Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 16 Admin Share Posted January 16 All these do. Lol. I’m thinking 2”-3”. Hoping for 3”-5” but worried about weakening. High ratios will hopefully help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 16 Admin Share Posted January 16 Hahahaha. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Canadian needs to quit taking roids... 1 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 16 Admin Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Canadian needs to quit taking roids... Shoot, it was still snowing when I captured mine. Yours is better lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 The “we are do” index is pretty high. Feeling pretty jealous seeing all of my friends in Baltimore getting an unexpected 4-6” tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Columbusbuckeye Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 (edited) 13 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Canadian needs to quit taking roids... Lock it in! Now if you’ll excuse me, I’m off to buy bread and milk. Edited January 16 by Columbusbuckeye 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Yea...how about that CMC Ohio peeps! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaf316 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Canadians are so polite, even their weather models give us pity snow... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 16 Author Share Posted January 16 Just now, Grace said: Yea...how about that CMC Ohio peeps! CMC is usually too cold and too over the top with snow amounts. It's a meh with me. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaf316 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, RobB said: CMC is usually too cold and too over the top with snow amounts. It's a meh with me. Absolutely. I look at the Canadian purely for comic relief. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeXrad Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 50 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Canadian needs to quit taking roids... I don't see how that is not doable if we get a merged system.. a bit over the top but it gives an idea 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 16 Moderators Share Posted January 16 Things are getting interesting.... From CLE this AM (1/16): After a brief lull in snow Thursday evening into Thursday night, chances quickly ramp back up late Thursday night into Friday morning across the entire forecast area. A lobe of the tropospheric polar vortex will drop into the Great Lakes Friday into Saturday, bringing Arctic air back to the area. Ahead of this feature, a rather potent shortwave/clipper will zip across the Ohio Valley Thursday night into Friday. Yesterday it was mentioned it was somewhat uncertain how much this system would be able to amplify ahead of the incoming Arctic air, leading to a low-confidence forecast regarding snow potential. Since yesterday guidance has generally trended more amplified with the shortwave, with some models (such as the Canadian, but with some ensemble support from the GFS and Euro ensembles) even showing this shortwave phasing with some energy in the sub-tropical jet stream, yielding a more notable synoptic snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 16 Moderators Share Posted January 16 Looking at the 2" probabilities for a 48hour period on Friday. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 16 Moderators Share Posted January 16 With this high-ratio snow moving in, I'm thinking tomorrow evening or maybe Thursday morning will be a good time to break out the SREF Tracker. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 16 Moderators Share Posted January 16 THRU HOUR ~120. The latest NWS Blend and the 06z GFS and 06Z Icon. 06Z Euro (thru HR 90) still running. Quote 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 16 Moderators Share Posted January 16 I don't want to forget about our two 06z mid-range "friends". One is more friendlier than the other. More friendly first... THRU HOUR 84. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 16 Moderators Share Posted January 16 And to conclude my morning barrage, the 06z Euro THRU HOUR 90. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 16 Admin Share Posted January 16 I find it interesting that the NAM is the least friendly, since it tends to over-amp. Hm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaf316 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 14 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: I find it interesting that the NAM is the least friendly, since it tends to over-amp. Hm. It looks like the NAM is still snowing at hr 84, so that might not be the final total... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 16 Admin Share Posted January 16 6 minutes ago, Jaf316 said: It looks like the NAM is still snowing at hr 84, so that might not be the final total... Good catch. That was like yesterday with some of the model runs. I watched the 0Z ICON and thought it was crap, but as @Jenny pointed out, it was still a decent amount.. just prolonged. Looking forward to getting today's system out of there so we can hone in on what's going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaf316 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 10 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: Good catch. That was like yesterday with some of the model runs. I watched the 0Z ICON and thought it was crap, but as @Jenny pointed out, it was still a decent amount.. just prolonged. Looking forward to getting today's system out of there so we can hone in on what's going to happen. Yeah, getting cautiously excited about the prospects later this week. Good luck to everyone! In the meantime, enjoy the mood flakes this morning... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 9z SREF mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 (edited) I think I'm going to side with the ECM/GFS combo on this one, I haven't seen anything as of recent couple storms that leads me to believe the shorter range models have any better grip than the globals Thinking a general 2-4'' with ratios right now Edited January 16 by Ohiobuckeye45 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Thursday wave is weak & north on the 12z NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Hmmmm, even the NAM is weak. That should be a warning sign… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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