Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 SUMMARY...Locally moderate winter precipitation rates will spread northeastward this morning, with some modest ice accretion possible where freezing rain persists. DISCUSSION...A surface low currently off of the Mid Atlantic coast is forecast to gradually deepen as it moves northeast toward coastal southern New England this morning. Multiple waves of light to locally moderate precipitation are ongoing and will continue to spread northeastward in conjunction with the surface low. While interior portions of the Northeast will likely continue to see snow (with generally light to moderate rates) this morning, low-level warm advection will support a transition from snow to sleet across parts of southern New England, with freezing rain persisting over portions of the Mid Atlantic region. As the low deepens offshore, a modest uptick in precipitation intensity will be possible through the morning. While rates will likely remain light to locally moderate, antecedent cold conditions (with temperatures initially in the 20s F) may result in relatively efficient ice accretion in areas that transition to freezing rain. Pockets of moderate sleet/snow will also be possible into parts of southern New England. Low-level warm advection will support a gradual transition to rain along the Mid Atlantic and southern New England coasts, but subfreezing temperatures may persist inland through the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Snow Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 13 minutes ago, clm said: Also, and I can't stress this enough, you need to switch out your summer air out of your tires and replace it with winter air. Its very easy. Deflate all your tires to 0 so all that warm summer air gets out. Then pump them back up with winter air (the air pump handles the cold air conversion for you). You will need a tire pressure gauge to verify that they are all at 0. For those of you with cars that measure and show the air pressure for each tire on the console, you may have to drive it around a bit to get the reading to show 0. Is that why I am not getting the mileage I should out of my all season tires? I wonder, maybe if I go where the elevation is higher I can get better winter air, you know, being lower pressure and all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 hour ago, JDClapper said: 8am: 2.9" 9am: 3.3" Still going. 4" seems easily obtainable based on upstream radar. 20240116_085928.mp4 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, Jon Snow said: Is that why I am not getting the mileage I should out of my all season tires? I wonder, maybe if I go where the elevation is higher I can get better winter air, you know, being lower pressure and all. That is your best bet. The higher the elevation, the more crisp and better the winter air is up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Acton Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Nice hit north of Jarrettsville, MD. A solid 5 inches. Currently 24F. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Unfortunate hole in SCPA. 😞 The hole west of Williamsport is not real. Radar outage impacting that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Yuck here. The heavy bands in hburg last night never really got here, off. And the backfill for today that was supposed to add about 2 more looks shaky also. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2.5” here. Disappointing but better then a complete whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, JDClapper said: Unfortunate hole in SCPA. 😞 The hole west of Williamsport is not real. Radar outage impacting that. It's still snowing here - at least in Carlisle and Harrisburg. Pins and needle snow for sure so not adding to the total very quickly. I'm good if we only get what we have so far - I'd like to get out and start clean up though and it won't stop snowing 😞 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: Yuck here. The heavy bands in hburg last night never really got here, off. And the backfill for today that was supposed to add about 2 more looks shaky also. Slipped and fell onto the replaced hip while walking out to the car to take Mrs Bill to work. Nothing serious, but felt scar tissue tearing at the incision - didn't feel nice at all. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phillyfan Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: It's still snowing here - at least in Carlisle and Harrisburg. Pins and needle snow for sure so not adding to the total very quickly. I'm good if we only get what we have so far - I'd like to get out and start clean up though and it won't stop snowing 😞 Nothing falling here at the moment, 2.5" down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Slipped and fell onto the replaced hip while walking out to the car to take Mrs Bill to work. Nothing serious, but felt scar tissue tearing at the incision - didn't feel nice at all. Ouch. Yea it is slick out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 16 Moderators Share Posted January 16 72 hr error on the GEFS was about 220nm 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFlash Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 26 minutes ago, JDClapper said: The State College radar seems to be down for awhile.. it is snowing steadily despite the radar showing a hole in north central PA. Nice! Ive had a very light dendrite fall for about 2 hrs. Not enough to do accumulate anything. Very similar to the precipitate after a large one trucks through. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
woodyelm Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Still 23 degrees F and 89% humidity in Carlisle, PA. Light snow not accumulating, but is keeping even the streets white. Pretty. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 16 Moderators Share Posted January 16 EPS error was about 270nm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 I think we can all mostly agree, GFS and Euro were pretty hot garbage once the hi res's got within range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 16 Social Media Crew Share Posted January 16 12 minutes ago, JDClapper said: Unfortunate hole in SCPA. 😞 The hole west of Williamsport is not real. Radar outage impacting that. Yea.. We’ll end up with about 2-2.5”. I’m happy with it.. but some left of the table of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddygeeme Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 3 minutes ago, woodyelm said: Still 23 degrees F and 89% humidity in Carlisle, PA. Light snow not accumulating, but is keeping even the streets white. Pretty. Yep. Freshly coating - even on the roads unfortunately. I was amazed that so many ppl were actually doing the reduced speed thing. No yayhoo's in 4WD tryin to scream past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GregRups Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 All the main roads are covered again here Ramsey NJ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 16 Moderators Share Posted January 16 (edited) Three day errors on operationals - you won't believe the winner Results CMC Spoiler GFS Spoiler Euro Spoiler ICON Spoiler Edited January 16 by StretchCT 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LUCC Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 12 hours ago, mikeysed said: Anybody have any short range models coming out? I am on the road Vehicles all iced up, roads are fine, too bad wasn't all snow or would be close to 5-6", nothing is easy! Friday looks to be shaping up nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 I don't like to play "what if" - yet had all these congealed, like Euro wanted to in long range, it would've delivered. As is - this is pretty much how most meso models had it - we see the "anchor" piece starting to move along now that embedded jet streaks round the base of our longwave trough Guess we'll wait for a Big-Un 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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