Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 17 Admin Share Posted January 17 It is ridiculous with our technological advancements that we're looking at these kinds of differences some 36 hours before the event starts. 3"-4" is a pretty much city-wide school shut-down event. 1" is not. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Looks better I’d say 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 (edited) 5 minutes ago, cperry29 said: Looks better I’d say Definitely... Maybe just me, but I'm not banking on much additional accumulation after 18z Fri. Models are in pretty good agreement that the steady snow will have moved out by then & scattered snow showers start to take over. Considering how hit/miss those are around here, anything after 18z Fri would just be icing on the cake. The RGEM is tacking on an additional 1.0-1.5" across central OH once the scattered snow showers take over. I'd gladly take it, but very skeptical for obvious reasons. Edited January 17 by MesoscaleBanding 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUWx2 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 FWIW, ILN's thoughts 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 7 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: It is ridiculous with our technological advancements that we're looking at these kinds of differences some 36 hours before the event starts. 3"-4" is a pretty much city-wide school shut-down event. 1" is not. Still think the timing & the fact that it's a Friday will cause plenty of delays/closings even if central OH sees the lower end of 2-4" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crowbar Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, MesoscaleBanding said: Still think the timing & the fact that it's a Friday will cause plenty of delays/closings even if central OH sees the lower end of 2-4" Also yesterday's fiasco will factor in as well, IMO. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 17 Admin Share Posted January 17 Just now, MesoscaleBanding said: Still think the timing & the fact that it's a Friday will cause plenty of delays/closings even if central OH sees the lower end of 2-4" Oh, I agree, it's just mind-boggling that we're looking at these big time different scenarios. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, OSUWx2 said: FWIW, ILN's thoughts Goes along with their AFD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheezemm2 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 (edited) I haven't commented on the earlier season's SUCK 2.0, but being a bit more objective. We are very quick to say "no way" (deservingly so) when the models show snow and quick to assume they're right when they show next to nothing. I'm going to go out on a limb here in Columbus and say, this is a rare case of the latter and the model being WRONG. The second wave is pretty much the benchmark track and we have the cold air in place. Something just isn't right with how the models are representing the lack of interaction. Maybe it has something to do with cold dry air and how light the precipitation wll be, but I'm going to will the damn radar to fill in! Also, if for any reason I see ONE, JUST ONE pellet of sleet during this event, you can find me playing frogger on I-71! Edited January 17 by Cheezemm2 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 With the southwest breeze and sun, it is up to 28 degrees now at the house......Wind adds a chill but I do not mind a bit of a break.. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Maybe I'm just impatient, but is this new RRFS model driving anyone else crazy with its incredibly slow load time? Seems like it takes 2 hours to load all 60 frames once initialized, LOL 😂- the powers that be need to get that fixed if it really is going to replace the HRRR/RAP/3km later this year. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Maybe I'm just impatient, but is this new RRFS model driving anyone else crazy with its incredibly slow load time? Seems like it takes 2 hours to load all 60 frames once initialized, LOL 😂- the powers that be need to get that fixed if it really is going to replace the HRRR/RAP/3km later this year. So, is RRFS the Rapid Refresh Forecasting System? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaf316 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 6 minutes ago, beaver56 said: So, is RRFS the Rapid Refresh Forecasting System? Apparently not 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indygirl Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Mannnn I was hoping beyond hope for this event to start Friday night into Saturday ….NOT be Thursday into Friday event! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 17 Admin Share Posted January 17 18 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Maybe I'm just impatient, but is this new RRFS model driving anyone else crazy with its incredibly slow load time? Seems like it takes 2 hours to load all 60 frames once initialized, LOL 😂- the powers that be need to get that fixed if it really is going to replace the HRRR/RAP/3km later this year. Well it introduced the giant dry slot this run, so it can get thrown out with the trash for all I care, lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, BuckeyeGal said: Well it introduced the giant dry slot this run, so it can get thrown out with the trash for all I care, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Honestly, with the luck we have been having it only makes sense. I am a pretty positive person, but I am ready for spring. I just do not handle the cold like I used to. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Dry slot just sits over central OH for HOURS while it snows steadily to the north & south. This can't be real life 🤦🏻♂️🤣 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, beaver56 said: Honestly, with the luck we have been having it only makes sense. I am a pretty positive person, but I am ready for spring. I just do not handle the cold like I used to. You sound exactly like me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 17 Admin Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Dry slot just sits over central OH for HOURS while it snows steadily to the north & south. This can't be real life 🤦🏻♂️🤣 If it's meant to replace the HRRR/Rap/3km, that would mean that its accuracy would be crap-a-doodle this far out. We can just bank on that, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 GFS is decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Might’ve missed this…trying to balance out the RRFS. 🤣 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 17 Admin Share Posted January 17 Yeah, 18Z GFS and ICON are both in the 3"-4" range with more snow shower activity (if it can be trusted) through Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Don't bother looking at the RAP unless you live in the I-80 corridor 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 FWIW...18Z GEFS 10:1 Mean Snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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