JayPSU Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 8 minutes ago, cperry29 said: Supposedly the lowest recorded surface presssure in Indiana is 977. GFS has this at 970. Possible? Yes. Likely? Again….the odds say no way that happens. We’ll see. I think we need to wait until our Tuesday system passes before we can lockdown this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Astronomer Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 (edited) Hi all, I have a general question but I want to apply the answer to this and future storms. In another bygone forum I remember someone posting snowfall amounts from numerical tables from the models by airport code. They posted the link eons ago and I've since lost it in a couple of PC migrations. You would enter the airport code you wanted and in the data you could tabulate the predicted snowfall for that airport by adding up the hourly liquid precipitation amounts and doing your 10:1 or Kuchera calculation. I believe the site was hosted by a university, but my Google-fu is failing me. Does anybody know what I'm referring to? Edit: I fired up an old PC and found the link. Unfortunately, the site is no longer available (charlie.wxcaster.com; charlie.wxcaster.com/text/gffsfc/GFS_CYXU.txt for my city). Last edit: You can get the data and download as a .csv file from https://open-meteo.com/. The basic data I've selected is temperature and precipitation. The table gives me the hourly values for a ~7 day spread. Next is to figure out how to automatically pull the data. If you're a programmer, there's an API and a number of scripts. I bet I can pull this into a Home Assistant dashboard 🤔 Edited January 8 by Astronomer Additional clarifying information 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 15 minutes ago, cperry29 said: Right or wrong NAV is steady as she goes. NAV is NAVer right LOL Yet it is a valuable corollary tool 😉 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 15 minutes ago, JayPSU said: Again….the odds say no way that happens. We’ll see. I think we need to wait until our Tuesday system passes before we can lockdown this one. The problem is we are only a couple days away from what could be a high impact event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 8 Moderators Share Posted January 8 Pressures noted are the lowest for this run. All in the Lakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 8 Moderators Share Posted January 8 (edited) 3 hours ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: After 2 explosive cutters within 5 days, who is creating the flooding rains thread For us Ohioans, the term/title "No Joy in Mudville" is taking on a whole new meaning. Edited January 8 by Hiramite 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 11 minutes ago, Hiramite said: Pressures noted are the lowest for this run. All in the Lakes. Wouldn’t be a winter storm without a low party over SEMI!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 11 minutes ago, Hiramite said: Pressures noted are the lowest for this run. All in the Lakes. Nice! Actually some fairly decent agreement there. We have to hope that the Icon’s slower and weaker solution verifies for us in central Ohio. Results in a nice front end thump followed by a dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CrazyINwx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 11 minutes ago, Hiramite said: Pressures noted are the lowest for this run. All in the Lakes. Despite there still being differences, it looks the models are closer to the same page. Despite the Ukie.. it's off drinking Whisky (or Whiskey)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 8 Moderators Share Posted January 8 2 minutes ago, easton229 said: Wouldn’t be a winter storm without a low party over SEMI!! It should be out of the way for game day!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 8 Moderators Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, CrazyINwx said: Despite there still being differences, it looks the models are closer to the same page. Despite the Ukie.. it's off drinking Whisky (or Whiskey)? At the moment, it appears that its living up to its name. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jpfalcon Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Back to back cold rain events with back side snow showers is highly disappointing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 (edited) I posted somewhere a few pages back "I don't think this will cut much", lol. The models have gone haywire since. Just blame it on me.😃 Personally, I think tomorrow's system is so dynamic that the models do not have a handle on the shakeout afterwards. They may or may not be in the right track. In the meantime, our good old buddy CFS gives all other models the finger & is going deep SE, 😆. Edited January 8 by Grace 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 8 Moderators Share Posted January 8 1 hour ago, Hiramite said: For us Ohioans, the term/title "No Joy in Mudville" is taking on a whole new meaning. Is there a record low for pressure in this area for January? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 8 Moderators Share Posted January 8 (edited) 18 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Is there a record low for pressure in this area for January? The blizzard of 1/25-26/78. 957.7mb in Cleveland Edited January 8 by Hiramite 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 There’s been (3) 955mb storms in the US that were non-tropical according to Wikipedia. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/January_1913_Atlantic_coast_storm#:~:text=The lowest confirmed barometric pressure,storm at Canton%2C New York. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 6z EPS ensembles improved compared to 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUWx2 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 4 minutes ago, Grace said: 6z EPS ensembles improved compared to 0z Improved how? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 7 minutes ago, Grace said: 6z EPS ensembles improved compared to 0z 0z 6z Notice 6z has more members further east & SE than 0z. So the mean moved a little ESE. So not as many members cutting so drastically. At this point I'll take it. Next frame: 0z 6z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 15 hours ago, Jaf316 said: Just when I thought I was out, they pull me back in... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 3 minutes ago, Grace said: 0z 6z Notice 6z has more members further east & SE than 0z. So the mean moved a little ESE. So not as many members cutting so drastically. At this point I'll take it. Next frame: 0z 6z This is probably more helpful: 0z 6z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jpfalcon Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Would figure the storm coming tonight/tomorrow would help to suppress this system more. Not really seeing it. Hard to ignore a NW trend once it's there as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 16 hours ago, Hiramite said: I’m not sure this was worth missing a quarter of football for, but the Lions won so I’m in a good mood. 1/7/24 12z Low Party Tracker GFS moved east, the rest of the group went west. Icon included for @Iceresistance and @FortySixAnd32. I hope you both remember me next Christmas . Still some timing differences. Last night's 0z run below. Is that PO Box you posted earlier legit? If it is, Christmas may come early.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 (edited) 9 minutes ago, Jpfalcon said: Would figure the storm coming tonight/tomorrow would help to suppress this system more. Not really seeing it. Hard to ignore a NW trend once it's there as well. Too bad that preceding clipper couldnt track south further, it stays up in the lakes, I think that would've helped keep the pattern from quickly allowing heights to pump out front as quick. Especially because a 995 clipper is no slouch A track SE from here would have helped down the road Edited January 8 by Ohiobuckeye45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 19 hours ago, Jaf316 said: You know times are desperate when folks start posting the navgem and JMA. What does the Croatian model have to say...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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