RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Radar late tonight into noon, E Pa cats into N NJ👍👍 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tool483 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 641 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2024 .SYNOPSIS... A coastal storm will bring a period of accumulating snow and some ice late tonight into Tuesday, changing to rain near the south coast. Blustery and cold Wednesday and Thursday. Another coastal storm may impact the region Friday into Friday night but details are uncertain. Blustery and quite cold next weekend. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... 640 PM update... Not much change in expected onset timing of snow, generally around midnight near the south coast, reaching northern MA around 3 AM. Only change was to increase PoPs to reflect categorical occurrence of snow overnight. Previous discussion... Mostly clear skies early this afternoon are quickly filling in from south to north as warm advection brings north an increasingly moist airmass (giggity). This comes out ahead of a shortwave that rounds the base of the broader trough tonight and swings through Southern New England tomorrow along with a surface reflection that lifts north off the mid Atlantic and New England coast. 12Z guidance has come in a bit more amplified and this has led to a northwest shift in the track of the surface low. Now, essentially all guidance takes it between Cape Cod and the 40/70 benchmark. This amplification has led to a slight increase in expected snow for interior SNE, generally 3-5 inches for the high terrain, 1-3 elsewhere. This will be an extended period of light snow (sometimes moderate), starting along the south coast tonight around midnight reaching northern MA by 3 AM. Through about 7-8am the entire column should be below freezing allowing everyone to remain as snow. However, as the low lifts northeast winds will begin to shift from the northeast becoming easterly then southerly allowing warmer air to push north. This elevated warm nose moves into the south coast of MA/RI by 7-8am leading to a period of a few hours where sleet and freezing rain is possible until the subfreezing surface air is dislodged and things change to all rain. The greatest risk for this transition to bring an icy mix will be from eastern CT, through RI, and into northeast MA. This will also be happening during/after the morning rush hour. In this region a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for potential of a few hundredths of an inch of freezing rain. Further to the northwest where precipitation will remain snow a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for an expected 2 to 5 inches of snow. The system then exits and dry northwest flow will cut off any lingering snow showers by 6- 8 PM. Good luck overnight yall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 6 minutes ago, Pghsnow said: You have a good chance to get 3 inches your way. I’ve already blown the sidewalk off twice lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 7 minutes ago, Pghsnow said: You have a good chance to get 3 inches your way. And I’m taking Friday off to go skiing at Seven Springs! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, bigben89 said: And I’m taking Friday off to go skiing at Seven Springs! Should be some good powder if that storm materializes on Friday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 5 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: Radar late tonight into noon, E Pa cats into N NJ👍👍 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Alert. ALERT. Late night squad call. You know who you are. REPORT TO DUTY. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, Rickrd said: Want to see as this does pivot late tonight, do we grab some of that southern stuff off the coast.? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRex Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Not much qpf for us up this way but ratios expected to be 15:1 to 20:1, the fun snow to snowblow. I've got to leave early for a long drive and my first several hours will be driving through the Adirondacks. I'm hoping any heavier snow holds off until the afternoon. And gonna make my way past Buffalo and see how much snow they received over the last few days and eventually drive through TN. I hope they have the roads cleared up down there by then. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 45 minutes ago, eddygeeme said: Where's the Long Island crew😎 Right here. Suffolk has a coating on the ground and cars. Anything untreated is sticking. The past day or two of cold weather is helping that. 2 to 4 expected by the time I go for my morning commute, so the LIE is going to be psychotic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Acton Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Wow, it's happening!! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gettysburger Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 If it keeps this up all night I’ll have more than 3 inches in the morning! Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted January 16 Meteorologist Share Posted January 16 I am curious now if state college bumps us up to winter storm warnings for Lancaster area. They had us at 4-6" earlier and with sterling showing the northern areas of Maryland now 5-8". Im not sure yet whether I wanna drive home tomorrow morning yet or stay down here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 On 1/11/2024 at 11:35 PM, Gettysburger said: Hey Everyone! Long time lurker here. I’ve been following you all since accuweather days and then disco. I’m so glad to fine you all here! I’ve learned a lot from you all over the years just reading and following along. Figured it was time to post and join in on the fun! Regardless of what the GFS or Euro shows we have a great storm to track and it’s always fun tracking them. Im with you @Rickrd this thing should be nearer to the coast. I think the models will have a better handle on this come Friday evening / Saturday morning. We’ll see! Was going to respond a few days ago and got sidetracked. I remember you from disco. Been to Gettysburg a few times as well. Good to see you back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 10 minutes ago, bigben89 said: I’ve already blown the sidewalk off twice lol 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 10 minutes ago, bigben89 said: And I’m taking Friday off to go skiing at Seven Springs! And you didn't invite the entire forum? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, so_whats_happening said: I am curious now if state college bumps us up to winter storm warnings for Lancaster area. They had us at 4-6" earlier and with sterling showing the northern areas of Maryland now 5-8". Im not sure yet whether I wanna drive home tomorrow morning yet or stay down here. You're probably better staying where you are only because you'll get the idiots who think their car/suv/prius/tesla can go 90 in snowy conditions and still hold onto the road. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 (edited) 15 minutes ago, TheRex said: Not much qpf for us up this way but ratios expected to be 15:1 to 20:1, the fun snow to snowblow. I've got to leave early for a long drive and my first several hours will be driving through the Adirondacks. I'm hoping any heavier snow holds off until the afternoon. And gonna make my way past Buffalo and see how much snow they received over the last few days and eventually drive through TN. I hope they have the roads cleared up down there by then. Just as a heads-up, Tennessee could be a mess for the locals through the end of the week. You wouldn’t be expected to have any issues, but you’ll be competing with folks who don’t use turn signals on a regular basis, so good luck to you! Edited January 16 by Burr 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Acton Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Approaching 4 inches north of Jarrettsville MD. We got ourselves a storm. 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 For giggles, I’m going to go out soon to use the leaf blower on the sidewalk… Will keep you all apprised of my success/failure. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted January 16 Meteorologist Share Posted January 16 10 minutes ago, clm said: You're probably better staying where you are only because you'll get the idiots who think their car/suv/prius/tesla can go 90 in snowy conditions and still hold onto the road. Yea it really will depend on when my boss comes in. We are both in the same ball park of most of this should be done down here shortly after daybreak but now that we went to warning levels most likely they will call schools tomorrow especially since temps aren't expected to go too high. 4 minutes ago, George Acton said: Approaching 4 inches north of Jarrettsville MD. We got ourselves a storm. Ill go take a look in a min but we were at 3" about an hour ago and some nice bands are moving through right now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathertop Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 16 minutes ago, so_whats_happening said: I am curious now if state college bumps us up to winter storm warnings for Lancaster area. They had us at 4-6" earlier and with sterling showing the northern areas of Maryland now 5-8". Im not sure yet whether I wanna drive home tomorrow morning yet or stay down here. Winter Storm Warning for Lancaster, Lebanon, and York 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, Weathertop said: Winter Storm Warning for Lancaster, Lebanon, and York So they wait till when are the doorstep. Eow😀 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathertop Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 From MU Weather Center on X: “The #WinterWeatherAdvisory has been upgraded to a #WinterStormWarning in northern MD for 4-6” of snow. Strong, dynamic lift in the circled area (2nd image) is fueling a slow-moving band of moderate-to-heavy snow. Snowfall rates could approach 1” per hour at times overnight!” 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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