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Jan. 15-17th, 2024 | NE/MidAtl Winter Storm


MaineJay

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5 minutes ago, HVSNOWSTORM said:

This may look a bit better

Looks like ULL up north isn't squishing as much and the eastern heights are "better" .. mind you, I'm talking 15-25 miles probably .. but, doesn't seem like it's a step in the wrong direction through 42/45

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2 hours ago, StretchCT said:

All the ECMWF AI models are on board with a low around the BM. Just how strong that low is up for debate.

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What are the water temps in the Atlantic looking like it's all a game of how much that low can get cranking.

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The column is pretty saturated pregame on this, south of Mass/NY state.  There is a dry slot moving in at 500mb but other than some holes here and there, enough moisture should be present. Just need some omega. 

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1 minute ago, StretchCT said:

The column is pretty saturated pregame on this, south of Mass/NY state.  There is a dry slot moving in at 500mb but other than some holes here and there, enough moisture should be present. Just need some omega. 

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Yes that's definitely important with a low qpf system. Not wasting any precipitation to virga. Shouldn't be a problem with this one.

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7 minutes ago, eddygeeme said:

What are the water temps in the Atlantic looking like it's all a game of how much that low can get cranking.

Buoys have water temps in the mid 40s which seems high for this time of year. Looking for an anomaly map for ya

 

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