Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 10, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 10, 2023 One cool observation.. We were driving from Franklin County into Fulton County in SCPA. In the valley.. 41F, On the mountain (2,300 ft.) in between, 54F. Always fun when that’s inverted. Got to teach my daughter a little weather lesson this morning 🤓 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowadelphia Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Nearly 60 degrees here in East Falls. Calm. Expecting heavy rain with maybe some flakes on the backend. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZLearned Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 51 degrees and beautiful right now. Hard to believe im going to have a foot of snow on the ground tomorrow. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eaglesfan82 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 27 minutes ago, Penn State said: One cool observation.. We were driving from Franklin County into Fulton County in SCPA. In the valley.. 41F, On the mountain (2,300 ft.) in between, 54F. Always fun when that’s inverted. Got to teach my daughter a little weather lesson this morning 🤓 I drive a route truck for frito lay and where I go , I go up a big mountain everyday and I always think it is neat when on a clear morning ( I start at 3 am ) the base of the mountain is like 25 and it’s like 38-40 at the top 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 10, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 10, 2023 On that 12z.. I got the opposite of being NAM’d lol.. I got a magic show. Poof! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDBlueridge Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 23 minutes ago, Penn State said: On that 12z.. I got the opposite of being NAM’d lol.. I got a magic show. Poof! And FV3 went hard west. It's now cast now. I've looked for consistency in short rangers. Not there. Gotta know your back yard and wait to see what coastal does. Looks impressive down south. My gut, some ridges in Central apps get pasted. Sterling is hedging their bets with max map. They know how delicate this game is. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbrumberg Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 It started to rain here ~ 9:45AM. This morning's low temperature was 38ºF. It is currently 46ºF and I expect today's high temperature will be in the mid50ºF's. A NWS Snow Graphic for this event: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted December 10, 2023 Admin Share Posted December 10, 2023 An hour difference in timing either way on temps, how hard the precip is, how much moisture is thrown back into the sub freezing air. Strength of the low, track of the low, when the base of the trof goes negative.. So many variables that then effect each other with this set up. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbrumberg Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Not an ideal track for a decent snow event around here. We'll see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eaglesfan82 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, jbrumberg said: Not an ideal track for a decent snow event around here. We'll see. Man , in January, that is a great track for me in central PA 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbrumberg Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 5 minutes ago, Eaglesfan82 said: Man , in January, that is a great track for me in central PA The best storm tracks for this area track just "inside" the 40º/70º benchmark, and I am helped somewhat by my elevation and location (Berkshire's eastern slopes). Tractor's ready if needed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 WWA Schuylkill County, will it march further down? Winter Weather Advisory Issued: 11:07 AM Dec. 10, 2023 – National Weather Service ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches in the valleys and 3 to 5 inches in the surrounding higher elevations above 1500 feet. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Sullivan, Columbia and Schuylkill Counties. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions especially on bridges, overpasses, and untreated or secondary roads. The hazardous conditions may impact the Monday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain will change to wet snow from the hilltops down into the valleys late this evening into early tonight. The heaviest snow will occur overnight into the predawn and morning commute hours as temperatures fall into the low 30s. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission remind motorists to adjust speeds based on driving conditions as winter weather impacts will include snow covered roads and limited visibility. Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway and traffic conditions. To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted December 10, 2023 Moderators Share Posted December 10, 2023 Somehow this thread has been out of my sight for 10 days. Started to rain half hour ago. 55 on the Davis. No wind yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcari394 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Temperatures ~8 degrees colder than forecasted and steadily falling according to my PWS. Sitting on top of a ridge ~1600ft in Tioga County, PA. No advisories or warnings yet for our area, but things could get interesting. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, tcari394 said: Temperatures ~8 degrees colder than forecasted and steadily falling according to my PWS. Sitting on top of a ridge ~1600ft in Tioga County, PA. No advisories or warnings yet for our area, but things could get interesting. Warming up down here. Waiting for that wind shift, she's a comin'. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcari394 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 6 minutes ago, JDClapper said: Warming up down here. Waiting for that wind shift, she's a comin'. Weird. Our temp started falling when the wind shifted from the south: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted December 10, 2023 Admin Share Posted December 10, 2023 Gotta get er to swing negative as soon as possible. It seemed like the models with the most expansive snow shield had the radar blossoming in Alabama in the next few hours. Nothing really yet, but it might be trying. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRex Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 At the moment, this system stretches all the way from Mexico to north of Quebec City. Quote 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted December 10, 2023 Moderators Share Posted December 10, 2023 Going into obs mode: Temp topped at 60F, but rain has commenced and temps have fallen to 55F. Short range models 12z runs certainly tempering my expectations as most slashed totals at least in half. MJ, you're certainly spot on...tons of variables at play here and a very marginal setup. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Mainiac Posted December 10, 2023 Admin Share Posted December 10, 2023 1 hour ago, jbrumberg said: Not an ideal track for a decent snow event around here. We'll see. It keeps going east! Lastest SREFs I'm seeing 2.7" total with 3"-4" of that snow - which is up from no snow and 1" of snow. Up here, a Bay of Fundy path is the jackpot. Edit: Enjoy the snow for the lucky ones. I'll probably see a little but by then you guys will be on to the next white whale. 🙂 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbrumberg Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 I still remember the 30" I received during the 2023 Mid-March snow event. Elevation, location, timing and phasing, and storm track all came together with that event. That event kind of "tempered" my snow mania for this Season. A cloudy, foggy, rainy 48ºF here ATM. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted December 10, 2023 Moderators Share Posted December 10, 2023 (edited) Wow, the discussion out of Upton calls for a potential of 5-6 inches across SE CT Spoiler OF RAIN!!!!!! The heavy rain potential comes from a developing strong low level jet combining with deep synoptic lift aloft and an anomalously moist air mass. Some models continue to show some elevated instability, so with deep lift, will keep in an isolated thunderstorm in the forecast. Models continue to favor eastern areas for the higher total rain amounts, as the llj will be stronger here, and forcing/convergence near the deepening low center will be passing through or nearby. Further enhancement may occur in parts of CT due to speed convergence on a southerly flow. Latest 00z Hi-res guidance seems to be picking up on this potential, with HREF values now forecasting the potential for as much as 5-7 inches possible across portions of SE CT. The flood watch remains up for the entire CWA and has been extended to include much of Monday morning and early afternoon. See the hydrology section below for more details. Edited December 10, 2023 by StretchCT 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 FWIW late in the game.. Euro trend, through 7pm Monday. Latest run shaved a bit on the western side. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 3k NAM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Front came through at 1:14pm.. temps making the turn downward. Not going to tank quickly, but at least they're going in the right direction now. 49.8 @ 1:52pm. 0.28" of rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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