Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 wow you guys had 1 job, which was to not let the 18z fall apart 😄 how are we at a 50/50 between nothing and 3-4'' 24-48 hours out 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 23 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Don't bother looking at the RAP unless you live in the I-80 corridor Luckily it’s still long range for rap 🤞🏻 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 hour ago, Indygirl said: Mannnn I was hoping beyond hope for this event to start Friday night into Saturday ….NOT be Thursday into Friday event! Counterpoint: IND is at 3.1" for the season so you accept the snow whenever it comes. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Counterpoint: IND is at 3.1" for the season so you accept the snow whenever it comes. 😁 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Not sure how much to expect here as it partially depends on how much tonight's fronto band produces, and there are lingering uncertainties on exact placement of that. All told, could pick up several inches by Friday if things go right. Unfortunately, looks like the lake effect will generally be to my east. I expect a firehose and potentially crippling band off of southern Lake Michigan on Friday into Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crowbar Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Now local met calling Friday an alert day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 14 minutes ago, Crowbar said: Now local met calling Friday an alert day Marshall McPeek? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Heading to Snowshoe, WV on Friday for a ski trip. Anyone have thoughts on the best time to leave. It's a 5 hour drive and we can't get into our room until 5pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 17 Admin Share Posted January 17 Just now, FortySixAnd32 said: Heading to Snowshoe, WV on Friday for a ski trip. Anyone have thoughts on the best time to leave. It's a 5 hour drive and we can't get into our room until 5pm. Because of the hills.. can you go halfway Thursday night? Stay somewhere? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, BuckeyeGal said: Because of the hills.. can you go halfway Thursday night? Stay somewhere? Wasn't in the budget... Lol.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 27 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Not sure how much to expect here as it partially depends on how much tonight's fronto band produces, and there are lingering uncertainties on exact placement of that. All told, could pick up several inches by Friday if things go right. Unfortunately, looks like the lake effect will generally be to my east. I expect a firehose and potentially crippling band off of southern Lake Michigan on Friday into Saturday. Some of the modeling output on that band has been crazy looking, Would probably be even bigger had the lakes not gotten slightly locked up this week, the winds helped them from a much larger lock up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crowbar Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 13 minutes ago, FortySixAnd32 said: Marshall McPeek? Yep 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indygirl Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 52 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Counterpoint: IND is at 3.1" for the season so you accept the snow whenever it comes. Good point. But stilllll, I just wanna whine a little bit anyway! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 🧐 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: 🧐 Wow! And that’s 10-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: 🧐 That would support a solid 3-5"...maybe 6" in spots Edited January 18 by MesoscaleBanding 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mindlessheep Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 8 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: That would support a solid 3-5"...maybe 6" in spots 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 54 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: Some of the modeling output on that band has been crazy looking, Would probably be even bigger had the lakes not gotten slightly locked up this week, the winds helped them from a much larger lock up I don't think there's ice anywhere on Lake Michigan right now. But even if there was, Lake Michigan is just different than, say, Lake Erie in that there's still plenty of open water even in a cold winter. I've seen LES events dump 1-2 feet in northern Indiana even with ice around the southern end of the lake. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 SREF trend is not our friend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 21 z srefs has my back yard at around (0.2) qpf. Consistent in my back yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 18 Moderators Share Posted January 18 (edited) Well, it's certainly not the Perfect Storm, but its something. With the cold temps, snow to liquid ratios will be higher than the 10:1 SREF maps on Pivotal so here we go.......... the 21z SREF UPDATE: Total snow as of 06z 1-21-24. The plots can be found here. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/?SID=CLE This link is for Cleveland, click on the blue dot nearest to where you live. The tighter the grouping of the individual members, the more confidence in the forecast. (Want your town added below??...just let me know.) 21Z SREF update.(includes 15Z, 21Z, 3Z, 9Z) Indy – 1.3/1.1/x/x Valparaiso IN – 5.9/6.7/x/x Detroit – 3.4/4.4/x/x Flint – 3.3/3.7/x/x Toledo – 2.8/3.3/x/x Findlay – 3.3/3.1/x/x Cleveland – 4.1/4.7/x/x Youngstown Arpt. – 3.7/4.0/x/x Akron/Canton – 3.1/2.8/x/x Marion – 3.2/2.8/x/x Mt. Vernon/ NW Newark – 2.6/2.5/x/x Z-ville – 2.1/2.2/x/x Columbus – 2.0/2.1/x/x Dover/New Philly – 2.6/2.5/x/x Dayton(N)- 1.7/1.6/x/x Dayton(S)- 1.5/1.4/x/x Hamilton (N.Cincy)- 1.1/1.0/x/x Coving. (S Cincy)- 0.8/0.8/x/x Sidney OH – 2.5/2.4/x/x Pittsburgh – 2.7/2.4/x/x Edited January 18 by Hiramite 5 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoroBuckeye Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, Hiramite said: Well, it's certainly not the Perfect Storm, but its something. With the cold temps, snow to liquid ratios will be higher than the 10:1 SREF maps on Pivotal so here we go.......... the 21z SREF UPDATE: But first, does anyone use Sidney, OH??? The plots can be found here. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/?SID=CLE This link is for Cleveland, click on the blue dot nearest to where you live. The tighter the grouping of the individual members, the more confidence in the forecast. (Want your town added below??...just let me know.) 21Z SREF update.(includes 15Z, 21Z, 3Z, 9Z) Indy – 1.3/1.1/x/x Valparaiso IN – 5.9/6.7/x/x Detroit – 3.4/4.4/x/x Flint – 3.3/3.7/x/x Toledo – 2.8/3.3/x/x Findlay – 3.3/3.1/x/x Cleveland – 4.1/4.7/x/x Youngstown Arpt. – 3.7/4.0/x/x Akron/Canton – 3.1/2.8/x/x Marion – 3.2/2.8/x/x Mt. Vernon/ NW Newark – 2.6/2.5/x/x Z-ville – 2.1/2.2/x/x Columbus – 2.0/2.1/x/x Dover/New Philly – 2.6/2.5/x/x Dayton(N)- 1.7/1.6/x/x Dayton(S)- 1.5/1.4/x/x Hamilton (N.Cincy)- 1.1/1.0/x/x Coving. (S Cincy)- 0.8/0.8/x/x Pittsburgh – 2.7/2.4/x/x I can say winter is truly here when I see these! Thanks for posting! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 18 Moderators Share Posted January 18 In response to the ice coverage on the Lakes currently: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kerbs Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I use Sidney, thanks! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 18 Moderators Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, Kerbs said: I use Sidney, thanks! Thanks for letting me know. I added it back in, last line. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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