Pghsnow Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 GEFS look bleak too.. 😞 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 hour ago, Pghsnow said: One step forward, 12Z 3 steps backwards...18Z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 4 hours ago, Pghsnow said: No one is forecasting the cold air like this model. That looks and smells like crisp, cold Canadian arctic air. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 12, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 12, 2023 One thing is certainly clear.. no matter how you slice it, this is one powerful nor'easter potential. The GDPS had a 966 low off the Carolinas. By all accounts, looks like rain for everyone, but there will likely be a coastal flooding and wind threat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDBlueridge Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 Euro sheds 25+ mb's in less than 24 hours as it rides up the coast but makes/draws no cold air on NW side in December? well see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 12, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 12, 2023 57 minutes ago, MDBlueridge said: Euro sheds 25+ mb's in less than 24 hours as it rides up the coast but makes/draws no cold air on NW side in December? well see. It's crazy.. All of these years we've been on the forum, and we talk about storms producing their own cold air. We've even had hurricanes, like Sandy in October, that drew in cold air for snow in the mountains. Yet.. this does nothing. I have wondered.. well, let's say the cold air does arrive. How strong does that make this thing? If the CMC was 966 as a stand alone feature, with one phase, are we talking like 945 with another? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 12, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 12, 2023 Graph Cast's interpretation.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted December 12, 2023 Moderators Share Posted December 12, 2023 I see why it goes boom, but it's still incredible that there's no cold air to assist. It's pure energy. 850 makes it look warm core 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 minute ago, StretchCT said: I see why it goes boom, but it's still incredible that there's no cold air to assist. It's pure energy. 850 makes it look warm core Cuban low? I think the writing is on the wall with this one. (Sarcasm) All I see on social media is about the TORCH next week and how all of North America will be way above average on temps. I'd like to have hope this would pan out, but it's not looking good. IMO. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted December 12, 2023 Moderators Share Posted December 12, 2023 8 minutes ago, StretchCT said: I see why it goes boom, but it's still incredible that there's no cold air to assist. It's pure energy. 850 makes it look warm core That last frame on the 850 when the L is over CT is close. The only problem with wishing that the cold air arrives sooner is that it might end up bumping the storm out to sea or into the Maritimes as the flow from that is W to E. We'd need that trough dropping in with the cold to drop further south 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted December 12, 2023 Moderators Share Posted December 12, 2023 This is interesting 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDBlueridge Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 40 minutes ago, StretchCT said: That last frame on the 850 when the L is over CT is close. The only problem with wishing that the cold air arrives sooner is that it might end up bumping the storm out to sea or into the Maritimes as the flow from that is W to E. We'd need that trough dropping in with the cold to drop further south Bingo. It needs to happen sooner. A monster with no cold air phase in December 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 12, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 12, 2023 Oh.. Canada. How I wanted you fired from the Steelers. However.. you are at least making this thread interesting. lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 12, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 12, 2023 @Pghsnow Now.. That ICON run looks much better. Plus, there's a little mini-me that forms at the end w/ cold air. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDBlueridge Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 Some wild solutions showing up. Serious power from the south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDBlueridge Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 28 MB drop in 24 hours before it gets to North Carolina? whoa 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowadelphia Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, MDBlueridge said: 28 MB drop in 24 hours before it gets to North Carolina? whoa Gets any stronger its going to generate its own cold air. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 It’s going to be three giant storms that cover the northern hemisphere in snow. Cold hurricanes w/eye dropping down extremely cold air… we all know where I’m going… 🤣 Seriously though even with the temps being a week out we have time for some good changes. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 8 minutes ago, TLChip said: It’s going to be three giant storms that cover the northern hemisphere in snow. Cold hurricanes w/eye dropping down extremely cold air… we all know where I’m going… 🤣 Seriously though even with the temps being a week out we have time for some good changes. Somebody better check the amoc current. Stat! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 The whole 12z GFS run was nuts. Storms lingering off shore enjoying a cruise, retrograding, other hijinx as well. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 minute ago, JDClapper said: The whole 12z GFS run was nuts. Storms lingering off shore enjoying a cruise, retrograding, other hijinx as well. 1 1 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 11 minutes ago, JDClapper said: Well, there's always that storm on the 28th... LOL 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 12, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 12, 2023 Euro.. Wasn't great. Wasn't bad. On to 00z.. maybe some magic will manifest itself. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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