Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 12z ECM is definitely weaker, a little slower, which is very evident in the 500MB structure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 (edited) lost 11 MBs from 00z to 12z Edited January 8 by Ohiobuckeye45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 and more sleet getting picked up, I think that will be the biggest increase as we get closer, more mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: The good ole I70 line! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 7 hours ago, cperry29 said: Supposedly the lowest recorded surface presssure in Indiana is 977. GFS has this at 970. Possible? Yes. Likely? Indianapolis recorded 974.6 mb, or 28.78", on February 28, 1902. Not sure if that is the state record for Indiana as it's kind of hard to find that info. But if it's not the state record, it's very close. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Euro EPS members/Mean pretty impressive: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 (Comes out of hiding). The CFS moved back to a southerly route. (Returns to hiding spot) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 21 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Indianapolis recorded 974.6 mb, or 28.78", on February 28, 1902. Not sure if that is the state record for Indiana as it's kind of hard to find that info. But if it's not the state record, it's very close. Yeah I had trouble finding info too. Regardless, when models spit out record breaking solutions, makes me pause and question. Guess we’ll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 8 Moderators Share Posted January 8 4 minutes ago, mafa said: (Comes out of hiding). The CFS moved back to a southerly route. (Returns to hiding spot) Is that the 0z run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, Hiramite said: Is that the 0z run? It is, but it’s the most recent one available. Yesterdays was more NW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 8 Moderators Share Posted January 8 (edited) 12z LPT (old news) Euro jumps east. Ukie and Icon nudge east. GFS and Canadian minor wobbles. Lowest pressures noted. Edited January 8 by Hiramite 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jpfalcon Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 (edited) Energy is a bit more strung out with the Euro, therefore weaker and further SE. Doesn't really get going until it reaches the eastern lakes. We'll see if it's onto something or another episode of the windshield wiper effect. Edited January 8 by Jpfalcon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Let me say I am just having some fun with posting the CFS. I don’t take that seriously when analyzing the data. I like to compare and look back at what performed better. in the meantime: Latest CMC Ensemble 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 11 minutes ago, cperry29 said: Yeah I had trouble finding info too. Regardless, when models spit out record breaking solutions, makes me pause and question. Guess we’ll see. For sure. I wouldn't fully believe it unless we can get it within 48-72 hrs or so. Regardless, this is quite a time for deep lows moving through the region. We have tomorrow's system that will get down to around 980 mb over southern Lake Michigan, and then this potentially very deep low only 3-4 days later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 minutes ago, mafa said: Let me say I am just having some fun with posting the CFS. I don’t take that seriously when analyzing the data. I like to compare and look back at what performed better. in the meantime: Latest CMC Ensemble Canadian was a stubborn south outlier for tomorrow's system. Does not necessarily translate from one storm to another though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Canadian Ens. mean snowfall... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 hours ago, RobB said: Makes me wonder if some make this in two waves rather than 1 with that looks during that time period. 12z EPS...several ensembles have an initial SLP north & then form a stronger SLP south. One example: Several do this. I'm not sure on the precip types of those that do yet because they have not loaded. But thought I'd share since you brought it up this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, Grace said: 12z EPS...several ensembles have an initial SLP north & then form a stronger SLP south. One example: Several do this. I'm not sure on the precip types of those that do yet because they have not loaded. But thought I'd share since you brought it up this morning. Excellent! Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CleLakeEffect Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Rookie question here.....I have to drive from Cleveland to Indianapolis either Friday or Saturday. I know timing can't be nailed down yet, but can somebody help me translate the 00Z times that we see on the models to eastern time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 An update on the ever popular CFS... 🙂 It holds serve. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 7 minutes ago, CleLakeEffect said: Rookie question here.....I have to drive from Cleveland to Indianapolis either Friday or Saturday. I know timing can't be nailed down yet, but can somebody help me translate the 00Z times that we see on the models to eastern time? Not sure if this is your question... Deduct 5 hours from 12z which gives you 7am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 8 Moderators Share Posted January 8 10 minutes ago, CleLakeEffect said: Rookie question here.....I have to drive from Cleveland to Indianapolis either Friday or Saturday. I know timing can't be nailed down yet, but can somebody help me translate the 00Z times that we see on the models to eastern time? Here’s a handy-dandy chart I made. 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CleLakeEffect Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Thank you both! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 (edited) Somebody in a few parts is going to get shocked with this. The front end thump will be real for sure, but the question is where. Edited January 8 by beaver56 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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