BoroBuckeye Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3 minutes ago, mafa said: The 13th storm is brewing in the gulf. Let’s see what happens. (I know, wrong thread) Looking like December 2004 on the 12Z GFS… too bad it’s 200+ hours away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIWeather Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 6 minutes ago, junior said: Storm after storm with El Ninos but tons of PAC/STJ heat release. 4 minutes ago, BoroBuckeye said: Looking like December 2004 on the 12Z GFS… too bad it’s 200+ hours away There's almost a 50" total in Missouri by the end of this storm on the GFS 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 4 Admin Share Posted January 4 We’re definitely in a new pattern. Don’t know that I like it. Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harberr62 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Storms to track….thats all that matters! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 UK is in general track alignment with the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 4 Admin Share Posted January 4 43 minutes ago, Harberr62 said: Storms to track….thats all that matters! True facts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 hour ago, CIWeather said: There's almost a 50" total in Missouri by the end of this storm on the GFS No doubt this will happen. The Great F*^$ing Sh!tshow (GFS) model is pretty accurate. 😝 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Early, but I'm fairly sure the 12z Euro is going to be at least somewhat north of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 I guess the CMC was a fluke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 euro jumped NW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIWeather Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 16 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: euro jumped NW Indeed. Interestingly, it is also 3 MB weaker on the 12z than on the 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted January 4 Meteorologist Share Posted January 4 (edited) I'm liking these east shifts on the deterministics, however the GEFS and EPS both shifted north, leaving me in the middle (where the CMCE has it). The GFS forecasts our wave to move off the monster Alaska storm around 0z tonight. We should get true sampling on 0z or 06z Saturday when the wave reaches Juneau. Might have to wait until 12z Saturday before we get a really clear picture. Edited January 4 by Ingyball 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 JMA for the win 😂 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Big bertha starting to appear at the end of the 18z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 18z GFS is slightly stronger so of course also slightly NW of 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 The last 12 GFS runs. Saturday storm is still wiggling around yet this guys has been locked in! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 this setup is a mess, as is right now, if your not directly in the path of the deform band your not getting snow. We need arctic air bad or this is just going to keep happening with every storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 I see the GFS has now given up on the idea of a front end thump for the OV. Just not enough cold air 💩 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 20 hours ago, Hiramite said: I’m not sure what you mean, but I did think of you when putting together the Guess the Snowfall contest since you were a regular participant. I am currently in college Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organicforecasting Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 (edited) Oh how I miss the days of more people outside of Ohio in the forums! On a side note... M-I-Z!!!! Edited January 5 by Organicforecasting 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organicforecasting Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 (edited) here is the link to see how many dropsonde's are going to be in the models. https://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/idsb/nwprod/realtime/ Edited January 5 by Organicforecasting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organicforecasting Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 CIPS Analogs... https://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/analog.php?rundt=2024010412 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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