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January 9-10, 2024 | NE / Mid-Atlantic Winter Storm


Penn State

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I know the Midwest folks need one but… I’ll always welcome the opposite trend… cutter to coastal ☃️
 

Let’s see if the snowpack (if we get some) changes the path of this could be beast. 

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Euro.. A step back, and less wintry. Of course, there's a lot to be determined on the 7th before this becomes more clear. 

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I just looked at Binghamton’s NWS for  next Wednesday, and this system is progressing in a predictably cutter- ific manner. The predicted max is only eight degrees below the daily record high of 49. And they usually raise the maxes as cutter-ific systems approach. 

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8 minutes ago, SnowloverSid said:

I just looked at Binghamton’s NWS for  next Wednesday, and this system is progressing in a predictably cutter- ific manner. The predicted max is only eight degrees below the daily record high of 49. And they usually raise the maxes as cutter-ific systems approach. 

following the GFS as the international models trending colder

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1 hour ago, MaineJay said:

About 25% of the GEFS look like nasty hits for long Island and much in New England. 

f162(5).thumb.gif.0ee4a75c757505a293a39066359b931b.gif

6 days away and most members are about the same.  Seems fishy.

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3 minutes ago, JDClapper said:

6 days away and most members are about the same.  Seems fishy.

Exactly my thoughts. Right around 120-150 hours out seem to be when the most decisive moves are made.

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27 minutes ago, MaineJay said:

Exactly my thoughts. Right around 120-150 hours out seem to be when the most decisive moves are made.

It’s been flirting with a more southern path.. we’ll see what happens. 

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Ear still has a correlative system south and east of gefs modeling right now 

IMG_3657.thumb.png.ecc5006ea8b7c6f7ac45c2e2f43da2ee.png

 

the wave train really starts pulsing after the 7th, looks promising but East Asia is so volatile to medium and shorter range changes so diligently will watch for any changes still like 11 and especially that third week capping of around the 20th 

 

Edited by Poco
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Good grief. 964mb over lake Huron. That's pretty anomalous, pushing near the limits of climo.

100kt low level jet. We need the CAD to deflect it.

ecmwf_mslp_uv850_neus_51.thumb.png.f18f89579d47b9a04b946908e2482be6.png

Only 2" of rain at least, gotta kinda hope there's no snow on the ground in this scenario.

ecmwf_apcpn24_neus_45.thumb.png.d0f2724665dbd87da9e67f2025580fd3.png

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2 minutes ago, MaineJay said:

These wind gusts are near the limits of climo where there's red. Looks nasty along the blue ridge @MDBlueridge

ens_2024010400_ne_24h_10fgi_SFC_144.thumb.png.b38422a390e859797e5b53a440f116a9.png

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Probably the most impact run yet at least for my backyard, hope this backs off.

Screenshot_20240104-062002.thumb.png.fdf49e94ab1bad9c92c6bb19b57b7007.png

Mercy 😬

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