Moderators StretchCT Posted January 13 Moderators Share Posted January 13 25 minutes ago, Gettysburger said: I honestly see issues with the way the Euro is handling this energy. It looses it half way across the country and gets stuck in the rockies. Then just pops it out off of FL like two or three frames later. It gets stuck around all those isobars. I wonder if the model is having a difficult time picking it up and grasping what it’s doing. Just a thought and thinking out loud lol. Usually I see the GFS rushing systems across and the Euro lagging. This is why I say the predictible order of modleing has Navy furthest east, then gfs, then euro or cmc, then ukie. This time its the opposite. The euro is taking that shortwave in the upper flow way faster than the other models and as Bernie points out, splits the trough. Seems weird. But there's been so many tweaks to models in the last few years, I'm not sure the typical biases apply anymore. An example of that is the navy, which no longer seems the most progressive and weakest. That model was blowing up storms left and right over the summer. I'm also thinking the AIFS and other AI models aren't in agreement with the Euro Op. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 13 Moderators Share Posted January 13 18z euro seems a touch slower at 500mb at 66hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 13 Moderators Share Posted January 13 (edited) Man it looks worse Todays system is messing it up. Edited January 13 by StretchCT 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Said it a few days ago but this is all expected as always. Will give it to Sunday night. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gettysburger Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 21 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Man it looks worse Todays system is messing it up. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheComet Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 As per Bernie, there's 100% chance of seeing flurries along I-95 corridor 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bucikaroo Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 10 minutes ago, TheComet said: As per Bernie, there's 100% chance of seeing flurries along I-95 corridor Here we go again another year no snow yea 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 13 Moderators Share Posted January 13 2 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greenjacket Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 4 minutes ago, StretchCT said: The archives you have are impressive and very relevant. You can have a separate conversation using these snapshots. 👏 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 16 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Snowball will never die. He just gets quoted again and again. Let’s see how this plays out before we cry….. where is doorman when we need him ? Look to the winds. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 13 Moderators Share Posted January 13 2 minutes ago, Wtkidz said: Snowball will never die. He just gets quoted again and again. Let’s see how this plays out before we cry….. where is doorman when we need him ? Look to the winds. He was speaking truth there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 (edited) Edited January 13 by TLChip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 13 Moderators Share Posted January 13 NBS is backing down now. Thought further up into Maine/NS it's sniffing something out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gettysburger Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 hour ago, StretchCT said: Wisdom from snobal! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PA road DAWG Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 hour ago, StretchCT said: 3 days later I got 27” of snow lol take me back!! 2 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gettysburger Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 minute ago, NEPAsnow said: Looking better….. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Not bad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Nam in motion 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 (edited) meh. h5 is much different 0z NAM 18z GFS from yesterday Edited January 13 by TLChip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 On 1/9/2024 at 10:08 PM, Pghsnow said: Ben what are you looking at? Yes there is no BIG storm but 18z was very snowy for us. It was actually a very Pittsburgh pattern. We do small, light snows and that was full of them. Flurries. Yay! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 13 Author Admin Share Posted January 13 2 hours ago, StretchCT said: Man it looks worse Todays system is messing it up. Today's system was always going to be somewhere near James bay, it was always a question of the phasing. The safe bet is generally on the late phase, but that's also not much fun. It's still trying to figure it out, and sometimes as the models try to resolve the interactions, they flip flop between kicking and phasing. Maybe the recon data finds something that helps us out. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 13 Moderators Share Posted January 13 More words of wisdom 2 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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