January 6-7, 2024 | NE / Mid-Atlantic Winter Storm

[JDClapper]

2 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

Ima callin shenanigans on NAM at Hr 60 etc. It chases convection at first, and that causes the model to rob moisture big time. Then once it realizes it's a phantom chase its doing, it brings focus back to the still tucked actual reflection. The output will not be accurate as a result.

For heavens sake it gets crazy on Sunday with this run. WEIRD RUN

[Undertakerson2.0]

It then corrects to the actual surface low. 

[TLChip]

Not saying the NAM is wrong or right but honestly, up till it throws the costal back to where it should be. I would not be surprised if this is weak till it bombs out when the trailer catches up. SNE banger….

Edited January 4 by TLChip

[Hail_On_Me]

NAM is a Tri-State special.   

[clm]

1 minute ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

Hr 63 - see it jump to the Convection, that shuts off precip. 

Yeah but then it seems to backfill later and over backfill.  Double digit totals in my area, definitely not in this storm.

 

[Rickrd]

put on a bra NAM

[TLChip]

2 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

Hr 63 - see it jump to the Convection, that shuts off precip

I’m worried it’s on the right path of that first costal ejecting away from the trailing vort.

[mikeysed]

Just now, Hail_On_Me said:

NAM is a Tri-State special.   

What a beautiful NAMing

[MDBlueridge]

7 minutes ago, JDClapper said:

Was just coming to say, weird ass surface map run.. most of "my" snow comes Sunday from the trailer.. wth? Haha

For Burbs. 

Those who know, know that I know they know that they know I know

 

Edited January 4 by MDBlueridge

[Undertakerson2.0]

Just now, clm said:

Yeah but then it seems to backfill later and over backfill.  Double digit totals in my area, definitely not in this storm.

 

 

Just now, TLChip said:

I’m worried it’s on the right path of that first costal ejecting away from the trailing vort.

I'm not, it's clearly chasing convection to me when it does that

[DasGoon]

11 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

This run is wonky all around. Did not expect it. Wait, it's NAM outside 48 hours, nvm

15" in Nassau, 1" in Riverhead, 10" in Montauk.  Seems... odd.

[SquallBall]

1 hour ago, Rickrd said:

SREF for Bethlehem is at 4.3 so I’m looking for 6. 

I'm in Hanover Township, ill take it! enough for the kids to hit the hill.... 

[NJ Snowman]

1 minute ago, Hail_On_Me said:

NAM is a Tri-State special.   

If that panned out, which I don't think it will, NYC is going to be a mess.

[Undertakerson2.0]

I'd actually love that result, gives me less and you durned snow freaks* more (*term of affection)

Ima just sayin it's wrong. 

[LongIslanGurlllll]

3 minutes ago, Rickrd said:

put on a bra NAM

Naughty lol

[clm]

1 minute ago, DasGoon said:

15" in Nassau, 1" in Riverhead, 10" in Montauk.  Seems... odd.

Too much hot air in Riverhead. 🤪

[Rickrd]

18Z NAM Clown map

[clm]

Just now, Rickrd said:

18Z NAM Clown map

Alright, whose kid has been playing with the magic markers again.

[LongIslanGurlllll]

5 minutes ago, clm said:

Too much hot air in Riverhead. 🤪

Hey now

[Undertakerson2.0]

[mikeysed]

Awaiting my Mt Holly but Upton has UPPED their totals

 

[RTC3-LAST CHANCE]

13 minutes ago, Rickrd said:

put on a bra NAM

We seriously need to talk

[clm]

Just now, mikeysed said:

Awaiting my Mt Holly but Upton has UPPED their totals

 

Same for my area.  Nice to see.  I just want the mix out of there.  Snow only.  Or rain only.  Supposed to dip into the 20's Sunday night and that will make Monday morning commute *****y

[LUCC]

Models correcting ever so slightly S & E, only time will tell. 

[Rickrd]

Just now, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said:

We seriously need to talk

Blue?