 -.2 qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 15 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Euro is weak sauce once again. Generally .1 -.2 qpf I would think that would still be 2-4” with ratios. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 16 Admin Share Posted January 16 So GFS/RGEM/Canadian/UKMet/ICON vs Euro/NAM, when it comes to amounts. But at least the storm is there on all. Used to be if Euro/NAM were together that was a done deal but things have changed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 10 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: I would think that would still be 2-4” with ratios. True, but if you get stuck in a 0.1 qpf pocket, you might only see ~1.5" - best of the season, but I'd be incredibly disappointed knowing that the next 10+ days are going to be a garbage pattern. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 16 Author Share Posted January 16 12Z Euro EPS Mean QPF 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 16 Admin Share Posted January 16 3 minutes ago, RobB said: 12Z Euro EPS Mean QPF Seems a bit more generous. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 5 minutes ago, RobB said: 12Z Euro EPS Mean QPF Not bad - would support widespread 3-4" with an assist from healthy ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 16 Author Share Posted January 16 15z SREFS Mean 10:1 snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 16 Admin Share Posted January 16 NAM far more robust. 😄 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2-4" looking like a decent call at the moment - and let's hope this is one of those systems that beef up the qpf a bit as we head into showtime. Won't take much to make this a very solid event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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