PA road DAWG Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 (edited) What’s our biggest culprit negating this system? Is it the PV lobe being too far east and not far enough west into the Hudson Bay area? Seems we can’t get the pendulum to swing quick enough Edited January 12 by PA road DAWG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Believe the Euro will have some changes this run of course. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Tater Posted January 12 Moderators Share Posted January 12 6 minutes ago, PA road DAWG said: What’s our biggest culprit negating this system? I submit the following two candidates for nomination: 21 hours ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Literally my fault ya durned snow freaks* (* term of affection) I decided to put the chains on the Bota after seeing 12z GFS jump in the ring and then UKM. When I got back in the house, 12z Euro had passed the time frame of this storm. And I laughed so loud I scared one of my cats - and that one lives out on the screen porch. Sorry NS. 3 hours ago, Snowadelphia said: For I-95 folks - I’m going out to buy rock salt today. Apologies in advance. 1 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rush Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 hour ago, StretchCT said: NBM is still on board for a minor event "Minor event". That's the biggest storm in years here! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, Rush said: "Minor event". That's the biggest storm in years here! Right! Hah. I know the 6+'s are sexy and al, but dammed if Im going to be sad about a 1-4" fluff event in mid-Jan. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, Rush said: "Minor event". That's the biggest storm in years here! That is not a bad blend at this stage Agree with RickRd - Euro looking diff, less confluential over top. We'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Hr 78, we have some heights rises along the EC - had been very flat there past runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Euro is better. Still weak. But track is not out to sea. Known bias is going on. Euro is holding energy back. Sunday we will know. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, StretchCT said: Euro a little better than 6z at 96 Yep - it may come on up this run. How strong TBD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowadelphia Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Tater said: I submit the following two candidates for nomination: 100%. Send your rocks my way Edited January 12 by Snowadelphia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 12 Moderators Share Posted January 12 Yeah, a little better at 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 12 Moderators Share Posted January 12 2 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Yep - it may come on up this run. How strong TBD I goofed and didn't realize it was yesterdays 12z I was comparing too. Not sure why TT does that. Pivotal is 12z to 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 This thing is doing it's damn best to put me in mind of PDII - the dual low of weak amplitude riding the coast into cold air. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 12 Moderators Share Posted January 12 (edited) Still better than 0z. Edited January 12 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, StretchCT said: Still better than 0z. wait for the second piece. Could be interesting. We see some interesting trends here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 12 Moderators Share Posted January 12 (edited) Neutral at 120 probably doesn't cut it Edited January 12 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 13 minutes ago, Tater said: I submit the following two candidates for nomination: I guess I could try takin the chains off. (shrugs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 12 Moderators Share Posted January 12 (edited) There's just no shortwave like the one the GFS sees. Longwave there are differences, but the overall ideas are the same. The Euro just doesn't buy there's a shortwave going across the OH/IN/MI area. Edited January 12 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 12 Moderators Share Posted January 12 3 minutes ago, StretchCT said: The Euro just doesn't buy there's a shortwave going across the OH/IN/MI area. Wrong. It's there, it just goest through a day earlier. It's over L Erie vs being over NE IA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowadelphia Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Gotta see what short term models like the NAM start to show tomorrow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 11 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Wrong. It's there, it just goest through a day earlier. It's over L Erie vs being over NE IA. Enough difference to keep an eye on this bugger obviously. For your thread, not necessarily mine.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gettysburger Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 If we continue the ticks west every time the Euro runs we’ll be back in business in a few days. Gotta admit there is a trend there. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gettysburger Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 What do you all know about the Norm McDonald rule? That usually a storm exits at the same latitude it entered on the west coast. I know a lot of people don’t like him (Margavage) but he brought this up in one of his posts. Just curious what you all think? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lvnbraves Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 hour ago, PA road DAWG said: What’s our biggest culprit negating this system? Is it the PV lobe being too far east and not far enough west into the Hudson Bay area? Seems we can’t get the pendulum to swing quick enough I bought snowsuits for the kids after the last snowstorm, 2 or so years ago...it hasn't really snowed here since. I bought them big, but am guessing they may not fit...so as soon as they outrgrow them, the snowgates will open. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris2333 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 (edited) 8 minutes ago, lvnbraves said: I bought snowsuits for the kids after the last snowstorm, 2 or so years ago...it hasn't really snowed here since. I bought them big, but am guessing they may not fit...so as soon as they outrgrow them, the snowgates will open. Throw them out. The community here will overnight new ones once a snowstorm happens… I have a Schrödinger’s cat situation with my snowblower, haven’t started it in 2 years. Does it still work? Maybe, will I start it up? Nope because that will guarantee no snow, will roll the dice once we get a good storm. Edited January 12 by Chris2333 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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