January 6-7, 2024 | NE / Mid-Atlantic Winter Storm

[MaineJay]

3 minutes ago, Wtkidz said:

So when does it now require us to do a puzzle before posting. Or is I just me….. am I on a naughty list ?

I'm not sure, I had to do the same thing.  I had trouble with some editing as well.

I've been trying to find out what's going on.

[Penn State]

GraphCast Representation.. Looks solid! 

[Pghsnow]

1 hour ago, Rush said:

I haven't had this much digital snow in two years.  Let me enjoy it.

And 3 GFS runs in a row. But I am prepared to have the ball taken away... 😁

[Penn State]

13 minutes ago, Pghsnow said:

And 3 GFS runs in a row. But I am prepared to have the ball taken away... 😁

[Cdfarabaugh]

14 minutes ago, Pghsnow said:

And 3 GFS runs in a row. But I am prepared to have the ball taken away... 😁

We're all used to the hurt by now 😉

[Penn State]

I think the energy that forms this is way back here.. the good news (maybe) is that it’s a pretty smooth track into the SW and points east (to my eye.. I’m sure there’s more involved lol) 

[Sentinel]

1 hour ago, Wtkidz said:

So when does it now require us to do a puzzle before posting. Or is I just me….. am I on a naughty list ?

 

1 hour ago, MaineJay said:

I'm not sure, I had to do the same thing.  I had trouble with some editing as well.

I've been trying to find out what's going on.

It seems to be resolving itself, yet we'll keep an eye. If it continues, we can put a ticket in with support. Unless of course, Julia Roberts and Mahershala Ali are also having cyber trouble 😎

[Phillyfan]

 

 

Edited December 31, 2023 by Phillyfan

[JDClapper]

That 1/4 one keeps faking me out.. I thought this was a miss again, then i saw the dates and breathed a sigh of relief lol

[MaineJay]

Northern stream interaction of some kind might be a necessity here being primary a southern stream feature.  If I had to guess this far out, it could be the heavy snow axis is fairly narrow. Details to be ironed out though.

[JDClapper]

Updated WPC probs and forecast

 

[Penn State]

15 minutes ago, MaineJay said:

Northern stream interaction of some kind might be a necessity here being primary a southern stream feature.  If I had to guess this far out, it could be the heavy snow axis is fairly narrow. Details to be ironed out though.

Definitely.. That rain / snow line is creeping north. Too close for comfort. lol.. I can’t even remember our last pure snow event. Most of the ones over the past couple years involved some sort of wintry mix. 

[Penn State]

Canadian looking good too! 

[MaineJay]

9 minutes ago, Penn State said:

Definitely.. That rain / snow line is creeping north. Too close for comfort. lol.. I can’t even remember our last pure snow event. Most of the ones over the past couple years involved some sort of wintry mix. 

So often we see those 850 freezing temps slowly erode in the final days. That said, no need to fret yet, lots of time.

[Pghsnow]

Ukie end of run

[Penn State]

1 minute ago, Pghsnow said:

Ukie end of run

Looks a bit more progressive than the GFS and GDPS.. 

[MaineJay]

We often talk about getting the one in front of of the way. This also has one behind it that kicking it out.

 

  So lots to watch here.

 

[Cdfarabaugh]

Not complaining, but the peak irony would be getting the first major snow, only to have this modeled cutterzilla wash it away 2 days later 🤣

[MaineJay]

GEFS lost the deep bombs, so a much more subdued look this run than it's previous.

[MaineJay]

Too little northern stream, and it's too warm, too much, and it shreds it. Gonna need just the right amount.

[Wtkidz]

No doubt all of this will change….  Too far north for me that means  I woke up from snow drean to rain dream,,,,  you thought I was going to say wet didn’t you…..

[Penn State]

It’s only like what.. 14 runs of the Euro and 28 runs of the GFS. We got this 😂 

 

[Pghsnow]

Nice EURO

[MaineJay]

Big TROWAL on ECMWF smells like sleet.

[Penn State]

2 minutes ago, MaineJay said:

Big TROWAL on ECMWF smells like sleet.

Those that would stay snow though.. right on the fringe in that situation.. Jackpot.