Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 11 minutes ago, cperry29 said: If only wrap around snow was a legit thing… 😵💫 I know, its a sad realization when I'm trying to rationalization maybe we get some benefit off lake MI post low 🙄 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 9 Moderators Share Posted January 9 If the Browns played at home Saturday, it would have made for an interesting watch. Strong winds, falling temps and flakes flying. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 9 Admin Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, Hiramite said: If the Browns played at home Saturday, it would have made for an interesting watch. Strong winds, falling temps and flakes flying. I am so conflicted about that game. CJ Stroud needs to have a fantastic game.. and lose. 🙃 One of the best Browns game I ever went to was the Snow Bowl. This weekend would've been similar lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Looking aloft so far, can already tell that the Euro is probably not going to turn out like the GFS. We'll see if it backs off any from its 00z run though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 ECM is going to be even further NW than 00z, yikes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, Ohiobuckeye45 said: ECM is going to be even further NW than 00z, yikes That bugger is wound up! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 At hour 78 Euro is at 981 vs GFS at 989. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 968: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUWx2 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Pretty major differences between Euro and GFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 (edited) 5 minutes ago, RobB said: That bugger is wound up! see what it can do for us peasants for the 13-15 storm, last night it was 1 of the few models that was actually able to "round" the base of the trough, not get completely demolished. Potentially over amplifying everything Edited January 9 by Ohiobuckeye45 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Here are the 4 models at the same time stamp. At least it’s not a lock 🤷♂️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Would be some nasty wrap around winds and mood flakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUWx2 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, junior said: Would be some nasty wrap around winds and mood flakes. Does the “nasty” adjective apply to the mood flakes too? 😂 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jpfalcon Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Euro is a 969mb low in northern Indiana. I just can't buy it given climatological history of the midwest. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 9 Moderators Share Posted January 9 1/9 12z LPT: As compared to 0z… Euro, Icon and Ukie go west. GFS goes east. Canadian is just different, lol. Icon and Canadian stronger. The Euro just a bit stronger. Ukie and GFS about the same. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jpfalcon Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 6 minutes ago, Hiramite said: 1/9 12z LPT: As compared to 0z… Euro, Icon and Ukie go west. GFS goes east. Canadian is just different, lol. Icon and Canadian stronger. The Euro just a bit stronger. Ukie and GFS about the same. GFS/CMC/NAM are all weaker/flatter while Euro/Ukie/ICON all bring in the trough faster and introduce a stronger MSLP. 200 mile spread 3+ days out...gotta love forecasting winter storms. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 16 minutes ago, Hiramite said: 1/9 12z LPT: As compared to 0z… Euro, Icon and Ukie go west. GFS goes east. Canadian is just different, lol. Icon and Canadian stronger. The Euro just a bit stronger. Ukie and GFS about the same. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Central Illinois Posted January 9 Moderators Share Posted January 9 which models have verified the best this winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, Central Illinois said: which models have verified the best this winter? hard to say because the sample size is about 5 days old 😄 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Yikes… CMC ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 20 minutes ago, Jpfalcon said: Euro is a 969mb low in northern Indiana. I just can't buy it given climatological history of the midwest. It would be a historic occurrence. Record lowest pressure at South Bend is 976.6 mb Record lowest at Fort Wayne is 975.3 mb Record lowest at Indianapolis is 974.6 mb Record lowest at Terre Haute is 979.4 mb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jpfalcon Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, Central Illinois said: which models have verified the best this winter? Euro was a bit over-amplified with the system today. GFS had a better handle on it. Euro eventually caved to it. I didn't pay enough attention to the system on the east coast over the weekend to know how things performed there. This far out (yes three days is still far) I still rely on ensembles and climatological history to make determinations on which model(s) have the best idea on things. The more amped solutions we're seeing fly in the face of what history has shown us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 24 minutes ago, Hiramite said: 1/9 12z LPT: As compared to 0z… Euro, Icon and Ukie go west. GFS goes east. Canadian is just different, lol. Icon and Canadian stronger. The Euro just a bit stronger. Ukie and GFS about the same. 4 minutes ago, cperry29 said: Yikes… CMC ensembles 1 minute ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: good timing, looks like the CMC has been the literal worst model...by alot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 We did see Paducah break its all time lowest pressure just last March with a 976 mb low. I'd agree it's prudent to shy away from the most extreme outcomes for now, but there are those times when the outlandish ends up happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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