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January 18-20, 2024 | Ohio Valley Snow event


RobB

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WWA gap has been filled.

Quote
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
246 PM EST Thu Jan 18 2024

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>093-OHZ077-078-190515-
/O.EXA.KILN.WW.Y.0003.240118T2200Z-240120T0600Z/
Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-
Campbell-Hamilton-Clermont-
Including the cities of Batesville, Milan, Versailles, Osgood,
Bright, Lawrenceburg, Hidden Valley, Greendale, Aurora,
Dillsboro, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, Florence,
Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport,
Fort Thomas, Highland Heights, Bellevue, Dayton, Alexandria,
Downtown Cincinnati, Milford, Summerside, Mount Carmel,
Mount Repose, Withamsville, Mulberry, and Day Heights
246 PM EST Thu Jan 18 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast Indiana, northern Kentucky and
  southwest Ohio.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact commute times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Additional information can be found at www.weather.gov/iln as
well as on our Facebook and Twitter pages.

&&

$$

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ051>054-060>063-070>072-190515-
/O.EXA.KILN.WW.Y.0003.240118T2200Z-240120T0600Z/
Wayne-Fayette-Union-Franklin-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-Preble-
Montgomery-Greene-Butler-Warren-Clinton-
Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty,
West College Corner, Brookville, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana,
Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Eaton, Camden,
Downtown Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia,
Washington Court House, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford,
Mason, Lebanon, Landen, Springboro, Franklin, Wilmington,
and Blanchester
246 PM EST Thu Jan 18 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of east central and southeast Indiana and
  central, southwest and west central Ohio.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact commute times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Additional information can be found at www.weather.gov/iln as
well as on our Facebook and Twitter pages.

 

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Just now, snowlover2 said:

Possibly why our new WWA goes until 1am Saturday?

Bit of that and scattered snow showers also it may also deal with the falling temps later Friday into the overnight along with it.

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Things have definitely wobbled south about 75 miles over the last 24 hours. Yesterday it was looking like an i80 event, today, i70. 

 

 

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ILN Latest

Quote
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
343 PM EST Thu Jan 18 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Snowfall expected to continue overnight into Friday, with the
best accumulations occurring through Friday morning. Periods of
light snow continue into Friday night, with an Arctic air mass
building back in over the weekend. Temperatures begin to trend
warmer through the next work week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
Weak echoes displaying on radar this afternoon. While snowfall was
struggling to reach the ground at first, the falling precipitation
is beginning to saturate the lower levels and allowing for some of
this snowfall to be observed at the surface. Given the cold ground
temps, some light accumulations are occurring, but this should
be pretty limited in a spatial sense. Primary concern would be
brief visibility reductions from the snowfall this afternoon.

A lull in snow coverage is expected early this evening before
multiple waves of snow move into the region tonight. The first wave
begins to move in from KY and will start to accumulate snow in our
northern KY counties, mainly around midnight. Shortly after this
time, a shortwave trough will begin to propagate through the Midwest
region. This feature will provide ample lift across the region to
usher in widespread snowfall across our CWA. Snowfall rates will
begin to increase after about 4AM. Snow ratios of 16:1 to around
20:1 will lead to rapid accumulations with this snowfall late
tonight. Given the overall timing of this system, favorable SLR`s
and frozen ground temperatures, have decided to expand the Winter
Weather Advisory for the entire CWA given the overall impacts.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Efficient snowfall continues through Friday morning as the shortwave
traverses the region. Will continue to observe the best
accumulations through about noon on Monday across the entire
CWA, with snowfall shifting more towards portions of
central/west-central OH and portions of the Scioto Valley.
Persistent northwesterly flow will help lead to longer periods
of snowfall across our central OH counties throughout the
daytime hours and even into Friday night. Accumulations do
become lighter Friday afternoon in that area, with limited
accumulations expected once we get into Friday night as the best
snowfall/forcing shifts eastward.

Given the latest 12z guidance showing higher snowfall potential
around the Tristate area, have trended snow totals slightly higher
compared to previous forecasts. There will likely still be a general
minimum in snowfall totals around the Tristate area as this region
will receive less snowfall being on the western fringe of the
southern snowfall wave, and on the southern extent of the best
snowfall from the northern shortwave trough. Overall, highest
accumulations expected in west-central OH as 3-5" is still possible,
capturing the higher end of snow potential in our CWA. As we
progress southward, 2-4" becomes more favored across the majority of
counties north of the OH River. Along/south of the OH River is where
1-3" of snow is then expected given that less accumulations will
occur form the northern shortwave trough.

Other concern to highlight for this period will be the falling
temperatures into the single digits Friday night. Combined with
breezy winds out of the NW, this will lead to sub-zero wind
chill values across our entire CWA.

 

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1 hour ago, RobB said:

36 hours snowfall totals through 36 hours:

image.thumb.png.2caf21e204fe324e3a9993aa5202ff18.png

 

56 minutes ago, snowlover2 said:

19z RAP.

snku_acc-imp.us_mw.png

That separation is what’s keeping my excitement down. A modeled screw zone could get worse in nowcast. But at the end of the day I’d take my 1-2 inches regardless if received 

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