Grace Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 (edited) I would think if this were going to be stronger than advertised there would be improvement on 12z. NAM went the other way. If the rest of 12z follows then I'd say that's telling. Either way all of those north of Ohio River can still cash in on the northern stream if all models remain weak. I can't help but wonder if the decent snow pack through deep south keeps the southern stream from being further north & models are catching onto that now. Edited January 16 by Grace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 16 Admin Share Posted January 16 Do not like that the NAM remained weak. Blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 3KM this is the entirety of WAVE 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 12z ICON both waves 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 16 Admin Share Posted January 16 The RGEM looks similar to its earlier runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 6z ECM is as mentioned. Ugly except parts of KY 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 16 Admin Share Posted January 16 Still snowing in many areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 RGEM is sticking to its guns. Interesting battle with NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 The Canadian models have been absolutely dreadful. I can’t take them seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 yeah I'm not even entertaining those 2 models for this one GEFS 10:1 looks good for a big area, but not nearly as far west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 FV3 has a healthy wave 1 hit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Nice 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 So our bad models are going heaviest with the snow. Let’s see what the new GFS brings before we celebrate. 😊 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 16 Admin Share Posted January 16 15 minutes ago, JayPSU said: The Canadian models have been absolutely dreadful. I can’t take them seriously. If they didn’t have support from other models I would totally agree. I don’t think the Nam’s meager solution is right, and I don’t think the pumped up Canadians are right. Somewhere in the middle. 😊☃️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 the i80 band on the GFS still pretty locked in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 16 Admin Share Posted January 16 2nd wave's low appears slightly stronger on the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 16 Admin Share Posted January 16 GFS still in the heavier camp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 I like the GFS for me obviously. It gives me more than the others, lol. But as it moves further east it transfers to the coast, which results in less for OV. That's certainly possible but it's strange that it transfers & then just continues OTS. Usually a transfer remains closer to the coast & strengthens. So I'm not sure I buy it. Since that's the difference in the ICON & RGEM versus the GFS obviously models are still resolving that & have not as of yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoroBuckeye Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 11 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: the i80 band on the GFS still pretty locked in Yea, it starts north and then sags southward. Could still drop an initial 1-2” in the lucky spots before wave 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoroBuckeye Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 (edited) Let’s all continue to appreciate we aren’t talking about WAA and how much the rain/snow line moved model run to model run. A rare instance of that! Edited January 16 by BoroBuckeye 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 16 Author Share Posted January 16 I am simply hoping the one thread I opened this season isn't a fail. Doesn't seem to be and I never mentioned it as a Winter Storm. That may help .,lol 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Papa Canadian is holding steady. Appears to back off it’s crazy totals from last night and fall in line with the rest of guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 16 Admin Share Posted January 16 Despite having poor results this winter for our area, I do think the Canadian has a better handle on the coastal low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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