CrazyINwx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 The GFS also gives Indy 5" of snow for the storm tonight. Could it be possible the first storm is messing with this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 8 Admin Share Posted January 8 Just now, CrazyINwx said: The GFS also gives Indy 5" of snow for the storm tonight. Could it be possible the first storm is messing with this system. Absolutely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 At least GFS is steady on the next one…. We’ll see though. Not giving up on this one though. At least if we get a front dump I wouldn’t mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 7 minutes ago, cperry29 said: GFS goes west, naturally CMC goes east. 😵💫 Just saw that…OH Canada! 😊 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, Snow____ said: At least GFS is steady on the next one…. We’ll see though. Not giving up on this one though. At least if we get a front dump I wouldn’t mind The backside could be quite fun too! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Yea I’ll take a bomb overtop. Can still get blizzard conditions 😂. Rarely do the deep lows verify but we’ll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, junior said: Yea I’ll take a bomb overtop. Can still get blizzard conditions 😂. Rarely do the deep lows verify but we’ll see. That’s the thing…not super likely to get a historic storm. The CMC looked more realistic. Still fun, but not an insanely deep storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Mean is a 986 in the heart of Ohio 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 I think the main difference in the GFS and CMC is the CMC has been consistent in showing a transfer further east while the GFS wants to keep the main low throughout. Thats why for one the GFS is so wound up and two brings in more warm air. Both models have been pretty consistent with there respective solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, RobB said: Mean is a 986 in the heart of Ohio Wow! Look at those pressures from the individual members! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 I mean…. CMC depiction isn’t THAT bad lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 3 minutes ago, cperry29 said: I mean…. CMC depiction isn’t THAT bad lol. Canadian tends to be too cold with temp profiles quite often but it would be nice if this was correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 8 minutes ago, cperry29 said: I mean…. CMC depiction isn’t THAT bad lol. 4 minutes ago, RobB said: Canadian tends to be too cold with temp profiles quite often but it would be nice if this was correct. WAA out ahead and north of a 980MB low would be in to 12th gear 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 UK 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulaman984 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: WAA out ahead and north of a 980MB low would be in to 12th gear Overcoming true arctic air? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Need to get Tuesday out of the way before focusing too hard on this storm. So many variables at play. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulaman984 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, cperry29 said: Need to get Tuesday out of the way before focusing too hard on this storm. So many variables at play. 💯 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, Mulaman984 said: Overcoming true arctic air? 9.9/10 times,, but you won't know it until 24 hours before the storm. It would take an occluded low to give that kind of look, for that duration. Not discounting front end snow, but thats different than what the CMC depicted 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Comical spread! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, Grace said: Comical spread! Makes me wonder if some make this in two waves rather than 1 with that looks during that time period. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulaman984 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, RobB said: Makes me wonder if some make this in two waves rather than 1 with that looks during that time period. Gfs was showing that a few runs back, I believe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 17 minutes ago, Mulaman984 said: Overcoming true arctic air? I know better to ever doubt WAA. February 2021 and February 2022 made me never doubt it and even if it isn’t even on the table I still think it’s a possibility lol. 12+ hours of sleet in both storms that I’ve honestly haven’t gotten over 😭😭 those were pretty much the last 2 big snow makers and I got inches upon inches of sleet 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, Snow____ said: I know better to ever doubt WAA. February 2021 and February 2022 made me never doubt it and even if it isn’t even on the table I still think it’s a possibility lol. 12+ hours of sleet in both storms that I’ve honestly haven’t gotten over 😭😭 those were pretty much the last 2 big snow makers and I got inches upon inches of sleet Yes! My whole yard was an ice rink for a week after that sleet storm. I’ll take rain any day over 2” of sleet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GRR Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 BAM Weekend #WinterStorm Update: Seeing reasonable consistency from model data at this distance of a MAJOR winter storm arriving Friday and into Saturday of this week. Exact track of the low pressure system will be KEY in where heavier snow sets up. Trends have been ticking south and historically data is too strong/too north at this distance (especially the European model). Given this, we'd tend to favor the more southern track. Ample cold air means areas north of the low track are in play for heavy snow. Much of Illinois, Indiana and Michigan at play. Too early for specifics at this distance, but arrival would be Friday from west to east. LIVE STREAM TODAY at ~3:30 PM ET to discuss in more detail. Get all our forecast information for the upcoming storm on our platform Clarity. Learn more here: https://bamwx.com/clarity-info/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 22 minutes ago, GRR said: BAM Weekend #WinterStorm Update: Seeing reasonable consistency from model data at this distance of a MAJOR winter storm arriving Friday and into Saturday of this week. Exact track of the low pressure system will be KEY in where heavier snow sets up. Trends have been ticking south and historically data is too strong/too north at this distance (especially the European model). Given this, we'd tend to favor the more southern track. Ample cold air means areas north of the low track are in play for heavy snow. Much of Illinois, Indiana and Michigan at play. Too early for specifics at this distance, but arrival would be Friday from west to east. LIVE STREAM TODAY at ~3:30 PM ET to discuss in more detail. Get all our forecast information for the upcoming storm on our platform Clarity. Learn more here: https://bamwx.com/clarity-info/ 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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