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January 11-13, 2024 | Winter Storm


snowlover2

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For those of us who can't watch the snow out our window, we can always tune into the Bills game Sunday.   Snow bullseye on Orchard Park NY.

 

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2 minutes ago, Hiramite said:

For those of us who can't watch the snow out our window, we can always tune into the Bills game Sunday.   Snow bullseye on Orchard Park NY.

 

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Will definitely be watching that. I love heavy snow games. Also someone said the kc game will be frigid. I want to see how a bunch of people from Miami deal with -20 windchill. Should be another fun one. 

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2 minutes ago, 1816 said:

Will definitely be watching that. I love heavy snow games. Also someone said the kc game will be frigid. I want to see how a bunch of people from Miami deal with -20 windchill. Should be another fun one. 

And I’ll happily be in the 75 degree Ford Field Sunday night. Best conditions of all.

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5 minutes ago, easton229 said:

And I’ll happily be in the 75 degree Ford Field Sunday night. Best conditions of all.

I think about the physics of heating such a huge place on days/games like this.  Low teens, single digits probably by end of game.

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19 minutes ago, Hiramite said:

For those of us who can't watch the snow out our window, we can always tune into the Bills game Sunday.   Snow bullseye on Orchard Park NY.

 

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I still remember the first Winter Classis between the Sabres and the Penguins about 15 years ago - great game and made even better with the snow. 

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1 hour ago, Hiramite said:

For those of us who can't watch the snow out our window, we can always tune into the Bills game Sunday.   Snow bullseye on Orchard Park NY.

 

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If this forecast holds, I dont think we'll see the game played at Buffalo unfortunately, forecast is almost TOO good for snow game lovers.

22 minutes ago, RobB said:

Red skies in morning...... Pics we took this morning of beautiful sunrise...

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Red sky morning, sailors take warning would DEFINITELY apply today 

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4 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

If this forecast holds, I dont think we'll see the game played at Buffalo unfortunately, forecast is almost TOO good for snow game lovers.

As in they might move/postpone?

A couple of references from yesterday below.  Let's see what today's news says.

 

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31 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

If this forecast holds, I dont think we'll see the game played at Buffalo unfortunately, forecast is almost TOO good for snow game lovers.

Red sky morning, sailors take warning would DEFINITELY apply today 

I think we will. They only cancelled that one game because the entire stadium was literally buried under snow. 12-24 inches is just a normal Sunday in Buffalo. 

Edited by 1816
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1 hour ago, RobB said:

Red skies in morning...... Pics we took this morning of beautiful sunrise...

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My husband was commenting on how red the sky was this morning.  It is beautiful, but we all know the saying "Red sky in the morning, sailors take warning".

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1 minute ago, Mar66rus2 said:

My husband was commenting on how red the sky was this morning.  It is beautiful, but we all know the saying "Red sky in the morning, sailors take warning".

Exactly! 👍

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16 minutes ago, ryanmkay said:

What has changed that the NAM now shows Toledo with 8-10"? 

@ryanmkay To my eye, it looks like the NAM wants to jump the low just a tad further south/east in Ohio. Snow depth on the NAM paints a different picture. Lucas County is interesting on that though...maybe an inch in far eastern Lucas County to 6-7" in far northwestern Lucas County if that were to verify. 

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Edited by NWsnowhio
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Toledo met Ross Ellet had an interesting post this morning concerning thoughts for that area. 
 

*Science Behind The Storm*
So what is going on? It isn't as simple as saying the storm tracked east. The truth is that there are 2 storms, not 1. The storms were expected to merge in the south and take a track from Lafayette, IN to the tri-state to Flint, MI. However, the storms have not merged yet and I don't think they will merge until they reach the area. So that changes the placement of the two areas of low pressure. The stronger southerly low pressure would track closer to us. Not only is that track a bit east, but it also changes the wind direction a bit keeping an east wind longer. That would help keep us a bit cooler and the heavy rate of melting snow aloft is a cooling process. So the heavy rate of precipitation itself can cool the atmosphere enough to flip the rain back to snow or even sleet. When the heavy precipitation moves away and the winds flip after 6pm, we should go back to rain. The set up is complex and far from textbook.

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Western suburbs/Naperville, IL (I88 and Winfield Rd) has about 4 of very wet snow. Rain/snow mix now at the moment. The edge of the precip is getting awfully close to my location as I look at the radar. 

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Latest indications show system moving a bit further north. Could impact metro Chicago and NE IL lowering totals. Latest HRRR shows this as area may be dry slotted or turn to drizzle/light rain. 

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1 minute ago, Cary67 said:

Dry slot moving north

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I am in it now. Hoping it fills in, but the 8-12 call from the NWS this morning appears to be in jeopardy unless something changes here. image.thumb.png.11b196391868a4bb1af406587ffa2bb5.png

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