Shiver Me Timbers Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 3 hours ago, ryanmkay said: Oof, 12z GFS takes the low to almost Chicago. Not trending in the right direction for MBY. Meanwhile the Euro - and to a greater extent it's operationals - has moved East 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 hour ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: thats your absolute pinnacle of what you could ever ask for in a low track/strength for your area haha. Hopefully temp profiles are better than yesterday Quietly hoping to not be disappointed.lol For my area I think temp profiles are a bit cooler than last system. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 4 minutes ago, Cary67 said: Quietly hoping to not be disappointed.lol For my area I think temp profiles are a bit cooler than last system. I like where you sit - just promise to share the snow love with your snow-starved OV neighbors in the near future 🙏🏽 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, MesoscaleBanding said: I like where you sit - just promise to share the snow love with your snow-starved OV neighbors in the near future 🙏🏽 Will send out pics 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 56 minutes ago, ryanmkay said: The Canadian is the only one showing temperature profiles cold enough to give more snow than rain. To the other more advanced weather fans, is the cold air intrusion being underplayed? I find it hard to believe with this pattern that there is this much significant rain that far north? I‘m not more advanced but I do have experience in warm air advection lol. It’s one of the strongest forces known to man! Kidding aside, It’s sometimes under-modeled, at least IMBY. With a storm this strong, wouldn’t surprise me to see rain/snow line creep further north than modeled. CMC has a cold bias, it’s usually a few degrees colder than GFS & Euro. Caveat, I’ve also wondered if the cold air is being underplayed. I guess we’ll see. Just my 0.02. 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 10 Admin Share Posted January 10 Just once I'd like to be surprised in a good way with a storm system. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 3k NAM came much further west closer to NAM (still east of that). Good front end thump for SEMI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 18z NAM ticks NW & throws snow all the way back into the Dakotas 🤣 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 972mb over Traverse City, MI early Saturday morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 IA/WI/MI buried 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 10 Moderators Share Posted January 10 Was playing with the animator and this one popped up and worked. Accumodel.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 The typical counties in SEMI left out of the fun again ☹️ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crowbar Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 34 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: Just once I'd like to be surprised in a good way with a storm system. Mentioned this a few days ago - a reverse Jan 2019. Get that low to push east then up the Apps/Ohio River. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanmkay Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 6 minutes ago, easton229 said: The typical counties in SEMI left out of the fun again ☹️ It's just not meant to be. I'd like to say "on to the next one" but don't see anything 384 hours out lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanmkay Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 18z ICON gives a small glimmer hope of snowfall for Toledo 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 (edited) When will we have full sampling? Still holding on to a glimmer of hope about 20 miles west of Toledo. Edited January 10 by NWOhioChaser 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 3 minutes ago, NWOhioChaser said: When will we have full sampling? Still holding on to a glimmer of hope about 20 miles west of Toledo. storm is already onshore, near the Rockies currently, just west 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowloverSid Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 40 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: IA/WI/MI buried Wow— St. Louis could have an encore of yesterday’s non- event. We are looking at practically bare ground to go with subzero air, most likely followed by suppression until the next rainmaker. I hope I am wrong, but it seems to be the same old pattern, regardless of whether it is El Niño or La Niña. St. Louis is the Home of the Snow Dome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 10 Moderators Share Posted January 10 1 hour ago, cperry29 said: I‘m not more advanced but I do have experience in warm air advection lol. It’s one of the strongest forces known to man! Kidding aside, It’s sometimes under-modeled, at least IMBY. With a storm this strong, wouldn’t surprise me to see rain/snow line creep further north than modeled. CMC has a cold bias, it’s usually a few degrees colder than GFS & Euro. Caveat, I’ve also wondered if the cold air is being underplayed. I guess we’ll see. Just my 0.02. Another aspect that others have mentioned in the past is that if convection fires to the south, that pumps warmth into the upper atmosphere has pushes the rain/snow line north. I don’t know if I stated that correctly or how valid it is so if someone knows the corollary please advise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 21 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: What a brutal cutoff in SEMI 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 51 minutes ago, Hiramite said: Another aspect that others have mentioned in the past is that if convection fires to the south, that pumps warmth into the upper atmosphere has pushes the rain/snow line north. I don’t know if I stated that correctly or how valid it is so if someone knows the corollary please advise. On some occasions, latent heat release from that can intensify a system more than forecast, which correspondingly will tend to drive the rain/snow line farther north than expected. But it can certainly go the other way sometimes and result in a weaker system or at least one that doesn't have as much northward moisture transport. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidMichiganWx Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Well, looks like I'm going to take a direct hit from this one. Definitely excited. Local mets comparing it to the 2011 blizzard we had here. Yesterdays day was basically a bust IMBY. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, MidMichiganWx said: Well, looks like I'm going to take a direct hit from this one. Definitely excited. Local mets comparing it to the 2011 blizzard we had here. Yesterdays day was basically a bust IMBY. Get some pictures to share with us less fortunate! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, MidMichiganWx said: Well, looks like I'm going to take a direct hit from this one. Definitely excited. Local mets comparing it to the 2011 blizzard we had here. Yesterdays day was basically a bust IMBY. Enjoy! Very jealous down here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now