Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 2 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted January 2 Just now, Pghsnow said: Big improvements Love it! There was a cutter earlier this year that trended east.. right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 7 hours ago, Penn State said: Love it! There was a cutter earlier this year that trended east.. right? Front end THUMP followed by some rain to wash it away.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 2 Admin Share Posted January 2 No thank you. This looks like a repeat of the 12/17 storm 1 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wayuphere Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 hour ago, MaineJay said: No thank you. This looks like a repeat of the 12/17 storm The temporary fixes to the electrical infrastructure would be tested. “Held together by a thread” comes to mind as I drive around and see all the mess still leaning over the wires and with the frost settling in ground again…no rain please. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 2 Admin Share Posted January 2 Mercy 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 lets hope it trends towards the canadian for this storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 2 Admin Share Posted January 2 40/60 split between 6-12" snow/2-4" rain. Then there's this. Can't imagine a worse scenario than getting snow load on trees and lines, then gusty winds. At least I know the genny is ready. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 2 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted January 2 Still a little front end thump in central and northern PA.. Have to see if it holds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 2 Admin Share Posted January 2 I'm sitting here having to hope this cuts WAY west. We need a solid CAD to keep those winds from mixing down. I can't remember the last time GYX mentioned anything beyond D7, so they seem concerned. Quote After a brief break on Monday with high pressure passing through New England, eyes are already turning to the next system for next Tuesday and Wednesday. Although it`s still 7-8 days away, models have been very consistent in bringing a strengthening system into the Northeast, though there remains high uncertainty as to whether this would be an inland cutter with wind and rain, or a storm featuring more coastal redevelopment and snowfall. Either way, POPs are quite high from this far out and were only reduced from NBM`s 90% POPs due to the risk of timing discrepancies from this far out. While it`s still too early to sort out the details, a potentially impactful system already looks likely in the Tuesday-Wednesday time frame next week. Additionally, tides will be approaching their monthly peaks by the middle to later portions of next week, so this will be one more factor to monitor with this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 2 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted January 2 What’s the ICON doing here? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 2 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted January 2 (edited) 4 minutes ago, MaineJay said: I'm sitting here having to hope this cuts WAY west. We need a solid CAD to keep those winds from mixing down. I can't remember the last time GYX mentioned anything beyond D7, so they seem concerned. I’m just glad they’re mentioning the possibility of coastal redevelopment.. I’ve been sort of stuck on the idea that this isn’t just a cutter as modeled. Maybe the demise of this storm on the 7th.. if that’s what ends up happening.. can actually help this? But I agree.. We don’t need those winds. Edited January 2 by Penn State 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 2 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted January 2 I think the latest GraphCast had the low going through Western PA (Erie) at last check.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 2 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted January 2 Even the NAV 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 3 Admin Share Posted January 3 36 minutes ago, Penn State said: I’m just glad they’re mentioning the possibility of coastal redevelopment.. I’ve been sort of stuck on the idea that this isn’t just a cutter as modeled. Maybe the demise of this storm on the 7th.. if that’s what ends up happening.. can actually help this? But I agree.. We don’t need those winds. So many modeled trofs, especially the longer range potent closed lows, have really evolved from like hour 150-100 into more benign, or separated, or sheared energy. The lead time gives me hope for some positive changes. At least away from a nasty wind and coastal food threat. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 3 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted January 3 GraphCast interpretation.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buxtonian Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 6 hours ago, MaineJay said: 40/60 split between 6-12" snow/2-4" rain. Then there's this. Can't imagine a worse scenario than getting snow load on trees and lines, then gusty winds. At least I know the genny is ready. Looks like a couple more "washouts" coming. I am ready for spring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 3 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted January 3 Um.. 👀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 colder solution will she transfer? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 3 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted January 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 3 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted January 3 (edited) 4 minutes ago, NEPAsnow said: colder solution will she transfer? It’s close.. not there yet.. but this looks attainable from here. Like.. if that low can make it to the Tennessee Valley, then transfer. That high to the north looks better too. Insane amount of qpf. Edited January 3 by Penn State 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowloverSid Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 hour ago, Penn State said: It’s close.. not there yet.. but this looks attainable from here. Like.. if that low can make it to the Tennessee Valley, then transfer. That high to the north looks better too. Insane amount of qpf. Probably enough to clinch a positive precipitation departure for Binghamton a mere third of the way through the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 3 Admin Share Posted January 3 Mostly just watching this and hoping it backs off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 3 Admin Share Posted January 3 GYX Quote As we get toward the end of the forecast period, focusing on Tuesday into Wednesday, global models along with their ensembles remain consistent in showing a deepening and potentially impactful low pressure approaching the Northeast. What track this system takes remains to be seen, but rain, strong winds, snow, and coastal flooding are all possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 3 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted January 3 Unfortunately, I can't post maps at the moment.. but both the GFS and GDPS look wintry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, Penn State said: Unfortunately, I can't post maps at the moment.. but both the GFS and GDPS look wintry! They sure do. Got a week to work on #2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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