CIWeather Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: Not for the 18z/6z Ok. Yeah, I knew that the 18z/6z runs did not go out as far, but I was not 100% sure where they stopped. For reference, could you post the same time as your last image from the 12z? That should be the Hr. 150 image I believe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIWeather Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 7 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: Not for the 18z/6z Never mind. I have a subscription to the site. I can get it myself. My god, I am losing my mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Not only does North America have an impending deep low, but there also is a simultaneous strong high pressure system over the Quebec region that will likely play a major role in storm track, further complicating the forecast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 11 hours ago, Hiramite said: Here’s an early Low Party Tracker to establish a baseline. I’ll probably wait 24hrs to do the next one then do twice a day when I’m available. I’m playing around with a different format as putting the pressure on the map gets crowded. Any feedback will be appreciated. Have I been forgotten for the winter weather? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted January 4 Meteorologist Share Posted January 4 The 12z and 18z cycles have been nightmare fuel for me. The movers are going to have a rough time on Monday if they're even able to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 18 minutes ago, Ingyball said: The 12z and 18z cycles have been nightmare fuel for me. The movers are going to have a rough time on Monday if they're even able to come. So your being sent out with 2 farewell storms? Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted January 4 Meteorologist Share Posted January 4 2 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: So your being sent out with 2 farewell storms? Nice! It would be great if there wasn't the chance for it to really disrupt my move. I was really hoping the Monday and Friday systems would combine and hit on Saturday/Sunday when it started showing up in the long range so I wouldn't have to worry at all lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 If nothing else that front end thump could be decent for me here in Indy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 minutes ago, Ingyball said: It would be great if there wasn't the chance for it to really disrupt my move. I was really hoping the Monday and Friday systems would combine and hit on Saturday/Sunday when it started showing up in the long range so I wouldn't have to worry at all lol. That really sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted January 4 Meteorologist Share Posted January 4 Just now, StormfanaticInd said: That really sucks Yeah I don't want to stress too much but this would be the perfect storm to send to someone else lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 4 Moderators Share Posted January 4 52 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: Have I been forgotten for the winter weather? I’m not sure what you mean, but I did think of you when putting together the Guess the Snowfall contest since you were a regular participant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIWeather Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 hour ago, StormfanaticInd said: Not only does North America have an impending deep low, but there also is a simultaneous strong high pressure system over the Quebec region that will likely play a major role in storm track, further complicating the forecast. Do you have a source for this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 hour ago, Grace said: Correct! 1. Keep in mind BSR is not 1:1 correlation on systems but is great at identifying a system. I've been harping up potential for a big system for a while & then when SOI massive drop, indicative of big system, correlated for the same dates I knew a very impactful system was likely...just can't say via BSR how it will track. 2. With that said, BSR is excellent on general 500mb. Notice the system is not forced due north. Maybe something noteworthy as models work out details. Thanks! Fun to see how it will compare to models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 hour ago, StormfanaticInd said: If nothing else that front end thump could be decent for me here in Indy Yeah that is a possibility. Not much cold air for this storm, but at this point it looks just cold enough on the front end with dynamic and evaporational cooling that Indy could at least start as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Central Illinois Posted January 4 Moderators Share Posted January 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Euro with a 969 over Detroit. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 If we had a stronger surface high... good God. But we don't, as this thing is present in a surrounding pressure field that is not that high. Not that it won't be breezy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 5 hours ago, CIWeather said: Do you have a source for this? KIND Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 4 Moderators Share Posted January 4 (edited) 1/4 0Z Low Party Tracker (LPT). My observations as compared to yesterday’s 0Z run: The track has shifted east slightly, with the Euro taking the biggest jump. The track has also become a bit more amplified (N-S) IMO. The Euro is much stronger, coming close to meeting “bomb” criteria. GDPS and GFS, no significant pressure change. Even with different begin/end points, the tracks converge near Cairo IL. Next LPT will be tomorrow AM. Then probably twice a day starting this weekend. Yesterday's Tracker below. Quote Edited January 4 by Hiramite 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Mainiac Posted January 4 Admin Share Posted January 4 6 hours ago, snowlover2 said: I'm missing out on the upcoming northeast event and in the snow doldrums. This is one of the few times a year the midwest storm is also my storm in Maine, where the low passes far to my west with enough cold for snow. I'm liking the early indications! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Icewoz Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Looks like DTW may get some decent ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIWeather Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 41 minutes ago, Hiramite said: 1/4 0Z Low Party Tracker (LPT). My observations as compared to yesterday’s 0Z run: The track has shifted east slightly, with the Euro taking the biggest jump. The track has also become a bit more amplified (N-S) IMO. The Euro is much stronger, coming close to meeting “bomb” criteria. GDPS and GFS, no significant pressure change. Even with different begin/end points, the tracks converge near Cairo IL. Next LPT will be tomorrow AM. Then probably twice a day starting this weekend. Yesterday's Tracker below. Quite a hook by the GFS! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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