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Jan. 15-17th, 2024 | NE/MidAtl Winter Storm


MaineJay

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2 minutes ago, StretchCT said:

Still stuck on the two competing areas around Florida.  0z GFS and Euro have them.  0z CMC and UKIE do not. 

Meanwhile the 6z GFS combines them better instead of releasing the first low.

Screenshot2024-01-12at9_05_05AM.thumb.png.86394cb5e1cce1cb9a899b94c6a1edc0.png

vs 0z where energy is leaving frame

Screenshot2024-01-12at9_07_31AM.thumb.png.e32b7b2def91aabad199eec6b79a93ed.png

 

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I am not saying this is going to be Blizz of 96 but you have to at least take a look at this Bastardi posted it this morning..

TOPNAM for 12Z Monday 1/15/24

BOTTOM: EURO for 12Z JAN 6, 1996Screenshot_2024_01_11_at_9_55_47_PM.png.7727ff2bbba8597eecbd37de247556df.pngScreenshot_2024_01_11_at_9_57_16_PM.png.18daeaf27c499923dbea24a4f31af1f6.png

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3 minutes ago, Rickrd said:

I am not saying this is going to be Blizz of 96 but you have to at least take a look at this Bastardi posted it this morning..

TOPNAM for 12Z Monday 1/15/24

BOTTOM: EURO for 12Z JAN 6, 1996Screenshot_2024_01_11_at_9_55_47_PM.png.7727ff2bbba8597eecbd37de247556df.pngScreenshot_2024_01_11_at_9_57_16_PM.png.18daeaf27c499923dbea24a4f31af1f6.png

image.gif.fc6369b7410494cde23bc9558ded05b6.gif

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3 minutes ago, Rickrd said:

I am not saying this is going to be Blizz of 96 but you have to at least take a look at this Bastardi posted it this morning..

TOPNAM for 12Z Monday 1/15/24

BOTTOM: EURO for 12Z JAN 6, 1996Screenshot_2024_01_11_at_9_55_47_PM.png.7727ff2bbba8597eecbd37de247556df.pngScreenshot_2024_01_11_at_9_57_16_PM.png.18daeaf27c499923dbea24a4f31af1f6.png

Two 96 storms in the mix, neither of which is that one. image.thumb.png.10ce7946c2969da0402b1aed1d7b0ce4.png

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12 minutes ago, Rickrd said:

I am not saying this is going to be Blizz of 96 but you have to at least take a look at this Bastardi posted it this morning..

TOPNAM for 12Z Monday 1/15/24

BOTTOM: EURO for 12Z JAN 6, 1996Screenshot_2024_01_11_at_9_55_47_PM.png.7727ff2bbba8597eecbd37de247556df.pngScreenshot_2024_01_11_at_9_57_16_PM.png.18daeaf27c499923dbea24a4f31af1f6.png

 

IMG_2901.gif

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just an fyi about NWS forecasts , as it was a topic last storm. Can’t link arrticle cuz old archived newspaper,  but they changed their criteria nationally to streamline consistency. It is still 6 inches for a watch and 3 for an advisory but the change is they changed the criteria for winter storm event, these watches, advisories, etc can now go out 48 hours, vs. 12 or 24 hours. For you weather geeks that have nothing better to do, updated criteria can be found at www.weather.gov/snow-criteria. 

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3 minutes ago, Snowadelphia said:

For I-95 folks - I’m going out to buy rock salt today. Apologies in advance. 

Don’t do it! You’ll screw everything up!

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7 minutes ago, Penn State said:

Long-range NAM pre-game..

floop-nam-2024011212.ref1km_ptype.conus.gif.9d094581e4a532bd0eb184601cf8cd78.gif

floop-nam-2024011212.500hv.conus.gif.1e6cc611f07c941b7584b2b03abe8a53.gif

Read this online. All depends on the NW Energy and whether it's even being sampled or models are handling it correctly.

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2 minutes ago, JDClapper said:

Shocker. 😅

In public mets defense, playing off, or going conservative side generally works out Id say better than 50% of the time.  Better than your chance at hitting black on the wheel.

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7 minutes ago, WeatherFlash said:

Man it feels good just having weekly to semi weekly snow potentials to track again after last couple years. 

Yeah I mean it beats actually working, that's for sure. 

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3 minutes ago, JDClapper said:

In public mets defense, playing off, or going conservative side generally works out Id say better than 50% of the time.  Better than your chance at hitting black on the wheel.

Agreed! They’d rather “play it safe” than have to apologize for being wrong. Around here it seems they’re the last to jump on board. 

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20 minutes ago, Snowadelphia said:

For I-95 folks - I’m going out to buy rock salt today. Apologies in advance. 

I purchased a new snow shovel when I moved to Haddonfield in 2019... Who did that work for us?!

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