January 6-7, 2024 | NE / Mid-Atlantic Winter Storm

[Penn State]

9 minutes ago, PA road DAWG said:

Gefs also went nuts 

Nice. 

Edited January 1 by Penn State

[MaineJay]

Watch the mid level lows. You want to be just north of the track of center.

H7 trend.

[JDClapper]

Is this what we call threading a needle? Haha

 

[HVSNOWSTORM]

18z gefs vs 12z gefs snows more north. 

 

[Penn State]

Just got a subscription to weathermodels.com.. So, now trying it out lol.. EPS from 12z. 

[NEPAsnow]

7 minutes ago, HVSNOWSTORM said:

18z gefs vs 12z gefs snows more north. 

 

come north my friend

[MaineJay]

Best case scenario is the solutions back and forth, at this time.  It's when we start seeing 2, 3, and especially 4 consecutive runs in any particular direction, with any important parameter, that reassessments will have to be made.

 I'm still thinking best axis around the mason Dixon line currently. I'm (barely) not stupid enough to try and call for amounts.

 And if the solution is close to what has been depicted on some models, pretty good on them.

[Wtkidz]

38 minutes ago, MaineJay said:

Best case scenario is the solutions back and forth, at this time.  It's when we start seeing 2, 3, and especially 4 consecutive runs in any particular direction, with any important parameter, that reassessments will have to be made.

 I'm still thinking best axis around the mason Dixon line currently. I'm (barely) not stupid enough to try and call for amounts.

 And if the solution is close to what has been depicted on some models, pretty good on them.

I think it may be a bit further north  but we will see.

picture is just for giggles and grins. 

 

Edited January 2 by Wtkidz

[StretchCT]

NBM trend

[Poco]

Spread is now primarily to west of mean lp compared to 12z

18z

 

12z

 

18z gefs  8 run mslp delta 

 

Edited January 2 by Poco

[Penn State]

This is cool.. A breakdown of the EPS members for Hagerstown, MD. There’s an 18” lollipop in there! 

[TLChip]

1 minute ago, Penn State said:

This is cool.. A breakdown of the EPS members for Hagerstown, MD. There’s an 18” lollipop in there! 

I haven't renewed mine this year yet, was debating on trying weatherbell. I do like the snowfall matrix and the 15 day forecast, along with a bunch of their maps.

[Penn State]

Oooh.. and the Korean Model.. I’ve always wanted to post this. lol.. Looks strong for PA folks. 

[Wtkidz]

FYI

[Penn State]

1 minute ago, TLChip said:

I haven't renewed mine this year yet, was debating on trying weatherbell. I do like the snowfall matrix and the 15 day forecast, along with a bunch of their maps.

Weatherbell interests me as well.. figured I’d go in for a lower price to start, go month by month, and then see if I want to dive in further. I really like the teleconnection charts too. 

[Pghsnow]

[Pghsnow]

26 minutes ago, Penn State said:

Oooh.. and the Korean Model.. I’ve always wanted to post this. lol.. Looks strong for PA folks. 

Korean is my favorite model. It is ALWAYS right... 😂🤣😂

[Pghsnow]

Wrong thread

 

Edited January 2 by Pghsnow
Wrong thread

[NEPAsnow]

Just now, Pghsnow said:

what model showed the heavy snow that far west?

[Pghsnow]

3 minutes ago, NEPAsnow said:

what model showed the heavy snow that far west?

None except for 1 run of Euro. I put it in the proper thread. 

[Pghsnow]

18z EPS

[JDClapper]

NavGEM and JMA

 

[Snowadelphia]

32 minutes ago, JDClapper said:

NavGEM and JMA

 

Pretty far west for the NAV but it’s nearly at the end of its run. Grain of salt I guess

[Hail_On_Me]

32 minutes ago, JDClapper said:

NavGEM and JMA

 

Love to see this.   We haven't had a legit storm in what feels like forever and there is a large concensus amongst the models that this one could end the drought. 

Nice to see everyone one again 😀  

 

[JDClapper]

Maps.