Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 4 minutes ago, JDClapper said: Some spots around PA 9z SREF Best Snow Pops Period & Mean Snowfall (ratios considered) Williamsport = 75%+ (1am-7am Tue), 3" Harrisburg = 75%+ (4am-7am), 3" Scranton = 75%+ (4am-1pm), 3½" Allentown = 65%+ (1am-1pm), 3½" Philly = 50%+ (10pm-1am), 2¼" Was telling Mrs UTS that it's "been a minute" since we had snowfall and DIDNOT immediately go AN temps. This week will be difficult (for me) to deal with - snow upon snow with no chance of thaw 😞 3 minutes ago, JDClapper said: lol last night's banter with @Rickrd Yeah - I saw that. Thought it was RickRd who was attending services. RTC like to spontaneously burst into flames if he crossed a church foyer. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 After all but throwing my towel yesterday, this is interesting development overnight. I'll take a 1-3" and run with it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 We still may get a low end warning level event out of this in the MidAtl. Adjustments have been incremental yet steady and no reason to think they won't improve yet again today. I said two days ago that Noon yesterday would tell us much - and to me, it did! The meso models started to improve, albeit again - in small measure. At the very least we did not go even worse or stay the same. And the improvements being noted are with the ULL influence and placement - giving room on the inside track for models to respond accordingly. Huge props to those (yes, even RTC) who held fire until today before tossing anything. (as I type this, it is snowing btw) And because there's no real place beyond LES threads to put this, I thought I'd give you a look at in situ Buffalo NY - sent by a weather friend just minutes ago. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Hey I take my up to ann 1” and like it. I am so glad I do not have to do my 130mile round trip commute. I telework (thank you pandemic). People here cannot drive on sunny days much less when it rains, you mention snow and there are 15 accidents and 100’s of people abandoning their car.s And that’s just on I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Windows is telling me 2" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowadelphia Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 17 minutes ago, bigben89 said: More snow in Little Rock than Philadelphia. lol I feel pretty confident Georgia and coastal NC/VA have seen more snow than the Philly region the last two years. They had a huge blizzard come up the coast in 2022. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Clap - might be a tough go to church. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 IMBY MLK Day A chance of snow, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Monday Night Snow likely, mainly after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 27. Light southeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Tuesday A chance of rain and snow before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. Light north wind increasing to 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 40%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 SREF gif to show trends - include 9z Again, we're not quite done adjusting here. This can EASILY improve some. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Ready to be NAM'd? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 14 Author Admin Share Posted January 14 NAM3 trend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 12 Z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 (edited) 48 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: This can EASILY improve some. or go the other way 🍻 This is like an extremely slow fropa, I have no idea what to expect. Light to moderate snowfall for around 16-20 hours? Edited January 14 by TLChip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 (edited) 12Z 3K NAM Edited January 14 by Wtkidz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted January 14 Admin Share Posted January 14 @RTC3-LAST CHANCE going to church 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 17 minutes ago, TLChip said: or go the other way 🍻 This is like an extremely slow fropa, I have no idea what to expect. Light to moderate snowfall for around 16-20 hours? I see no way for it to go against what the model itself is showing. If anything, I think you may be onto something with the extent of the period. I mentioned a few days ago that this reminded me of a mini PDII. The models are still trying to figure out just how important - and in what way if it is important - the trailing vort max is. Does it act as an achor? Does it develop it's own QPF coverage? Does it join the lead vort to create a beast? 18 minutes ago, Wtkidz said: 12 Z NAM Pay attention to "over top" - how the confluence weakens to allow a more "left" track. I'll wait for Baby-G but these trends are more than slight, imho. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted January 14 Admin Share Posted January 14 31 minutes ago, MaineJay said: NAM3 trend. So much juice yet.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 The kiss of death. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PA road DAWG Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Let’s go baby!!! Let’s nickel and dime me to death. All the way to our average of 50”+ a year. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 (edited) 1 minute ago, PA road DAWG said: Let’s go baby!!! Let’s nickel and dime me to death. All the way to our average of 50”+ a year. NADS until FEB - then, brace yourselves as MJO swings at high amplitude through Ph7 and heads towards 8 😉 Edit - the squalls crossing the region are serious. Even the edges of the bands are coating a frozen surface Edited January 14 by Undertakerson2.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lazman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 3 minutes ago, Wtkidz said: The kiss of death. Wow, I thought he quit! DT is such a (fill in the blank) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, Lazman said: Wow, I thought he quit! DT is such a (fill in the blank) Broken Tool….. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, Lazman said: Wow, I thought he quit! DT is such a (fill in the blank) This is a family page, so I won't tell you what those initials meant back when I was comin up 😉 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Baby-G model trends. I'm watching that southern piece - in this depiction, it's more anchor as much as anything. The anchor slows the entire process I'd think slower=better to some extent. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now