January 6-7, 2024 | NE / Mid-Atlantic Winter Storm

[JDClapper]

3 minutes ago, Penn State said:

So.. Probably a stupid question.. but what kind of flakes do you expect tomorrow? Assuming the pancake flakes since it’ll be warm (relatively) and wet. 

Love me some pancakes in the intense bands .. adds up quick!

[Penn State]

Also.. Observation. It’s 23F in Chambersburg. Expected low was 28F. Others have noticed..

[RTC3-LAST CHANCE]

1 minute ago, Rickrd said:

Seriously? I’m expecting globulars.  😜

MJ, any chance of you reincarnating the old Accuweather Jesse Jail and putting RickRD in it ? Remember them old warning levels?

[MaineJay]

1 minute ago, Penn State said:

So.. Probably a stupid question.. but what kind of flakes do you expect tomorrow? Assuming the pancake flakes since it’ll be warm (relatively) and wet. 

I'd expect a grainy texture near that warm nose (some sleet mixed in), big fat wet flakes inland from that. I'd say it gets fluffy north of say I84.  North if I90 roughly will be pixie dust. Dry air up here might inhibit ideal dendrite growth.

[JDClapper]

Just now, Penn State said:

Also.. Observation. It’s 23F in Chambersburg. Expected low was 28F. Others have noticed..

Could be the reason for the "slow down" on arrival on the models... delayed but not denied... at least as modelled.

[MaineJay]

Just now, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said:

MJ, any chance of you reincarnating the old Accuweather Jesse Jail and putting RickRD in it ? Remember them old warning levels?

I prefer using a wooden cooking spoon or yard stick across the knuckles.

[JDClapper]

3k NAM had Williamsport at 27  now.. my PWS is at 21.6. Oof.

[JDClapper]

Just now, JDClapper said:

3k NAM had Williamsport at 27  now.. my PWS is at 21.6. Oof.

Dew point not as bad... forecast 20 now.. PWS 17

[MaineJay]

1 minute ago, JDClapper said:

3k NAM had Williamsport at 27  now.. my PWS is at 21.6. Oof.

So often models are too warm at the surface, too cool aloft.

[RTC3-LAST CHANCE]

Just now, JDClapper said:

Dew point not as bad... forecast 20 now.. PWS 17

Is it the clear skies then? Cuz that's a big variation. 

[mikeysed]

I'm all packed up for Crystal Springs tomorrow. Per some of these latest short range models may only get 3 inches more up there than where I'm at in Southern Morris county.

[Penn State]

1 minute ago, JDClapper said:

3k NAM had Williamsport at 27  now.. my PWS is at 21.6. Oof.

I’m sure once clouds move in, those will pop up.. but I like starting in good position and defending instead of trying to drop down. 

[RTC3-LAST CHANCE]

Just now, Penn State said:

I’m sure once clouds move in, those will pop up.. but I like starting in good position and defending instead of trying to drop down. 

Agree, temp variations from modeled don't really matter much in cutters, storms going to the west , because WAA is a cold , heartless killer . But this ain't that, so I think it matters. 

[JDClapper]

2 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said:

Is it the clear skies then? Cuz that's a big variation. 

Yep, mostly.  But like Penn State said, about to put a lid on it soon with clouds.  They are close.

[MaineJay]

Kickoff time at Foxborough

[RTC3-LAST CHANCE]

Just now, MaineJay said:

Kickoff time at Foxborough

Hopefully it doesn't slow down that Pat's offense. It is nearly unstoppable 🥸

[JDClapper]

UHI .. warmed up to 26 ish around downtown.  Bit colder outside of the buildings and mostly pavement.

[MaineJay]

2 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said:

Hopefully it doesn't slow down that Pat's offense. It is nearly unstoppable 🥸

I imagine the under bet is getting a lot of action.

[JDClapper]

Now watch this drive.

[winterson]

Do the dew😘

[JDClapper]

2 minutes ago, MaineJay said:

I imagine the under bet is getting a lot of action.

Great idea!  $5 on under 30.5 has been placed.  You better be right MJ! 

[RTC3-LAST CHANCE]

No MDBR much ??

[woodyelm]

It was 21 degrees F an hour ago.  At 9:48 it's 22.  The humidity imby is 77%.  As NWS stated earlier today, there will be no stalling due to dryness.  

[JDClapper]

[JDClapper]

2 minutes ago, JDClapper said:

Great idea!  $5 on under 30.5 has been placed.  You better be right MJ! 

Narrator:  But he was not right.