beaver56 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 I really like IL and MO for this one. I just don't see the cold being able to hold its ground east of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 7 Author Share Posted January 7 12z Ukie cuts west too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wnwniner Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 was this the model cycle that is now getting current sampling? could explain the jumps west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 30 minutes ago, mafa said: That’s the interesting part. Will two storms follow almost the exact same path? That little disturbance between plays a factor too. Yea that piece is faster on the GFS so the ridge was allowed to flex earlier so a push north isn’t surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 (edited) 1/7 12Z GEFS Member/Mean FWIW Edited January 7 by RobB 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 7 Admin Share Posted January 7 Longgg way to go with this one. Please no more “bring on spring” chants, as we’re just now getting into a good tracking period. 😁 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, BuckeyeGal said: Longgg way to go with this one. Please no more “bring on spring” chants, as we’re just now getting into a good tracking period. 😁 My apologies, I’m getting to an age where the cold really sucks. So when the pattern is bitter cold, then rain, then bitter cold, then rain…I start to lose it! 😊. Nothing worse than pointless cold, I’d rather it be Spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 18 minutes ago, Wnwniner said: was this the model cycle that is now getting current sampling? could explain the jumps west... I don’t believe so yet. That was the Tuesday storm. I could be wrong though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 7 Admin Share Posted January 7 Just now, JayPSU said: My apologies, I’m getting to an age where the cold really sucks. So when the pattern is bitter cold, then rain, then bitter cold, then rain…I start to lose it! 😊. Nothing worse than pointless cold, I’d rather it be Spring. You’re all good. But we’ve got to step down into winter. We can’t just flip a switch. I’m as anxious as anyone to get a good snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organicforecasting Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 3 hours ago, CrazyINwx said: I think you’ve got the wrong thread, bud. My apologies as I was in a rush 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organicforecasting Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 20 minutes ago, Wnwniner said: was this the model cycle that is now getting current sampling? could explain the jumps west... Easiest way to find out is look at 500mb at hour 132 and go backwards to 0 hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 4 minutes ago, JayPSU said: My apologies, I’m getting to an age where the cold really sucks. So when the pattern is bitter cold, then rain, then bitter cold, then rain…I start to lose it! 😊. Nothing worse than pointless cold, I’d rather it be Spring. I hear ya! Arctic air with storm systems in GA is pointless lol. Some people love to freeze. Me, not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 hour ago, snowlover2 said: GGEM is lost if it thinks there is snow directly east of the low. Occluding by that point, so it would be plausible IF that early occlusion scenario actually happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wnwniner Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 23 minutes ago, Organicforecasting said: Easiest way to find out is look at 500mb at hour 132 and go backwards to 0 hour. Um...I'm so amateur that I'm still learning what the different layers of the atmosphere are called... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 https://twitter.com/bamwxcom/status/1744001026565280226 Hot off the presses! 😆 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Euro is also cutting pretty far NW compared to its previous runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 (edited) 8 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Euro is also cutting pretty far NW compared to its previous runs I'm convinced we are cursed. Lol. I'm not sure how much more of this I can take. It's been 10yrs since we have had a decent season Edited January 7 by StormfanaticInd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 6 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Euro is also cutting pretty far NW compared to its previous runs Monster shift north west 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 13 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: How about 9 or 29. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 If a far NW track through the Chicago area turns out to be correct, the Canadian sniffed it out a full 24 hours before other models started shifting NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Pretty wild tracking so many fairly wound up storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Looks like not much of a disturbance between the bigger storms. Not the trend we want, but think about how we went from great snows on NYE to light snow showers today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, RobB said: Pretty wild tracking so many fairly wound up storms. So many misses 😫😫 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, StormfanaticInd said: So many misses 😫😫 Too true.... This used to upset me in the past..... Like being a Browns fan, one learns to be numb to such things 😄 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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