January 6-7, 2024 | NE / Mid-Atlantic Winter Storm

[MaineJay]

I'm really torn whether getting snow here helps or not for the next one. More snow = more CAD = inversion = less wind.  But it also increases flooding concerns.

[Blizz]

5 minutes ago, MaineJay said:

I'm really torn whether getting snow here helps or not for the next one. More snow = more CAD = inversion = less wind.  But it also increases flooding concerns.

MJ always looking at the bigger picture... yes sir. 😉

[MaineJay]

9 minutes ago, Blizz said:

MJ always looking at the bigger picture... yes sir. 😉

This could likely benefit those to my south, but the effects of more dry cold here probably won't translate to that right on the nose if the TROWAL. local effects and precip rates probably matter way more there.

  Best pressure falls on the SC/GA border.

Edit: it's actually not, there's some -4mb along the blue ridge

You can almost see a little swirl in shortwave IR right there.

[Undertakerson2.0]

24.5F/ W: Clm/ Ptly Cloudy

The final vestiges of a waning crescent moon ever so slightly illuminates the BKN cloud deck. The front yard flood light reflect tiny diamonds of frost out on the lawn. 

METAR mapping shows convection in N Florida - a mini version of the JAX rule. But for even colder HP overhead, likely would enhance an already slightly increasing snowfall forecast along the spine of the Apps. 

Payday gang. Glad to be a small part of it. 

Edited January 6 by Undertakerson2.0

[Undertakerson2.0]

As MJ noted, this is a double edged sword with the trailing system being so wet on top of it 

The winds on Tuesday (sorry off topic yet relevant) will have no problem conspiring with the snow melt from this event and the rainfall from the next, to topple trees. For my zone, an East wind gusting to 40+ at times, will hit my BY in a Venturi Effect of sorts as the ridge and valley configuration constrict the areal path it must take along the way. Thus, 30-40 mph gusts will accelerate in response to the "squeeze play"

For now will enjoy the heavy wet and white and not worry about those things right now - after all, tomorrow is another day. 

[Blizz]

9 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

24.5F/ W: Clm/ Ptly Cloudy

The final vestiges of a waning gibbous moon ever so slightly illuminates the BKN cloud deck. The front yard flood light reflect tiny diamonds of frost out on the lawn. 

METAR mapping shows convection in N Florida - a mini version of the JAX rule. But for even colder HP overhead, likely would enhance an already slightly increasing snowfall forecast along the spine of the Apps. 

Payday gang. Glad to be a small part of it. 

I can't believe we have UTC back, let's gooooo!!! Good morning btw 😉
 

 

[MaineJay]

@Blizz

Yeah, I haven't been able to find how to enable members to delete. Moderators and admin can though.  You did the right thing by hiding it, I generally try to delete them when I see hidden double or mistake posts.

[MaineJay]

Alright, found it, now folks can delete their own posts if necessary.

[JDClapper]

Eek.

[MaineJay]

24 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

24.5F/ W: Clm/ Ptly Cloudy

The final vestiges of a waning crescent moon ever so slightly illuminates the BKN cloud deck. The front yard flood light reflect tiny diamonds of frost out on the lawn. 

METAR mapping shows convection in N Florida - a mini version of the JAX rule. But for even colder HP overhead, likely would enhance an already slightly increasing snowfall forecast along the spine of the Apps. 

Payday gang. Glad to be a small part of it. 

That site has a neat cross section tool that unfortunately isn't working for me right now. 

[Blizz]

1 minute ago, JDClapper said:

Eek.

They woke up high?

[Undertakerson2.0]

2 minutes ago, JDClapper said:

Eek.

I hope you didn't wake up Connie by being up so early

'Port, the new snow capitol of PA 

[Undertakerson2.0]

1 minute ago, Blizz said:

They woke up high?

No but i'm working on it.

Oh wait --- you said "they woke up..."

NVM

[Blizz]

Just now, Undertakerson2.0 said:

No but i'm working on it.

Oh wait --- you said "they woke up..."

NVM

What happend to drawing the rivers from CTP????? 

[Undertakerson2.0]

6 minutes ago, Blizz said:

What happend to drawing the rivers from CTP????? 

They seem to have a buncha random lines all over that map, going from Red to Black etc. Not sure what they're up to. Maybe the ARE high. 

[JDClapper]

8 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

I hope you didn't wake up Connie by being up so early

'Port, the new snow capitol of PA 

I don't think so.. but the cats fighting doesn't help. lol

 

Morning coffee and weather analysis with my nerd buds.  What could be better on a Saturday morning!

[JDClapper]

[Undertakerson2.0]

Nice and long fetch at H8.5, tapping +2Sigma PWAT. 

[JDClapper]

Looks like a little leading-edge band around PITT although I didn't see any reports on mPing yet .. but the guts and glory is half way into WV. now.

[HVSNOWSTORM]

Good morning. GAMEDAY, let's go!

 

 

[Rush]

Going to be right on the rain/snow line for this event.  Hope to see 2-3" before a change over, but have a feeling I'll be looking at snow about 2 miles to my west.  

Alexa says I am getting 2.83".  Very exact.  Going to trust her.  This will end a 628 day snowless drought.   We are 2,905 days since a snowstorm that didn't end as sleet.

Edited January 6 by Rush

[JDClapper]

@HVSNOWSTORM I was thinking about you yesterday, didn't recall seeing much posts from you recently!  Good luck tonight, looking good!

[MaineJay]

6 minutes ago, JDClapper said:

Looks like a little leading-edge band around PITT although I didn't see any reports on mPing yet .. but the guts and glory is half way into WV. now.

I always forget about mPing, such a great tool for us too.

850s look like they are holding on well in WV. On par, maybe even a touch warm near the DelMarVa, but that area must always struggle with an easterly fetch.

 

[JDClapper]

Looks like we bottomed out around 18 here shortly after midnight ... up to 22 now.  DP 20, should get going without much delay, when it gets here.

[MaineJay]

2 minutes ago, Rush said:

Going to be right on the rain/snow line for this event.  Hope to see 2-3" before a change over, but have a feeling I'll be looking at snow about 2 miles to my west.  

Alexa says I am getting 2.83".  Very exact.  Going to trust her.

My sister knows very little about the weather, she calls me for her totals. 🤓