January 6-7, 2024 | NE / Mid-Atlantic Winter Storm

[TLChip]

3 hours ago, Phillyfan said:

3 hours ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said:

Stocker alert. Don't give out any more info🫢

I already had a good idea before that.😏

Come find me I'll have a 🍻 😉

[cer5059]

4 hours ago, NJ Snowman said:

Well at least they are starting to fill in some of the missing pieces.  Jigsaw puzzle is almost done...

Love being one of those three counties in PA that have absolutely nothing 

[Burr]

Don’t recall if the 0z GFS was posted.  Apologies for the repeat if so.

 

[TLChip]

Current obs.

19 degrees

15 dp

clear skies

Soon ☃️?

[Burr]

Hi-res FV3

 

[Phillyfan]

3 minutes ago, TLChip said:

Current obs.

19 degrees

15 dp

clear skies

Soon ☃️?

Currently 26 at the Reading Airport, just a 7 degree difference there.

[TLChip]

8 minutes ago, Phillyfan said:

Currently 26 at the Reading Airport, just a 7 degree difference there.

That’s huge, or back to stretch who had replaced a temp sensor I believe recently he suspected to be faulty? Zzzz time

I got a handheld anemometer with a temp gauge  I can compare tomorrow morning. 

Edited January 6 by TLChip

[TheComet]

2 hours ago, MaineJay said:

Low level moisture and condensation nuclei, in the form of salt particles, beginning to get drawn west off the Gulf stream. 

So if I stick my tongue out tomorrow I can taste myself some Gulf Stream? Awesome!

[tool483]

gotta love the banding on the 0z RGEM, it def slows down off the coast

Edited January 6 by tool483

[tool483]

😐

[tool483]

Last one, 500's..interesting kink where the low is developing..thats warm air in there hopefully not leading to more mixing down the line, It's picking up its moisture though

Edited January 6 by tool483

[Blizz]

11 minutes ago, tool483 said:

gotta love the banding on the 0z RGEM, it def slows down off the coast

Wow, I wonder how close in meteorological terms were we from a much bigger snowstorm seeing that low crawl up the coast but not have a significant left side. I know some people earlier in the week were talking about some analogs hinting at similar setups being NESIS level. Probably just a little bit (but in reality a lot) off....

[tool483]

2 minutes ago, Blizz said:

Wow, I wonder how close in meteorological terms were we from a much bigger snowstorm seeing that low crawl up the coast but not have a significant left side. I know some people earlier in the week were talking about some analogs hinting at similar setups being NESIS level. Probably just a little bit (but in reality a lot) off....

Just a few ingredients away, I wish it nature would just do its whole bombogenesis thang lol

upper levels etc didn't wanna line up, but hey here comes a decent hit for alot  #snowstarved

[Rickrd]

Euro. 0z. Night.
tomorrow is pay day. 

Edited January 6 by Rickrd

[Rickrd]

One last thing. 
looking for a red sky in the morning. 

[eddygeeme]

Models trended better tonight for my area far NW DC burbs Euro seems to want to give us less of all the models have seen ranges 1-3  to 3-6 on the high end. So close to warning level criteria IMBY Blue Dot next country over lol.

27/23 Mostly Cloudy here in Germantown. 

[Blizz]

6z NAM

[MaineJay]

NAM3 qpf trend.

[PA road DAWG]

[Blizz]

1 minute ago, PA road DAWG said:

GFS ballin out in NEPA, we welcome the results

[Penn State]

1 minute ago, PA road DAWG said:

It’s nice when the models trend higher as we approach a storm.. it’s usually the opposite. I really think this banding.. as evident on the 3K NAM.. is going to be quite intense and lead to a few surprises. 

[PA road DAWG]

2 minutes ago, Penn State said:

It’s nice when the models trend higher as we approach a storm.. it’s usually the opposite. I really think this banding.. as evident on the 3K NAM.. is going to be quite intense and lead to a few surprises. 

A la Dec 2020

[Penn State]

Just now, PA road DAWG said:

A la Dec 2020

Exactly.. Also.. This is like Christmas morning as a child. I can’t sleep lol 😂 

[so_whats_happening]

I shouldnt even be up but just cant sleep. Temp is 24 dewpoint 19 definitely a bit lower than i thought it would be. We should slowly rise toward daybreak, lets see if we get precip to start before we get to 30.

Still expecting 1-3" pretty sharp cutoff just west of me. Harrisburg looks like 4-8"

[MaineJay]

7 minutes ago, PA road DAWG said:

A la Dec 2020

I don't expect the last second north shift we saw with that, I think the northern fringe is getting trimmed back on this one. We can make up for some in ratios, but there's going to be a line where the dry air eats into the radar returns.